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The prediction of solar activity is important for advanced technologies and space activities. The peak sunspot number (SSN), which can represent the solar activity, has declined continuously in the past four solar cycles (21$-$24), and the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-08 S. -S. Wu , G. Qin

In addition to sunspots, which represent the most easily visualized manifestation of solar magnetism, cutting-edge observations of the solar atmosphere have uncovered a plethora of magnetic flux tubes, down to the resolving power of modern…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-27 M. Stangalini , G. Verth , V. Fedun , D. Perrone , M. Berretti , P. Bushby , S. Jafarzadeh , D. B. Jess , F. Giannattasio , P. H. Keys , R. Bruno , F. Berrilli

It is well accepted that the solar cycle originates from a magnetohydrodynamics dynamo deep inside the Sun. Many dynamo models have long been proposed based on a lot of observational constraints. In this paper, using 342 NSO/Kitt Peak solar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 W. B. Song

It is shown that the description of the solar cycle that takes into account the odd zonal harmonic of the solar magnetic field allows us to deepen our knowledge of two important aspects of the solar activity. First, to clarify and expand…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-02 V. N. Obridko , D. D. Sokoloff , M. M. Katsova

The recent paucity of sunspots and the delay in the expected start of Solar Cycle 24 have drawn attention to the challenges involved in predicting solar activity. Traditional models of the solar cycle usually require information about the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-05 Mercedes T. Richards , Michael L. Rogers , Donald St. P. Richards

Traditionally, solar physicists become anxious around solar minimum, as they await the high-latitude sunspot groups of the new cycle. Now, we are in an extended sunspot minimum with conditions not seen in recent memory, and interest in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-05-24 N. R. Sheeley

The problem of prediction of a given time series is examined on the basis of recent nonlinear dynamics theories. Particular attention is devoted to forecast the amplitude and phase of one of the most common solar indicator activity, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Stefano Sello

Solar polar fields are essential for the solar cycle and the heliospheric magnetic field. Cycle 25 is now entering its declining phase, the critical period during which most of the cycle's polar fields are established. Therefore, reliable…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-31 Ruihui Wang , Jie Jiang , Yukun Luo

The use of the spotless days to predict the future solar activity is here revised based on the new version of the sunspot number index with a 24-month filter. Data from Solar Cycle (SC) 10 are considered because from this solar cycle the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 V. M. S. Carrasco , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego

The solar activity in the current, that is, the 24-th, sunspot cycle is analyzed. Cyclic variations in the sunspot number (SSN) and radiation fluxes in various spectral ranges have been estimated in comparison with the general level of the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-01 E. A. Bruevich , V. V. Bruevich , G. V. Yakunina

Although systematic measurements of the solar polar magnetic field exist only from mid 1970s, other proxies can be used to infer the polar field at earlier times. The observational data indicate a strong correlation between the polar field…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jie Jiang , Piyali Chatterjee , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

The magnetic activity of the Sun becomes stronger and weaker over roughly an 11 year cycle, modulating the radiation and charged particle environment experienced by the Earth as "space weather". Decades of observations from the Mount Wilson…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-18 Axel Brandenburg , Savita Mathur , Travis S. Metcalfe

Sunspots are a canonical marker of the Sun's internal magnetic field which flips polarity every ~22-years. The principal variation of sunspots, an ~11-year variation in number, modulates the amount of magnetic field that pierces the solar…

The ability to predict the future behavior of solar activity has become of extreme importance due to its effect on the near Earth environment. Predictions of both the amplitude and timing of the next solar cycle will assist in estimating…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 A. Ajabshirizadeh , N. Masoumzadeh Jouzdani , S. Abbassi

The variability in the magnetic activity of the Sun is the main source of the observed changes in the plasma and electromagnetic environments within the heliosphere. The primary way in which solar activity affects the Earth's environment is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-27 Raffaele Reda , Mirko Stumpo , Luca Giovannelli , Tommaso Alberti , Giuseppe Consolini

The solar magnetic activity cycle causes changes in the Sun on timescales that are relevant to human lifetimes. The minimum in solar activity that preceded the current solar cycle (cycle 24) was deeper and quieter than any other recent…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Sarbani Basu , Anne-Marie Broomhall , William J. Chaplin , Yvonne Elsworth

The so-called solar cycle is generally characterized by the quasi-periodic oscillatory evolution of the photospheric spots number. This quasi-periodic pattern has always been an intriguing question. Several physical models were proposed to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 Alexis Klutsch , Rubens Freire Ferrero

Various methods (or recipes) have been proposed to predict future solar activity levels - with mixed success. Among these, some precursor methods based upon quantities determined around or a few years before solar minimum have provided…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-25 Manfred Schuessler

Is Solar Cycle 24 anomalous? How do we predict the main features of a forthcoming cycle? In order to reply such questions, this work partitions quantitatively each cycle into valley, ascend, peak, and descend phases, statistically…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-26 Baolin Tan

Understanding the irregular variation of the solar cycle is crucial due to its significant impact on global climates and the heliosphere. Since the polar magnetic field determines the amplitude of the next solar cycle, variations in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-25 Pawan Kumar