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This paper presents a computationally efficient method for binary classification using Manski's (1975,1985) maximum score model when covariates are discretely distributed and parameters are partially but not point identified. We establish…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

Subsampling is an effective approach to alleviate the computational burden associated with large-scale datasets. Nevertheless, existing subsampling estimators incur a substantial loss in estimation efficiency compared to estimators based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Miaomiao Su , Ruoyu Wang

We introduce a double/debiased machine learning estimator for the impulse response function in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments, assigned over time, which can have a causal effect on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Daniele Ballinari , Alexander Wehrli

Elliptical distributions are a simple and flexible class of distributions that depend on a one-dimensional function, called the density generator. In this article, we study the non-parametric estimator of this generator that was introduced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Victor Ryan , Alexis Derumigny

We revisit $M$-ary classification of Gutman (TIT 1989), where one is tasked to determine whether a testing sequence is generated with the same distribution as one of the $M$ training sequences or not. Our main result is a two-phase test,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Lin Zhou , Jun Diao , Lin Bai

We discuss causal inference for observational studies with possibly invalid instrumental variables. We propose a novel methodology called two-stage curvature identification (TSCI) by exploring the nonlinear treatment model with machine…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-08 Zijian Guo , Mengchu Zheng , Peter Bühlmann

Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-11 Alexander Mayer

We modify the Double Machine Learning estimator to broaden its applicability to macroeconomic time-series settings. A deterministic cross-fitting step, termed Reverse Cross-Fitting, leverages the time-reversibility of stationary series to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-12 Milos Ciganovic , Federico D'Amario , Massimiliano Tancioni

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

We propose a nonparametric bootstrap procedure for two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. In this design, a weighted likelihood estimator is known to have smaller asymptotic variance than under the convenient assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Takumi Saegusa

We revisit resampling procedures for error estimation in binary classification in terms of U-statistics. In particular, we exploit the fact that the error rate estimator involving all learning-testing splits is a U-statistic. Thus, it has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Mathias Fuchs , Roman Hornung , Riccardo De Bin , Anne-Laure Boulesteix

We study the distribution and uncertainty of nonconvex optimization for noisy tensor completion -- the problem of estimating a low-rank tensor given incomplete and corrupted observations of its entries. Focusing on a two-stage estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Changxiao Cai , H. Vincent Poor , Yuxin Chen

Stochastic gradient descent type methods are ubiquitous in machine learning, but they are only applicable to the optimization of differentiable functions. Proximal algorithms are more general and applicable to nonsmooth functions. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Laurent Condat , Elnur Gasanov , Peter Richtárik

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is excluded by existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-15 Harold D Chiang , Bruce E Hansen , Yuya Sasaki

Ever since the proof of asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimator by Cramer (1946), it has been understood that a basic technique of the Taylor series expansion suffices for asymptotics of $M$-estimators with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

This paper develops an asymptotic theory for two-step debiased machine learning (DML) estimators in generalised method of moments (GMM) models with general multiway clustered dependence, without relying on cross-fitting. While cross-fitting…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Kaicheng Chen , Harold D. Chiang

In this paper, we consider a partially linear model of the form $Y_t=X_t^{\tau}\theta_0+g(V_t)+\epsilon_t$, $t=1,...,n$, where $\{V_t\}$ is a $\beta$ null recurrent Markov chain, $\{X_t\}$ is a sequence of either strictly stationary or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Jia Chen , Jiti Gao , Degui Li

Suppose there are two unknown parameters, each parameter is the solution to an estimating equation, and the estimating equation of one parameter depends on the other parameter. The parameters can be jointly estimated by "stacking" their…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Eli S. Kravitz , Raymond J. Carroll , David Ruppert

To fast approximate maximum likelihood estimators with massive data, this paper studies the Optimal Subsampling Method under the A-optimality Criterion (OSMAC) for generalized linear models. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Mingyao Ai , Jun Yu , Huiming Zhang , HaiYing Wang