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Providing a comprehensive view of the city operation and offering useful metrics for decision making is a well known challenge for urban risk analysis systems. Existing systems are, in many cases, generalizations of previous domain specific…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-10 David Carraminana , Ana M. Bernardos , Juan A. Besada , Jose R. Casar

Optimization and uncertainty quantification have been playing an increasingly important role in computational hemodynamics. However, existing methods based on principled modeling and classic numerical techniques have faced significant…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Pan Du , Xiaozhi Zhu , Jian-Xun Wang

In chemical and manufacturing processes, unit failures due to equipment degradation can lead to process downtime and significant costs. In this context, finding an optimal maintenance strategy to ensure good unit health while avoiding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Johannes Wiebe , Inês Cecílio , Ruth Misener

Stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in many fields of applied sciences and engineering. In the context of uncertainty quantification and optimization, a large number of simulations is usually necessary, which becomes intractable for…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

The last decade witnessed an explosion in the availability of data for operations research applications. Motivated by this growing availability, we propose a novel schema for utilizing data to design uncertainty sets for robust optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus

Computational models and simulations are not just appealing because of their intrinsic characteristics across spatiotemporal scales, scalability, and predictive power, but also because the set of problems in cancer biomedicine that can be…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-01 Nicolò Cogno , Cristian Axenie , Roman Bauer , Vasileios Vavourakis

Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…

Real-life parallel machine scheduling problems can be characterized by: (i) limited information about the exact task duration at scheduling time, and (ii) an opportunity to reschedule the remaining tasks each time a task processing is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Izack Cohen , Krzysztof Postek , Shimrit Shtern

Continuous-time stochastic processes pervade everyday experience, and the simulation of models of these processes is of great utility. Classical models of systems operating in continuous-time must typically track an unbounded amount of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-05 Thomas J. Elliott , Mile Gu

Hyperparameter tuning is an omnipresent problem in machine learning as it is an integral aspect of obtaining the state-of-the-art performance for any model. Most often, hyperparameters are optimized just by training a model on a grid of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Hadi S. Jomaa , Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification are crucial in computational cardiology, as they enable the construction of digital twins that faithfully replicate the behavior of physical patients. Robust and efficient mathematical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Matteo Salvador , Francesco Regazzoni , Luca Dede' , Alfio Quarteroni

Plasmode simulation has become an important tool for evaluating the operating characteristics of different statistical methods in complex settings, such as pharmacoepidemiological studies of treatment effectiveness using electronic health…

Supervised machine learning methods require large-scale training datasets to perform well in practice. Synthetic data has been showing great progress recently and has been used as a complement to real data. However, there is yet a great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Abdulrahman Kerim , Leandro Soriano Marcolino , Erickson R. Nascimento , Richard Jiang

A body of work has been done to automate machine learning algorithm to highlight the importance of model choice. Automating the process of choosing the best forecasting model and its corresponding parameters can result to improve a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Nadhir Hassen , Irina Rish

The quantification of uncertainties of computer simulations due to input parameter uncertainties is paramount to assess a model's credibility. For computationally expensive simulations, this is often feasible only via surrogate models that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-30 Sascha Ranftl , Wolfgang von der Linden

We propose a novel method for gradient-based optimization of black-box simulators using differentiable local surrogate models. In fields such as physics and engineering, many processes are modeled with non-differentiable simulators with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Sergey Shirobokov , Vladislav Belavin , Michael Kagan , Andrey Ustyuzhanin , Atılım Güneş Baydin

The present paper proposes a Bayesian framework for inverse problems that seamlessly integrates optimization and inversion to enable rapid surrogate modeling, accurate parameter inference, and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mihaela Chiappetta , Massimo Carraturo , Alexander Raßloff , Markus Kästner , Ferdinando Auricchio

Parameter calibration is a major challenge in agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS). As the complexity of agent-based models (ABMs) increase, the number of parameters required to be calibrated grows. This leads to the ABMS equivalent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-28 Rylan Perumal , Terence L van Zyl

This dissertation addresses the growing challenge of air traffic flow management by proposing a simulation-based optimization (SbO) approach for multi-objective runway operations scheduling. The goal is to optimize airport capacity…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Bulent Soykan