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Predicting how distributions over discrete variables vary over time is a common task in time series forecasting. But whereas most approaches focus on merely predicting the distribution at subsequent time steps, a crucial piece of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Mukul Bhutani , J. Zico Kolter

We show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is an effective tool for mitigating non-flow effects in flow analysis. To this end, one constructs two toy models that simulate non-flow contributions corresponding to particle decay and…

In this work, we developed a network inference method from incomplete data ("PathInf") , as massive and non-uniformly distributed missing values is a common challenge in practical problems. PathInf is a two-stages inference model. In the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-02 Xiang Li , Qitian Chen , Xing Wang , Ning Guo , Nan Wu , Quanzheng Li

Flexible Bayesian models are typically constructed using limits of large parametric models with a multitude of parameters that are often uninterpretable. In this article, we offer a novel alternative by constructing an exponentially tilted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

Link Streams were proposed a few years ago as a model of temporal networks. We seek to understand the topological and temporal nature of those objects through efficiently computing the distances, latencies and lengths of shortest fastest…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-05 Frédéric Simard

Logistic regression models are a popular and effective method to predict the probability of categorical response data. However inference for these models can become computationally prohibitive for large datasets. Here we adapt ideas from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Tom Whitaker , Boris Beranger , Scott A. Sisson

This paper describes a low-complexity approach for reconstructing average packet arrival rates and instantaneous packet counts at a router in a communication network, where the arrivals of packets in each flow follow a Poisson process.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-03-16 Maxim Raginsky , Sina Jafarpour , Rebecca Willett , Robert Calderbank

Network traffic matrix estimation is an ill-posed linear inverse problem: it requires to estimate the unobservable origin destination traffic flows, X, given the observable link traffic flows, Y, and a binary routing matrix, A, which are…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Syed Muhammad Atif , Nicolas Gillis , Sameer Qazi , Imran Naseem

A very popular class of models for networks posits that each node is represented by a point in a continuous latent space, and that the probability of an edge between nodes is a decreasing function of the distance between them in this latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Dena Marie Asta

Simulation-based inference enables learning the parameters of a model even when its likelihood cannot be computed in practice. One class of methods uses data simulated with different parameters to infer models of the likelihood-to-evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Giulio Isacchini , Natanael Spisak , Armita Nourmohammad , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

Network-level traffic condition forecasting has been intensively studied for decades. Although prediction accuracy has been continuously improved with emerging deep learning models and ever-expanding traffic data, traffic forecasting still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Guopeng Li , Victor L. Knoop , J. W. C. , van Lint

The application machine learning (ML) algorithms to turbulence modeling has shown promise over the last few years, but their application has been restricted to eddy viscosity based closure approaches. In this article we discuss rationale…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-31 J. P. Panda , H. V. Warrior

The Internet is transforming our society, necessitating a quantitative understanding of Internet traffic. Our team collects and curates the largest publicly available Internet traffic data containing 50 billion packets. Utilizing a novel…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Jeremy Kepner , Kenjiro Cho , KC Claffy , Vijay Gadepally , Peter Michaleas , Lauren Milechin

Among the most prevalent motion planning techniques, sampling and trajectory optimization have emerged successful due to their ability to handle tight constraints and high-dimensional systems, respectively. However, limitations in sampling…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Kalyan Vasudev Alwala , Mustafa Mukadam

Mechanistic network models specify the mechanisms by which networks grow and change, allowing researchers to investigate complex systems using both simulation and analytical techniques. Unfortunately, it is difficult to write likelihoods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Jonathan Larson , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

In this manuscript we review new ideas and first results on application of the Graphical Models approach, originated from Statistical Physics, Information Theory, Computer Science and Machine Learning, to optimization problems of network…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-02-08 Michael Chertkov , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray , Dvijotham Krishnamurty , Pascal Van Hentenryck

The availability of large scale streaming network data has reinforced the ubiquity of power-law distributions in observations and enabled precision measurements of the distribution parameters. The increased accuracy of these measurements…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-23 Pat Devlin , Jeremy Kepner , Ashley Luo , Erin Meger

We study diffusion of information packets on several classes of structured networks. Packets diffuse from a randomly chosen node to a specified destination in the network. As local transport rules we consider random diffusion and an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Bosiljka Tadic , Stefan Thurner

Online social network services provide a platform for human social interactions. Nowadays, many kinds of online interactions generate large-scale social network data. Network analysis helps to mine knowledge and pattern from the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Andry Alamsyah , Yahya Peranginangin , Intan Muchtadi-Alamsyah , Budi Rahardjo , Kuspriyanto
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