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Many critical decisions, such as personalized medical diagnoses and product pricing, are made based on insights gained from designing, observing, and analyzing a series of experiments. This highlights the crucial role of experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-03 Daolang Huang , Yujia Guo , Luigi Acerbi , Samuel Kaski

Sequential algorithms are popular for experimental design, enabling emulation, optimisation and inference to be efficiently performed. For most of these applications bespoke software has been developed, but the approach is general and many…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-18 Matthew A. Fisher , Onur Teymur , Chris. J. Oates

Residual marked empirical process-based tests are commonly used in regression models. However, they suffer from data sparseness in high-dimensional space when there are many covariates. This paper has three purposes. First, we suggest a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-27 Xuehu Zhu , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a method to perform inference on a variety of complex scientific models with challenging inference (inverse) problems. Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) aims to efficiently use experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-13 Vincent D. Zaballa , Elliot E. Hui

Adaptive experiments such as multi-armed bandits offer efficiency gains over traditional randomized experiments but pose two major challenges: invalid inference on the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) due to adaptive sampling and low…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Daniel Molitor , Samantha Gold

Despite the increasing prevalence of vector observations, computation of optimal experimental design for multi-response models has received limited attention. To address this problem within the framework of approximate designs, we introduce…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-13 Pál Somogyi , Samuel Rosa , Radoslav Harman

Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks to conduct the most informative experiment under budget constraints to update the prior knowledge of a system to its posterior from the experimental data in a Bayesian framework. Such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann , Peng Chen

Optimal experimental design (OED) concerns itself with identifying ideal methods of data collection, e.g.~via sensor placement. The \emph{greedy algorithm}, that is, placing one sensor at a time, in an iteratively optimal manner, stands as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Christian Aarset

We study the problem of group testing with a non-adaptive randomized algorithm in the random incidence design (RID) model where each entry in the test is chosen randomly independently from $\{0,1\}$ with a fixed probability $p$. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-10 Nader H. Bshouty , Nuha Diab , Shada R. Kawar , Robert J. Shahla

In this paper, we study a sequential decision-making problem, called Adaptive Sampling for Discovery (ASD). Starting with a large unlabeled dataset, algorithms for ASD adaptively label the points with the goal to maximize the sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-04 Ziping Xu , Eunjae Shim , Ambuj Tewari , Paul Zimmerman

An adaptive scheme to generate reduced-order models for parametric nonlinear dynamical systems is proposed. It aims to automatize the POD-Greedy algorithm combined with empirical interpolation. At each iteration, it is able to adaptively…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Sridhar Chellappa , Lihong Feng , Peter Benner

Approximate probabilistic inference algorithms are central to many fields. Examples include sequential Monte Carlo inference in robotics, variational inference in machine learning, and Markov chain Monte Carlo inference in statistics. A key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Response-adaptive randomization (RAR) has been studied extensively in conventional, single-stage clinical trials, where it has been shown to yield ethical and statistical benefits, especially in trials with many treatment arms. However, RAR…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Peter Norwood , Marie Davidian , Eric Laber

Bayesian experimental design (BED) aims at designing an experiment to maximize the information gathering from the collected data. The optimal design is usually achieved by maximizing the mutual information (MI) between the data and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jiaxin Zhang , Sirui Bi , Guannan Zhang

We study the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) in adaptive experiments where treatment can only be encouraged -- rather than directly assigned -- via a binary instrumental variable. Building on semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Miruna Oprescu , Brian M Cho , Nathan Kallus

In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

Many chemical and biological experiments involve multiple treatment factors and often it is convenient to fit a nonlinear model in these factors. This nonlinear model can be mechanistic, empirical or a hybrid of the two. Motivated by…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-09 Yuanzhi Huang , Steven Gilmour , Kalliopi Mylona , Peter Goos

We develop a set of algorithms to solve a broad class of Design of Experiment (DoE) problems efficiently. Specifically, we consider problems in which one must choose a subset of polymers to test in experiments such that the learning of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 Swagatam Mukhopadhyay

Questions of `how best to acquire data' are essential to modeling and prediction in the natural and social sciences, engineering applications, and beyond. Optimal experimental design (OED) formalizes these questions and creates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Xun Huan , Jayanth Jagalur , Youssef Marzouk

In nested simulation literature, a common assumption is that the experimenter can choose the number of outer scenarios to sample. This paper considers the case when the experimenter is given a fixed set of outer scenarios from an external…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Mingbin Ben Feng , Eunhye Song