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We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic

We study a class of coalescents derived from a sampling procedure out of N i.i.d. Pareto(alpha) random variables, normalized by their sum, including beta-size-biasing on total length effects (beta < alpha). Depending on the range of alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Thierry Huillet

Genetic data are often used to infer demographic history and changes or detect genes under selection. Inferential methods are commonly based on models making various strong assumptions: demography and population structures are supposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Clotilde Lepers , Sylvain Billiard , Matthieu Porte , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Many applications in genetic analyses utilize sampling distributions, which describe the probability of observing a sample of DNA sequences randomly drawn from a population. In the one-locus case with special models of mutation such as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Anand Bhaskar , John A. Kamm , Yun S. Song

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

The observed sequence variation at a locus informs about the evolutionary history of the sample and past population size dynamics. The Kingman coalescent is used in a generative model of molecular sequence variation to infer evolutionary…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-22 Lorenzo Cappello , Amandine Veber , Julia A. Palacios

When an infectious disease outbreak is of a relatively small size, describing the ancestry of a sample of infected individuals is difficult because most ancestral models assume large population sizes. Given a set of infected individuals, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Xavier Didelot , David Helekal , Ian Roberts

To learn about the past from a sample of genomic sequences, one needs to understand how evolutionary processes shape genetic diversity. Most population genetic inference is based on frameworks assuming adaptive evolution is rare. But if…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-25 Richard A. Neher

Gene gain-loss-duplication models are commonly based on continuous-time birth-death processes. Employed in a phylogenetic context, such models have been increasingly popular in studies of gene content evolution across multiple genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-27 Miklos Csuros

The genetic diversity of a species is shaped by its recent evolutionary history and can be used to infer demographic events or selective sweeps. Most inference methods are based on the null hypothesis that natural selection is a weak or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-05 Richard A. Neher , Oskar Hallatschek

Recovery of population size history from molecular sequence data is an important problem in population genetics. Inference commonly relies on a coalescent model linking the population size history to genealogies. The high computational cost…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 James E. Johndrow , Julia A. Palacios

Consider an arbitrary large population at the present time, originated at an unspecified arbitrary large time in the past, where individuals in the same generation reproduce independently, forward in time, with the same offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Airam Blancas , Sandra Palau

We investigate a new model for populations evolving in a spatial continuum. This model can be thought of as a spatial version of the Lambda-Fleming-Viot process. It explicitly incorporates both small scale reproduction events and large…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-22 N. H. Barton , A. M. Etheridge , A. Veber

Kingman's coalescent is one of the most popular models in population genetics. It describes the genealogy of a population whose genetic composition evolves in time according to the Wright-Fisher model, or suitable approximations of it…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-20 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng , Paul A. Jenkins

Molecular phylogenetic and phylogeographic reconstructions generally assume time-homogeneous substitution processes. Motivated by computational convenience, this assumption sacrifices biological realism and offers little opportunity to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-13 Filip Bielejec , Philippe Lemey , Guy Baele , Andrew Rambaut , Marc A Suchard

Effective population size (Ne(t)) is a fundamental parameter in population genetics and phylodynamics that quantifies genetic diversity and reveals demographic history. Coalescent-based methods enable the inference of Ne(t) trajectories…

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

Consider a continuous-state branching population constructed as a flow of nested subordinators. Inverting the subordinators and reversing time give rise to a flow of coalescing Markov processes (with negative jumps) which correspond to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma , Bastien Mallein

Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees relating species. Along branches, sequence evolution is modelled using a continuous-time Markov process characterised by an instantaneous rate…

We consider neutral evolution of a large population subject to changes in its population size. For a population with a time-variable carrying capacity we have computed the distributions of the total branch lengths of its sample genealogies.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 A. Eriksson , B. Mehlig , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov