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Vehicles on highway on-ramps are one of the leading contributors to congestion. In this paper, we propose a prediction framework that predicts the longitudinal trajectories and lane changes (LCs) of vehicles on highway on-ramps and tapers.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-25 Nachuan Li , Riley Fischer , Wissam Kontar , Soyoung Ahn

Travel behavior prediction is a core problem in transportation demand management and is traditionally addressed using numerical models calibrated on observed data. With recent advances in large language models (LLMs), new opportunities have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Baichuan Mo , Hanyong Xu , Ruoyun Ma , Jung-Hoon Cho , Dingyi Zhuang , Xiaotong Guo , Jinhua Zhao

Urban resource scheduling is an important part of the development of a smart city, and transportation resources are the main components of urban resources. Currently, a series of problems with transportation resources such as unbalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Dongjie Wang , Yan Yang , Shangming Ning

Improving road safety is hugely important with the number of deaths on the world's roads remaining unacceptably high; an estimated 1.35 million people die each year (WHO, 2020). Current practice for treating collision hotspots is almost…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 Nicola Hewett , Andrew Golightly , Lee Fawcett , Neil Thorpe

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

Despite measures to reduce congestion, occurrences of both recurrent and non-recurrent congestion cause large delays in road networks with important economic implications. Educated use of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Nikki Levering , Marko Boon , Michel Mandjes , Rudesindo Núñez-Queija

Service-level mobile traffic prediction for individual users is essential for network efficiency and quality of service enhancement. However, current prediction methods are limited in their adaptability across different urban environments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Shiyuan Zhang , Tong Li , Zhu Xiao , Hongyang Du , Kaibin Huang

In this paper, we consider a dynamic equilibrium transportation problem. There is a fixed number of cars moving from origin to destination areas. Preferences for arrival times are expressed as a cost of arriving before or after the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-02 Victoria Guseva , Ilya Sklonin , Irina Podlipnova , Demyan Yarmoshik , Alexander Gasnikov

Real-time traffic prediction from high-fidelity spatiotemporal traffic sensor datasets is an important problem for intelligent transportation systems and sustainability. However, it is challenging due to the complex topological dependencies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Dingxiong Deng , Cyrus Shahabi , Ugur Demiryurek , Linhong Zhu , Rose Yu , Yan Liu

Traffic congestion at intersections is a significant issue in urban areas, leading to increased commute times, safety hazards, and operational inefficiencies. This study aims to develop a predictive model for congestion at intersections in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Tara Kelly , Jessica Gupta

Accurate and reliable travel time predictions in public transport networks are essential for delivering an attractive service that is able to compete with other modes of transport in urban areas. The traditional application of this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Camara Pereira

In order to drive safely and efficiently on public roads, autonomous vehicles will have to understand the intentions of surrounding vehicles, and adapt their own behavior accordingly. If experienced human drivers are generally good at…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-01-26 Florent Altché , Arnaud de La Fortelle

Inter-city highway transportation is significant for citizens' modern urban life and generates heterogeneous sensory data with spatio-temporal characteristics. As a routine analysis in transportation domain, daily traffic volume estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Weilong Ding , Tianpu Zhang , Zhe Wang

Most optimal routing problems focus on minimizing travel time or distance traveled. Oftentimes, a more useful objective is to maximize the probability of on-time arrival, which requires statistical distributions of travel times, rather than…

To improve the routing decisions of individual drivers and the management policies designed by traffic operators, one needs reliable estimates of travel time distributions. Since congestion caused by both recurrent patterns (e.g., rush…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-13 Nikki Levering , Marko Boon , Michel Mandjes

A simple algorithm for constructing an effective traffic model is presented. The algorithm uses statistically well-defined quantities extracted from the flow-density plot, and the resulting effective model naturally captures and predicts…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-12-16 Bo Yang , Christopher Monterola

Predicting the traffic incident duration is a hard problem to solve due to the stochastic nature of incident occurrence in space and time, a lack of information at the beginning of a reported traffic disruption, and lack of advanced methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Artur Grigorev , Adriana-Simona Mihaita , Khaled Saleh , Massimo Piccardi

Large language models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated strong reasoning capabilities and attracted increasing research attention in the field of autonomous driving (AD). However, safe application of LLMs on AD perception and prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Yanjiao Liu , Jiawei Liu , Xun Gong , Zifei Nie

Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou

Accurate prediction of traffic signal duration for roadway junction is a challenging problem due to the dynamic nature of traffic flows. Though supervised learning can be used, parameters may vary across roadway junctions. In this paper, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Santhosh Kelathodi Kumaran , Debi Prosad Dogra , Partha Pratim Roy