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We demonstrate an approach to replicate and forecast the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic using the toolkit of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs). Our goal is to study the impact of various modeling assumptions and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Swapneel Mehta , Noah Kasmanoff

Situations in which no scientific consensus has been reached due to either insufficient, inconclusive or contradicting findings place strain on governments and public organizations which are forced to take action under circumstances of…

As a reaction to the high infectiousness and lethality of the COVID-19 virus, countries around the world have adopted drastic policy measures to contain the pandemic. However, it remains unclear which effect these measures, so-called…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Lucas Baier , Niklas Kühl , Jakob Schöffer , Gerhard Satzger

The objective of this work is to explore popular discourse about the COVID-19 pandemic and policies implemented to manage it. Using Natural Language Processing, Text Mining, and Network Analysis to analyze corpus of tweets that relate to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Christian E. Lopez , Malolan Vasu , Caleb Gallemore

This study aims at modeling the universal failure in preventing the outbreak of COVID-19 via real-world data from the perspective of complexity and network science. Through formalizing information heterogeneity and government intervention…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-26 Xiaoqi Zhang , Jie Fu , Sheng Hua , Han Liang , Zi-Ke Zhang

The sudden and rapid spread of the COVID_19 pandemic with its terrible consequences has put the management of governments and the various world institutions into a crisis. They have been subjected to a considerable economic effort to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Rehana Naz , Andrew Omame , Mariano Torrisi

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

Countries are recording health information on the global spread of COVID-19 using different methods, sometimes changing the rules after a few days. They are all publishing the number of new individuals infected, cured and dead, along with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-15 J. M. Calabuig , L. M. García-Raffi , A. García-Valiente , E. A. Sánchez-Pérez

The potential tradeoff between health outcomes and economic impact has been a major challenge in the policy making process during the COVID-19 pandemic. Epidemic-economic models designed to address this issue are either too aggregate to…

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and the COVID-19 illness it causes have inspired unprecedented levels of multidisciplinary research in an effort to address a generational public health challenge. In this work we conduct a scientometric…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Eoghan Cunningham , Barry Smyth , Derek Greene

Intent of this research is to explore how mathematical models, specifically Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, can be utilized to forecast peak outbreak timeline of COVID-19 epidemic amongst a population of interest starting from the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-14 Amit Tewari

Context: COVID-19 pandemic has impacted different business sectors around the world. Objective. This study investigates the impact of COVID-19 on software projects and software development professionals. Method: We conducted a mining…

Emerging in December 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic caused widespread health, economic, and social disruptions. Rapid global transmission overwhelmed healthcare systems, resulting in high infection rates, hospitalisations, and fatalities. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-08 Zacharias Komodromos , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

The application and successful utilization of technological resources in developing solutions to health, safety, and economic issues caused by COVID-19 indicate the importance of technology in curbing COVID-19. Also, the medical field has…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Manoj Muniswamaiah , Tilak Agerwala , Charles C. Tappert

A pandemic poses particular challenges to decision-making because of the need to continuously adapt decisions to rapidly changing evidence and available data. For example, which countermeasures are appropriate at a particular stage of the…

In response to COVID-19, a vast number of visualizations have been created to communicate information to the public. Information exposure in a public health crisis can impact people's attitudes towards and responses to the crisis and risks,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Yixuan Zhang , Yifan Sun , Lace Padilla , Sumit Barua , Enrico Bertini , Andrea G. Parker

While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available data beyond their capabilities. Here we focus on statistical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-08 Tommaso Alberti , Davide Faranda

Knowing the infection fatality ratio (IFR) is of crucial importance for evidence-based epidemic management: for immediate planning; for balancing the life years saved against the life years lost due to the consequences of management; and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-11 Simon N. Wood , Ernst C. Wit , Matteo Fasiolo , Peter J. Green

This position paper discusses emerging behavioral, social, and economic dynamics related to the COVID-19 pandemic and puts particular emphasis on two emerging issues: First, delayed effects (or second strikes) of pandemics caused by dread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-04 Stephan Leitner
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