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Stock return forecasting is a major component of numerous finance applications. Predicted stock returns can be incorporated into portfolio trading algorithms to make informed buy or sell decisions which can optimize returns. In such…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zimeng Lyu , Amulya Saxena , Rohaan Nadeem , Hao Zhang , Travis Desell

We propose a novel investment decision strategy (IDS) based on deep learning. The performance of many IDSs is affected by stock similarity. Most existing stock similarity measurements have the problems: (a) The linear nature of many…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-20 Guosheng Hu , Yuxin Hu , Kai Yang , Zehao Yu , Flood Sung , Zhihong Zhang , Fei Xie , Jianguo Liu , Neil Robertson , Timothy Hospedales , Qiangwei Miemie

The early outcome prediction of ongoing or completed processes confers competitive advantage to organizations. The performance of classic machine learning and, more recently, deep learning techniques such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Volatility is a quantity of measurement for the price movements of stocks or options which indicates the uncertainty within financial markets. As an indicator of the level of risk or the degree of variation, volatility is important to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Qiang Zhang , Rui Luo , Yaodong Yang , Yuanyuan Liu

Application of machine learning for stock prediction is attracting a lot of attention in recent years. A large amount of research has been conducted in this area and multiple existing results have shown that machine learning methods could…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-14 Yuxuan Huang , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Danny Ho

In the realm of financial decision-making, predicting stock prices is pivotal. Artificial intelligence techniques such as long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), support-vector machines (SVMs), and natural language processing (NLP) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kevin Taylor , Jerry Ng

Predicting stock market movements remains a persistent challenge due to the inherently volatile, non-linear, and stochastic nature of financial time series data. This paper introduces a deep learning-based framework employing Long…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Rajneesh Chaudhary

The literature provides strong evidence that stock prices can be predicted from past price data. Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used mathematical technique for dimensionality reduction and analysis of data by identifying a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-15 Mahsa Ghorbani , Edwin K. P. Chong

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

Long term investment is one of the major investment strategies. However, calculating intrinsic value of some company and evaluating shares for long term investment is not easy, since analyst have to care about a large number of financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Nikola Milosevic

Stock trend prediction involves forecasting the future price movements by analyzing historical data and various market indicators. With the advancement of machine learning, graph neural networks (GNNs) have been extensively employed in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Mingyang Geng , Bin Zhang

To reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis a set of 5 technical indicators and 23 fundamental indicators was identified to establish the possibility of generating excess returns on the stock market. Leveraging these data points and various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-17 Jaideep Singh , Matloob Khushi

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Christopher Wimmer , Navid Rekabsaz

Candlestick charts display the high, low, opening, and closing prices in a specific period. Candlestick patterns emerge because human actions and reactions are patterned and continuously replicate. These patterns capture information on the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Jun-Hao Chen , Yun-Cheng Tsai

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Han Gui

Financial time-series classification (FTC) is extremely valuable for investment management. In past decades, it draws a lot of attention from a wide extent of research areas, especially Artificial Intelligence (AI). Existing researches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Liu Guang , Wang Xiaojie , Li Ruifan

This paper provides an empirical study explores the application of deep learning algorithms-Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Transformer-in constructing long-short stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Junjie Guo

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

Financial news contains useful information on public companies and the market. In this paper we apply the popular word embedding methods and deep neural networks to leverage financial news to predict stock price movements in the market.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-25 Yangtuo Peng , Hui Jiang