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We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yannick Baraud , Guillaume Maillard

We consider a linear model where the coefficients - intercept and slopes - are random with a law in a nonparametric class and independent from the regressors. Identification often requires the regressors to have a support which is the whole…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Christophe Gaillac , Eric Gautier

Many causal estimands, such as average treatment effects under unconfoundedness, can be written as continuous linear functionals of an unknown regression function. We study a weighting estimator that sets weights by a minimax procedure:…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

We consider the detection problem of a two-dimensional function from noisy observations of its integrals over lines. We study both rate and sharp asymptotics for the error probabilities in the minimax setup. By construction, the derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-26 Yuri I. Ingster , Theofanis Sapatinas , Irina A. Suslina

We study clustered multitask learning in a semiparametric setting where tasks share a latent cluster structure in their target parameters but exhibit heterogeneous, potentially infinite-dimensional nuisance components. Such heterogeneity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Hanxiao Chen , Debarghya Mukherjee

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

The paper considers so-called adaptive estimations of regression, distribution density and spectral density of a Gaussian stationary sequence, asymptotically optimal in order at a growing number of observation on any regular subspace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

Since Stein's 1956 seminal paper, shrinkage has played a fundamental role in both parametric and nonparametric inference. This article discusses minimaxity and adaptive minimaxity in nonparametric function estimation. Three interrelated…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-23 T. Tony Cai

For nonparametric regression with one-sided errors and a boundary curve model for Poisson point processes we consider the problem of efficient estimation for linear functionals. The minimax optimal rate is obtained by an unbiased estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Markus Reiß , Leonie Selk

Conformal prediction is a valuable tool for quantifying predictive uncertainty of machine learning models. However, its applicability relies on the assumption of data exchangeability, a condition which is often not met in real-world…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Darren Xu , Kuang-Chih Lee

Motivated by the desire to numerically calculate rigorous upper and lower bounds on deviation probabilities over large classes of probability distributions, we present an adaptive algorithm for the reconstruction of increasing real-valued…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 L. Bonnet , J. -L. Akian , É. Savin , T. J. Sullivan

A tacit assumption in linear regression is that (response, predictor)-pairs correspond to identical observational units. A series of recent works have studied scenarios in which this assumption is violated under terms such as ``Unlabeled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Martin Slawski , Emanuel Ben-David , Ping Li

The paper concerns the problem of pointwise adaptive estimation in regression when the noise is heteroscedastic and incorrectly known. The use of the local approximation method, which includes the local polynomial smoothing as a particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-15 Nora Serdyukova

Deconvolution is a statistical inverse problem to estimate the distribution of a random variable based on its noisy observations. Despite the extensive studies on the topic, deconvolution with unknown noise distribution remains as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Devavrat Shah , Dogyoon Song

We consider nonparametric estimation in Wicksell's problem which has relevant applications in astronomy for estimating the distribution of the positions of the stars in a galaxy given projected stellar positions and in material sciences to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Francesco Gili , Geurt Jongbloed , Aad van der Vaart

We consider the problem of nonparametric regression when the covariate is $d$-dimensional, where $d \geq 1$. In this paper we introduce and study two nonparametric least squares estimators (LSEs) in this setting---the entirely monotonic LSE…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Billy Fang , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

In adaptive data analysis, the user makes a sequence of queries on the data, where at each step the choice of query may depend on the results in previous steps. The releases are often randomized in order to reduce overfitting for such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-16 Yu-Xiang Wang , Jing Lei , Stephen E. Fienberg

Stochastic approximation is a powerful class of algorithms with celebrated success. However, a large body of previous analysis focuses on stochastic approximations driven by contractive operators, which is not applicable in some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Ethan Blaser , Shangtong Zhang

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

In this paper, we study the problem of pointwise estimation of a multivariate density. We provide a data-driven selection rule from the family of kernel estimators and derive for it a pointwise oracle inequality. Using the latter bound, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Gilles Rebelles