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In the era of increasingly complex AI models for time series forecasting, progress is often measured by marginal improvements on benchmark leaderboards. However, this approach suffers from a fundamental flaw: standard evaluation metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wanjin Feng , Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Measles is considered as a highly contagious disease that leads to serious complications around the world. Thus, the paper determined the trend and the five-year forecasted data of the Measles in the Philippines. This study utilized the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Hidear Talirongan , Markdy Y. Orong , Florence Jean B. Talirongan

Being able to model and forecast international migration as precisely as possible is crucial for policymaking. Recently Google Trends data in addition to other economic and demographic data have been shown to improve the forecasting quality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Nicolas Golenvaux , Pablo Gonzalez Alvarez , Harold Silvère Kiossou , Pierre Schaus

Seizure forecasting using machine learning is possible, but the performance is far from ideal, as indicated by many false predictions and low specificity. Here, we examine false and missing alarms of two algorithms on long-term datasets to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Jens Müller , Hongliu Yang , Matthias Eberlein , Georg Leonhardt , Ortrud Uckermann , Levin Kuhlmann , Ronald Tetzlaff

Autonomous mobile robots require accurate human motion predictions to safely and efficiently navigate among pedestrians, whose behavior may adapt to environmental changes. This paper introduces a self-supervised continual learning framework…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Luzia Knoedler , Chadi Salmi , Hai Zhu , Bruno Brito , Javier Alonso-Mora

Performance and high availability have become increasingly important drivers, amongst other drivers, for user retention in the context of web services such as social networks, and web search. Exogenic and/or endogenic factors often give…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-26 Jordan Hochenbaum , Owen S. Vallis , Arun Kejariwal

Diabetes is one of the deadliest diseases in the world and affects nearly 10 percent of the global adult population. Fortunately, powerful new technologies allow for a consistent and reliable treatment plan for people with diabetes. One…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-08 Julia Ann Jose , Trae Waggoner , Sudarsan Manikandan

An ensemble of classifiers combines several single classifiers to deliver a final prediction or classification decision. An increasingly provoking question is whether such systems can outperform the single best classifier. If so, what form…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Bhekisipho Twala , Eamon Molloy

Google uses continuous streams of data from industry partners in order to deliver accurate results to users. Unexpected drops in traffic can be an indication of an underlying issue and may be an early warning that remedial action may be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-15 Dominique T. Shipmon , Jason M. Gurevitch , Paolo M. Piselli , Stephen T. Edwards

Influenza epidemics result in a public health and economic burden around the globe. Traditional surveillance techniques, which rely on doctor visits, provide data with a delay of 1-2 weeks. A means of obtaining real-time data and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-11 Wendy K. Caldwell , Geoffrey Fairchild , Sara Y. Del Valle

Abstract. Detecting anomalies in patterns of sensor data is important in many practical applications, including domestic activity monitoring for Active Assisted Living (AAL). How to represent and analyse these patterns, however, remains a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Manuel Fernandez-Carmona , Sariah Mghames , Nicola Bellotto

The simulation of the dynamical behavior of pedestrians and crowds in spatial structures is a consolidated research and application context that still presents challenges for researchers in different fields and disciplines. Despite…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-08-18 Giuseppe Vizzari , Stefania Bandini

This research endeavors to harness the potential of existing Closed-Circuit Television (CCTV) networks for a comprehensive approach to crowd management, crime prevention, and workplace monitoring through the integration of Artificial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-22 P. R. Adithya , Dheepak. S , B. Akash , Harshini. V , Sai Lakshana

Context: With artificial intelligence (AI) being well established within the daily lives of research communities, we turn our gaze toward formal methods (FM). FM aim to provide sound and verifiable reasoning about problems in computer…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Sebastian Stock , Jannik Dunkelau , Atif Mashkoor

Autoregressive models (ARMs) currently hold state-of-the-art performance in likelihood-based modeling of image and audio data. Generally, neural network based ARMs are designed to allow fast inference, but sampling from these models is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Auke Wiggers , Emiel Hoogeboom

Large and stable indices of the world wide stock markets such as NYSE and SP 500 together with NASDAQ -- the index representing markets of new trends, and WIG -- the index of the local stock market of Eastern Europe, are considered. Due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Danuta Makowiec

Meta-forecasting is a newly emerging field which combines meta-learning and time series forecasting. The goal of meta-forecasting is to train over a collection of source time series and generalize to new time series one-at-a-time. Previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Mike Van Ness , Huibin Shen , Hao Wang , Xiaoyong Jin , Danielle C. Maddix , Karthick Gopalswamy

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Taichi Murayama , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

The disease trajectory for clinical sepsis, in terms of temporal cytokine and phenotypic dynamics, can be interpreted as a random dynamical system. The ability to make accurate predictions about patient state from clinical measurements has…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-30 Dale Larie , Gary An , Chase Cockrell

The deployment of pre-trained perception models in novel environments often leads to performance degradation due to distributional shifts. Although recent artificial intelligence approaches for metacognition use logical rules to…