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We study counterfactual regression, which aims to map input features to outcomes under hypothetical scenarios that differ from those observed in the data. This is particularly useful for decision-making when adapting to sudden shifts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Kwangho Kim

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

The choice of the parameter value for regularized inverse problems is critical to the results and remains a topic of interest. This article explores a criterion for selecting a good parameter value by maximizing the probability of the data,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Toby Sanders , Rodrigo B. Platte , Robert D. Skeel

We consider a general proportional odds model for survival data under binary treatment, where the functional form of the covariates is left unspecified. We derive the efficient score for the conditional survival odds ratio given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic , Ronghui Xu

Population attributable fractions aim to quantify the proportion of the cases of an outcome (for example, a disease) that would have been avoided had no individuals in the population been exposed to a given exposure. This quantity thus…

With multiple outcomes in empirical research, a common strategy is to define a composite outcome as a weighted average of the original outcomes. However, the choices of weights are often subjective and can be controversial. We propose an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Wei Zhang , Qizhai Li , Peng Ding

Modern statistics provides an ever-expanding toolkit for estimating unknown parameters. Consequently, applied statisticians frequently face a difficult decision: retain a parameter estimate from a familiar method or replace it with an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-20 Brian L. Trippe , Sameer K. Deshpande , Tamara Broderick

Consider a problem of predicting a response variable using a set of covariates in a linear regression model. If it is \emph{a priori} known or suspected that a subset of the covariates do not significantly contribute to the overall fit of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-13 SM Enayetur Raheem , S. Ejaz Ahmed

Weighting methods in causal inference have been widely used to achieve a desirable level of covariate balancing. However, the existing weighting methods have desirable theoretical properties only when a certain model, either the propensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-24 Insung Kong , Yuha Park , Joonhyuk Jung , Kwonsang Lee , Yongdai Kim

In this work we construct an optimal shrinkage estimator for the precision matrix in high dimensions. We consider the general asymptotics when the number of variables $p\rightarrow\infty$ and the sample size $n\rightarrow\infty$ so that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Arjun K. Gupta , Nestor Parolya

Sparse reduced rank regression is an essential statistical learning method. In the contemporary literature, estimation is typically formulated as a nonconvex optimization that often yields to a local optimum in numerical computation. Yet,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Canhong Wen , Ruipeng Dong , Xueqin Wang , Weiyu Li , Heping Zhang

When estimating the treatment effect in an observational study, we use a semiparametric locally efficient dimension reduction approach to assess both the treatment assignment mechanism and the average responses in both treated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-26 Trinetri Ghosh , Yanyuan Ma , Xavier de Luna

We propose a new class of estimators of the multivariate response linear regression coefficient matrix that exploits the assumption that the response and predictors have a joint multivariate Normal distribution. This allows us to indirectly…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-17 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

We tackle covariance estimation in low-sample scenarios, employing a structured covariance matrix with shrinkage methods. These involve convexly combining a low-bias/high-variance empirical estimate with a biased regularization estimator,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-28 Olivier Flasseur , Eric Thiébaut , Loïc Denis , Maud Langlois

Negative binomial distribution is the most used distribution to model macro-parasite burden in hosts. However reliable maximum likelihood parameter estimation from data is far from trivial. No closed formula is available and numerical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-24 Gonzalo Maximiliano Lopez , Juan Pablo Aparicio

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

Inverse optimal control can be used to characterize behavior in sequential decision-making tasks. Most existing work, however, is limited to fully observable or linear systems, or requires the action signals to be known. Here, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Dominik Straub , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

In the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, data are often informative, relative to the prior, only on a low-dimensional subspace of the parameter space. Significant computational savings can be achieved by using this subspace to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Alessio Spantini , Antti Solonen , Tiangang Cui , James Martin , Luis Tenorio , Youssef Marzouk

In this paper a new distribution is proposed. This new model provides more flexibility to modeling data with upside-down bathtub hazard rate function. A significant account of mathematical properties of the new distribution is presented.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada , Taciana K. O. Shimizu , Aline O. Luiz

In this paper we introduce five different algorithms based on method of moments, maximum likelihood and full Bayesian estimation for learning the parameters of the Inverse Gamma distribution. We also provide an expression for the KL…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-11 A. Llera , C. F. Beckmann