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Modern science increasingly relies on ever-growing observational datasets and automated inference pipelines, under the implicit belief that accumulating more data makes scientific conclusions more reliable. Here we show that this belief can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Zhipeng Zhang , Kai Li

In this paper we consider the problem of uniformity testing with limited memory. We observe a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables drawn from a distribution $p$ over $[n]$, which is either uniform or is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Tomer Berg , Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz

Hypothesis testing is one of the most common types of data analysis and forms the backbone of scientific research in many disciplines. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) in particular is used to detect dependence between a categorical and a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Marika Swanberg , Ira Globus-Harris , Iris Griffith , Anna Ritz , Adam Groce , Andrew Bray

Necessary and sufficient conditions of uniform consistency are explored. A hypothesis is simple. Nonparametric sets of alternatives are bounded convex sets in $\mathbb{L}_p$, $p >1$ with "small" balls deleted. The "small" balls have the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Mikhail Ermakov

This paper considers a problem of distributed hypothesis testing and social learning. Individual nodes in a network receive noisy local (private) observations whose distribution is parameterized by a discrete parameter (hypotheses). The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-17 Anusha Lalitha , Tara Javidi , Anand Sarwate

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

Experimental design is crucial for inference where limitations in the data collection procedure are present due to cost or other restrictions. Optimal experimental designs determine parameters that in some appropriate sense make the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-11 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Roger G. Ghanem , Paris Hajali

Suppose that at any stage of a statistical experiment a control variable $X$ that affects the distribution of the observed data $Y$ can be used. The distribution of $Y$ depends on some unknown parameter $\theta$, and we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-05-05 Andrey Novikov

We study adversarial binary hypothesis testing under memory constraints. The test is a time-invariant randomized finite state machine (FSM) with S states. Associated with each hypothesis is a set of distributions. Given the hypothesis, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Malhar A. Managoli , Vinod M. Prabhakaran

In this paper we establish lower bounds on information divergence of a distribution on the integers from a Poisson distribution. These lower bounds are tight and in the cases where a rate of convergence in the Law of Thin Numbers can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Peter Harremoës , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

This paper employs the add-and-subtract technique of the auxiliary receiver approach to establish a new upper bound for the distributed hypothesis testing problem. This new bound has fewer assumptions than the upper bound proposed by Rahman…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Zhenduo Wen , Amin Gohari

We consider election scenarios with incomplete information, a situation that arises often in practice. There are several models of incomplete information and accordingly, different notions of outcomes of such elections. In one well-studied…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Palash Dey , Neeldhara Misra

The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible constrained to match empirical data, for instance, feature expectations. We seek to generalize…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Kenneth Bogert

Refining one's hypotheses in the light of data is a common scientific practice; however, the dependency on the data introduces selection bias and can lead to specious statistical analysis. An approach for addressing this is via conditioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jen Ning Lim , Makoto Yamada , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yoshikazu Terada , Shigeyuki Matsui , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Determining the strength of non-linear statistical dependencies between two variables is a crucial matter in many research fields. The established measure for quantifying such relations is the mutual information. However, estimating mutual…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-24 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

Today, data analysts largely rely on intuition to determine whether missing or withheld rows of a dataset significantly affect their analyses. We propose a framework that can produce automatic contingency analysis, i.e., the range of values…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-04-09 Xi Liang , Zechao Shang , Aaron J. Elmore , Sanjay Krishnan , Michael J. Franklin

We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Eric J. Horvitz , Jaap Suermondt , Gregory F. Cooper

Understanding statistical inference under possibly non-sparse high-dimensional models has gained much interest recently. For a given component of the regression coefficient, we show that the difficulty of the problem depends on the sparsity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-22 Jelena Bradic , Jianqing Fan , Yinchu Zhu

Statistical modeling can involve a tension between assumptions and statistical identification. The law of the observable data may not uniquely determine the value of a target parameter without invoking a key assumption, and, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Paul Gustafson

Statistical machine learning theory often tries to give generalization guarantees of machine learning models. Those models naturally underlie some fluctuation, as they are based on a data sample. If we were unlucky, and gathered a sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Alexander Mey
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