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Data valuation using Shapley value has emerged as a prevalent research domain in machine learning applications. However, it is a challenge to address the role of order in data cooperation as most research lacks such discussion. To tackle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Jie Liu , Peizheng Wang , Chao Wu

Existing feature attribution methods like SHAP often suffer from global dependence, failing to capture true local model behavior. This paper introduces VARSHAP, a novel model-agnostic local feature attribution method which uses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Mateusz Gajewski , Mikołaj Morzy , Adam Karczmarz , Piotr Sankowski

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

Shapley values originated in cooperative game theory but are extensively used today as a model-agnostic explanation framework to explain predictions made by complex machine learning models in the industry and academia. There are several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

Comparing two samples of data, we observe a change in the distribution of an outcome variable. In the presence of multiple explanatory variables, how much of the change can be explained by each possible cause? We develop a new estimation…

This paper addresses Monte Carlo algorithms for calculating the Shapley-Shubik power index in weighted majority games. First, we analyze a naive Monte Carlo algorithm and discuss the required number of samples. We then propose an efficient…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Yuto Ushioda , Masato Tanaka , Tomomi Matsui

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

Inspired by the well-established variance-based methods for global sensitivity analysis, we develop a local total sensitivity index that decomposes the global total sensitivity conditions by independent variables' values. We employ this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Brian W. Bush , Joanne Wendelberger , Rebecca Hanes

Sensitivity indices are commonly used to quantity the relative inuence of any specic group of input variables on the output of a computer code. In this paper, we focus both on computer codes the output of which is a cumulative distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Jean-Claude Fort , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux

Explaining complex or seemingly simple machine learning models is an important practical problem. We want to explain individual predictions from a complex machine learning model by learning simple, interpretable explanations. Shapley values…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-07 Kjersti Aas , Martin Jullum , Anders Løland

A quantitative assessment of the global importance of an agent in a team is as valuable as gold for strategists, decision-makers, and sports coaches. Yet, retrieving this information is not trivial since in a cooperative task it is hard to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Giorgio Angelotti , Natalia Díaz-Rodríguez

We provide an inferential framework to assess variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects. This assessment is especially useful in high-risk domains such as medicine, where decision makers hesitate to rely on black-box treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Pawel Morzywolek , Peter B. Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is frequently used to analyze the influence of uncertain parameters in mathematical models and simulations. In principle, tools from GSA may be extended to analyze the influence of parameters in statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-29 Joseph Hart , Julie Bessac , Emil Constantinescu

Probabilistic graphical models, such as Markov random fields (MRF), exploit dependencies among random variables to model a rich family of joint probability distributions. Sophisticated inference algorithms, such as belief propagation (BP),…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Yifei Liu , Chao Chen , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

Sensitivity analysis measures the influence of a Bayesian network's parameters on a quantity of interest defined by the network, such as the probability of a variable taking a specific value. Various sensitivity measures have been defined…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-02 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Shapley value and its priority-aware extensions are widely used for valuation in machine learning, but existing methods require pairwise priority to be binary and acyclic, a restriction spectacularly violated in real-data examples such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Kiljae Lee , Ziqi Liu , Weijing Tang , Yuan Zhang

Numerical simulators are widely used to model physical phenomena and global sensitivity analysis (GSA) aims at studying the global impact of the input uncertainties on the simulator output. To perform GSA, statistical tools based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Anouar Meynaoui , Amandine Marrel , Béatrice Laurent

Variance-based sensitivity indices have established themselves as a reference among practitioners of sensitivity analysis of model output. It is not unusual to consider a variance-based sensitivity analysis as informative if it produces at…

Sensitivity analysis is a process of computing sensitivity indices, which are certain measures of importance of parameters in influencing the outputs of mathematical models. Sensitivity indices computed in variance-based sensitivity…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-04 Tomasz Badowski
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