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We present a novel formulation for the calibration of a biophysical tumor growth model from a single-time snapshot, MRI scan of a glioblastoma patient. Tumor growth models are typically nonlinear parabolic partial differential equations…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Klaudius Scheufele , Shashank Subramanian , Andreas Mang , George Biros , Miriam Mehl

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Background: The vast computational resources that became available during the past decade enabled the development and simulation of increasingly complex mathematical models of cancer growth. These models typically involve many free…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-19 Diego Fernandez Slezak , Cecilia Suarez , Guillermo A. Cecchi , Guillermo Marshall , Gustavo Stolovitzky

Mathematical models (MMs) are a powerful tool to help us understand and predict the dynamics of tumour growth under various conditions. In this work, we use 5 MMs with an increasing number of parameters to explore how certain (often…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-16 Jamie Porthiyas , Daniel Nussey , Catherine A. A. Beauchemin , Donald C. Warren , Christian Quirouette , Kathleen P. Wilkie

In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Richard D. Wilkinson , Christopher W. Lanyon

Phase estimation is known to be a robust method for single-qubit gate calibration in quantum computers, while Bayesian estimation is widely used in devising optimal methods for learning in quantum systems. We present Bayesian phase…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-06 Brennan de Neeve , Andrey V. Lebedev , Vlad Negnevitsky , Jonathan P. Home

With the advancement of precision medicine there is an increasing need for design and analysis methods in clinical trials with the objective of investigating effect heterogeneity and estimating subgroup effects. As this requires precise…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Shirin Golchi , Satoshi Morita

Objective: Organ deformation models have the potential to improve delivery and reduce toxicity of radiotherapy, but existing data-driven motion models are based on either patient-specific or population data. We propose to combine population…

Current clinical decision-making in oncology relies on averages of large patient populations to both assess tumor status and treatment outcomes. However, cancers exhibit an inherent evolving heterogeneity that requires an individual…

Target-oriented discovery under limited evaluation budgets requires making reliable progress in high-dimensional, heterogeneous design spaces where each new measurement is costly, whether experimental or high-fidelity simulation. We present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yixuan Zhang , Zhiyuan Li , Weijia He , Mian Dai , Chen Shen , Teng Long , Hongbin Zhang

Research in oncology has changed the focus from histological properties of tumors in a specific organ to a specific genomic aberration potentially shared by multiple cancer types. This motivates the basket trial, which assesses the efficacy…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-11 Jin Jin , Marie-Karelle Riviere , Xiaodong Luo , Yingwen Dong

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

One primary goal of precision medicine is to estimate the individualized treatment rules (ITRs) that optimize patients' health outcomes based on individual characteristics. Health studies with multiple treatments are commonly seen in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Xuqiao Li , Qiuyan Zhou , Ying Wu , Ying Yan

Phase estimation protocols provide a fundamental benchmark for the field of quantum metrology. The latter represents one of the most relevant applications of quantum theory, potentially enabling the capability of measuring unknown physical…

Estimating personalized treatment effects from high-dimensional observational data is essential in situations where experimental designs are infeasible, unethical, or expensive. Existing approaches rely on fitting deep models on outcomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Andrew Jesson , Panagiotis Tigas , Joost van Amersfoort , Andreas Kirsch , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

Individualized treatment rules (ITR) can improve health outcomes by recognizing that patients may respond differently to treatment and assigning therapy with the most desirable predicted outcome for each individual. Flexible and efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-25 Brent R. Logan , Rodney Sparapani , Robert E. McCulloch , Purushottam W. Laud

Optimal treatment rules can improve health outcomes on average by assigning a treatment associated with the most desirable outcome to each individual. Due to an unknown data generation mechanism, it is appealing to use flexible models to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Lingjie Shen , Gijs Geleijnse , Maurits Kaptein

Response calibration is the process of inferring how much the measured data depend on the signal one is interested in. It is essential for any quantitative signal estimation on the basis of the data. Here, we investigate self-calibration…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Torsten A. Enßlin , Henrik Junklewitz , Lars Winderling , Maksim Greiner , Marco Selig

This paper develops a Bayesian network-based method for the calibration of multi-physics models, integrating various sources of uncertainty with information from computational models and experimental data. We adopt the Kennedy and O'Hagan…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Joshua Mullins , Sankaran Mahadevan

Understanding the dynamics of brain tumor progression is essential for optimal treatment planning. Cast in a mathematical formulation, it is typically viewed as evaluation of a system of partial differential equations, wherein the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-13 Ivan Ezhov , Jana Lipkova , Suprosanna Shit , Florian Kofler , Nore Collomb , Benjamin Lemasson , Emmanuel Barbier , Bjoern Menze