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This paper proposes an algorithm to calculate the maximal probability of unsafety with respect to trajectories of a stochastic process and a hazard set. The unsafe probability estimation problem is cast as a primal-dual pair of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Jared Miller , Matteo Tacchi , Didier Henrion , Mario Sznaier

In the standard stochastic block model for networks, the probability of a connection between two nodes, often referred to as the edge probability, depends on the unobserved communities each of these nodes belongs to. We consider a flexible…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Yuichi Kitamura , Louise Laage

We consider an unconstrained continuous optimization problem where, in each iteration, gradient estimates may be arbitrarily corrupted with a probability greater than 1/2. Additionally, function value estimates may exhibit heavy-tailed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Katya Scheinberg , Miaolan Xie

Network reliability is an important metric to evaluate the connectivity among given vertices in uncertain graphs. Since the network reliability problem is known as #P-complete, existing studies have used approximation techniques. In this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Yuya Sasaki , Yasuhiro Fujiwara , Makoto Onizuka

Flow-based models are powerful tools for designing probabilistic models with tractable density. This paper introduces Convex Potential Flows (CP-Flow), a natural and efficient parameterization of invertible models inspired by the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Chin-Wei Huang , Ricky T. Q. Chen , Christos Tsirigotis , Aaron Courville

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

The growth of the number of people in the monitoring scene may increase the probability of security threat, which makes crowd counting more and more important. Most of the existing approaches estimate the number of pedestrians within one…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-18 Liqing Gao , Yanzhang Wang , Xin Ye , Jian Wang

In this paper, we investigate the use of variable speed limits for resilient operation of transportation networks, which are modeled as dynamical flow networks under local routing decisions. In such systems, some external inflow is injected…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-22 A. Yasin Yazicioglu , Mardavij Roozbehani , Munther A. Dahleh

A machine-learning strategy for investigating the stability of fluid flow problems is proposed herein. The goal is to provide a simple yet robust methodology to find a nonlinear mapping from the parametric space to an indicator representing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-06 David J. Silvester

Power minimisation in branched fluidic networks has gained significant attention in biology and engineering. The optimal network is defined by channel radii that minimise the sum of viscous dissipation and the volumetric energetic cost of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-16 Jan Siemen Smink , Rob Hagmeijer , Cornelis Henricus Venner , Claas Willem Visser

We study discrete-time finite-horizon optimal control problems in probability spaces, whereby the state of the system is a probability measure. We show that, in many instances, the solution of dynamic programming in probability spaces…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Antonio Terpin , Nicolas Lanzetti , Florian Dörfler

Scenario decision making offers a flexible way of making decision in an uncertain environment while obtaining probabilistic guarantees on the risk of failure of the decision. The idea of this approach is to draw samples of the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Guillaume O. Berger

Iterative trajectory optimization techniques for non-linear dynamical systems are among the most powerful and sample-efficient methods of model-based reinforcement learning and approximate optimal control. By leveraging time-variant local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-01 Onur Celik , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

Robust network flows are a concept for dealing with uncertainty and unforeseen failures in the network infrastructure. They and their dual counterpart, network flow interdiction, have received steady attention within the operations research…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Yann Disser , Jannik Matuschke

With the rise of smartphones and the internet-of-things, data is increasingly getting generated at the edge on local, personal devices. For privacy, latency and energy saving reasons, this shift is causing machine learning algorithms to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Jiaqi Li , Ross Drummond , Stephen R. Duncan

Planning problems are hard, motion planning, for example, isPSPACE-hard. Such problems are even more difficult in the presence of uncertainty. Although, Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) provide a formal framework for such problems, finding…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Carlos E. Guestrin , Dirk Ormoneit

A method based on deep artificial neural networks and empirical risk minimization is developed to calculate the boundary separating the stopping and continuation regions in optimal stopping. The algorithm parameterizes the stopping boundary…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-26 A. Max Reppen , H. Mete Soner , Valentin Tissot-Daguette

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is the task of estimating the probability of an event conditioned on some inputs. A neural network (NN) can also be used to compute the output distribution for continuous-domain, which can be viewed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Bing Chen , Mazharul Islam , Jisuo Gao , Lin Wang

Small-scale turbulence can be comprehensively described in terms of velocity gradients, which makes them an appealing starting point for low-dimensional modeling. Typical models consist of stochastic equations based on closures for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-03-01 Maurizio Carbone , Vincent J. Peterhans , Alexander S. Ecker , Michael Wilczek

We formulate an optimization problem to estimate probability densities in the context of multidimensional problems that are sampled with uneven probability. It considers detector sensitivity as an heterogeneous density and takes advantage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Aleix Boquet-Pujadas , Pol del Aguila Pla , Michael Unser
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