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Creating accurate predictions in the stock market has always been a significant challenge in finance. With the rise of machine learning as the next level in the forecasting area, this research paper compares four machine learning models and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Albert Wong , Steven Whang , Emilio Sagre , Niha Sachin , Gustavo Dutra , Yew-Wei Lim , Gaetan Hains , Youry Khmelevsky , Frank Zhang

Currently, widely used first-order deep learning optimizers include non-adaptive learning rate optimizers and adaptive learning rate optimizers. The former is represented by SGDM (Stochastic Gradient Descent with Momentum), while the latter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Honglin Qin , Hongye Zheng , Bingxing Wang , Zhizhong Wu , Bingyao Liu , Yuanfang Yang

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Machine learning models are commonly used for malware classification; however, they suffer from performance degradation over time due to concept drift. Adapting these models to changing data distributions requires frequent updates, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Md Tanvirul Alam , Aritran Piplai , Nidhi Rastogi

Auto-bidding is essential in facilitating online advertising by automatically placing bids on behalf of advertisers. Generative auto-bidding, which generates bids based on an adjustable condition using models like transformers and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Yewen Li , Shuai Mao , Jingtong Gao , Nan Jiang , Yunjian Xu , Qingpeng Cai , Fei Pan , Peng Jiang , Bo An

Decision making under uncertainty is challenging as the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs on the model's parameters. However, minimising the expected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

-The fluctuation effect of gradient expectation and variance caused by parameter update between consecutive iterations is neglected or confusing by current mainstream gradient optimization algorithms. The work in this paper remedy this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-08 Aixiang Chen

We propose AEGD, a new algorithm for first-order gradient-based optimization of non-convex objective functions, based on a dynamically updated energy variable. The method is shown to be unconditionally energy stable, irrespective of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Hailiang Liu , Xuping Tian

Accurate prediction of main engine power is essential for vessel performance optimization, fuel efficiency, and compliance with emission regulations. Conventional machine learning approaches, such as Support Vector Machines, variants of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Orfeas Bourchas , George Papalambrou

Real-world reinforcement learning often faces environment drift, but most existing methods rely on static entropy coefficients/target entropy, causing over-exploration during stable periods and under-exploration after drift, and leaving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Tongxi Wang , Zhuoyang Xia , Xinran Chen , Shan Liu

In recent years, the dominance of machine learning in stock market forecasting has been evident. While these models have shown decreasing prediction errors, their robustness across different datasets has been a concern. A successful stock…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-18 Peiwan Wang , Chenhao Cui , Yong Li

This paper studies the convergence of clipped stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms with decision-dependent data distribution. Our setting is motivated by privacy preserving optimization algorithms that interact with performative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Qiang Li , Michal Yemini , Hoi-To Wai

Drift analysis aims at translating the expected progress of an evolutionary algorithm (or more generally, a random process) into a probabilistic guarantee on its run time (hitting time). So far, drift arguments have been successfully…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Benjamin Doerr , Timo Kötzing

We use supervised learning to identify factors that predict the cross-section of returns and maximum drawdown for stocks in the US equity market. Our data run from January 1970 to December 2019 and our analysis includes ordinary least…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Lisa R. Goldberg , Saad Mouti

We propose self-adaptive training -- a unified training algorithm that dynamically calibrates and enhances training processes by model predictions without incurring an extra computational cost -- to advance both supervised and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Lang Huang , Chao Zhang , Hongyang Zhang

A framework previously introduced in [3] for solving a sequence of stochastic optimization problems with bounded changes in the minimizers is extended and applied to machine learning problems such as regression and classification. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Craig Wilson , Yuheng Bu , Venugopal Veeravalli

With the fast development of quantitative portfolio optimization in financial engineering, lots of AI-based algorithmic trading strategies have demonstrated promising results, among which reinforcement learning begins to manifest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Huifang Huang , Ting Gao , Pengbo Li , Jin Guo , Peng Zhang , Nan Du

We investigate boosted online regression and propose a novel family of regression algorithms with strong theoretical bounds. In addition, we implement several variants of the proposed generic algorithm. We specifically provide theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Dariush Kari , Farhan Khan , Selami Ciftci , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

The modern machine learning methods allow one to obtain the data-driven models in various ways. However, the more complex the model is, the harder it is to interpret. In the paper, we describe the algorithm for the mathematical equations…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Alexander Hvatov , Mikhail Maslyaev