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Bayesian hyperparameter optimization relies heavily on Gaussian Process (GP) surrogates, due to robust distributional posteriors and strong performance on limited training samples. GPs however underperform in categorical hyperparameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Riccardo Doyle

Physics-based models of dynamical systems are often used to study engineering and environmental systems. Despite their extensive use, these models have several well-known limitations due to simplified representations of the physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Xiaowei Jia , Jared Willard , Anuj Karpatne , Jordan S Read , Jacob A Zwart , Michael Steinbach , Vipin Kumar

Gaussian process (GP) models are commonly used statistical metamodels for emulating expensive computer simulators. Fitting a GP model can be numerically unstable if any pair of design points in the input space are close together. Ranjan,…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-20 Blake MacDonald , Pritam Ranjan , Hugh Chipman

We develop a simulation-based method for the online updating of Gaussian process regression and classification models. Our method exploits sequential Monte Carlo to produce a fast sequential design algorithm for these models relative to the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-07 Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a rich class of models that can better represent functions with varying regimes or sharp changes, compared to conventional GPs. In this work, we propose a novel inference method for DGPs for computer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-18 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson , Serge Guillas

Physical phenomena are observed in many fields (sciences and engineering) and are often studied by time-consuming computer codes. These codes are analyzed with statistical models, often called emulators. In many situations, the physical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Hassan Maatouk , Xavier Bay

Bayesian optimization has been shown to be a powerful tool for solving black box problems during online accelerator optimization. The major advantage of Bayesian based optimization techniques is the ability to include prior information…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2022-11-17 Connie Xu , Ryan Roussel , Auralee Edelen

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Sequential learning with Gaussian processes (GPs) is challenging when access to past data is limited, for example, in continual and active learning. In such cases, errors can accumulate over time due to inaccuracies in the posterior,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Paul E. Chang , Prakhar Verma , S. T. John , Arno Solin , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Data compression is a critical technology for large-scale plasma simulations. Storing complete particle information requires Terabyte-scale data storage, and analysis requires ad-hoc scalable post-processing tools. We propose a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Andong Hu , Luca Pennati , Ivy Peng , Stefano Markidis

Despite the wide implementation of machine learning (ML) techniques in traffic flow modeling recently, those data-driven approaches often fall short of accuracy in the cases with a small or noisy dataset. To address this issue, this study…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Yun Yuan , Xianfeng Terry Yang , Zhao Zhang , Shandian Zhe

In simulation-based engineering design with time-consuming simulators, Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used as fast emulators to speed up the design optimization process. In its most commonly used form, the input of GP is a simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Xi Chen , Yashika Sharma , Hao Helen Zhang , Xin Hao , Qiang Zhou

We propose a model predictive control approach for autonomous vehicles that exploits learned Gaussian processes for predicting human driving behavior. The proposed approach employs the uncertainty about the GP's prediction to achieve…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-09 Johanna Bethge , Maik Pfefferkorn , Alexander Rose , Jan Peters , Rolf Findeisen

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Safety-critical technical systems operating in unknown environments require the ability to quickly adapt their behavior, which can be achieved in control by inferring a model online from the data stream generated during operation. Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-24 Armin Lederer , Mingmin Zhang , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche

Machine learning (ML) techniques have recently gained significant attention for solving compliance minimization (CM) problems. However, these methods typically provide poor feature boundaries, are very expensive, and lack a systematic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Xiangyu Sun , Amin Yousefpour , Shirin Hosseinmardi , Ramin Bostanabad

Driving under varying road conditions is challenging, especially for autonomous vehicles that must adapt in real-time to changes in the environment, e.g., rain, snow, etc. It is difficult to apply offline learning-based methods in these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Tomáš Nagy , Ahmad Amine , Truong X. Nghiem , Ugo Rosolia , Zirui Zang , Rahul Mangharam

Effective forces -- derived from experimental or {\it in silico} molecular dynamics time traces -- are critical in developing reduced and computationally efficient descriptions of otherwise complex dynamical problems. Thus, designing…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-08-29 J Shepard Bryan , Ioannis Sgouralis , Steve Pressé

In this paper, we demonstrate our work on Gaussian Process Occupancy Mapping (GPOM). We concentrate on the inefficiency of the frame computation of the classical GPOM approaches. In robotics, most of the algorithms are required to run in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Yijun Yuan , Haofei Kuang , Sören Schwertfeger