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Using proof-theoretic methods in the style of proof mining, we give novel computationally effective limit theorems for the convergence of the Cesaro-means of certain sequences of random variables. These results are intimately related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Morenikeji Neri

Hoeffding has shown that tail bounds on the distribution for sampling from a finite population with replacement also apply to the corresponding cases of sampling without replacement. (A special case of this result is that binomial tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-11 Kyle J. Luh , Nicholas Pippenger

We prove that the probability that a sum of independent random variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with bounded densities lies in a ball is maximized by taking uniform distributions on balls. This in turn generalizes a result by Rogozin on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-03 T. Juškevičius , J. D. Lee

Denote by $\lambda_1(A), \ldots, \lambda_n(A)$ the eigenvalues of an $(n\times n)$-matrix $A$. Let $Z_n$ be an $(n\times n)$-matrix chosen uniformly at random from the matrix analogue to the classical $\ell_ p^n$-ball, defined as the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno , Christoph Thaele

Large deviation theory is a branch of probability theory that is devoted to a study of the "rate" at which empirical estimates of various quantities converge to their true values. The object of study in this paper is the rate at which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-17 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

We derive in this article the exact non-asymptotical exponential and power estimates for self-normalized sums of centered independent random variables (r.v.) under natural norming. We will use also the theory of the so-called Grand Lebesgue…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We give a comparison inequality that allows one to estimate the tail probabilities of sums of independent Banach space valued random variables in terms of those of independent identically distributed random variables. More precisely, let…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stephen Montgomery-Smith , Alexander R. Pruss

In this paper, under mild assumptions, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem with an error estimate, an almost sure invariance principle and a variant of Chernoff bound in finite-state hidden Markov models. These limit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-13 Guangyue Han

We review a finite-sampling exponential bound due to Serfling and discuss related exponential bounds for the hypergeometric distribution. We then discuss how such bounds motivate some new results for two-sample empirical processes. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Evan Greene , Jon A. Wellner

Let $S_n$ be the sum of independent random variables with distribution $F$. Under the assumption that $-\log(1-F(x))$ is slowly varying, conditions for $$ \lim_{n\to\infty}\sup_{s\ge t_n}\left|{P[S_n>s]\over n(1-F(s))}-1\right| =0 $$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Daren B. H. Cline , Tailen Hsing

In \cite{FTD1}, we proved the almost sure convergence of eigenvalues of the SYK model, which can be viewed as a type of \emph{law of large numbers} in probability theory; in \cite{FTD2}, we proved that the linear statistic of eigenvalues…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-06-17 Renjie Feng , Gang Tian , Dongyi Wei

It is shown that at least 50% of the probability mass of a sum of independent Rademacher random variables is within one standard deviation from its mean. This lower bound is sharp, it is much better than for instance the bound that can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Martien C. A. van Zuijlen

We prove a strong law of large numbers for a class of strongly mixing processes. Our result rests on recent advances in understanding of concentration of measure. It is simple to apply and gives finite-sample (as opposed to asymptotic)…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-30 Aryeh Kontorovich , Anthony Brockwell

This note presents sharp inequalities for deviation probability of a general quadratic form of a random vector \(\xiv\) with finite exponential moments. The obtained deviation bounds are similar to the case of a Gaussian random vector. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-08 Vladimir Spokoiny

This paper addresses the advancement of probability tail bound analysis, a crucial statistical tool for assessing the probability of large deviations of random variables from their expected values. Traditional tail bounds, such as Markov's,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Shih-Yu Chang

We study stochastic dominance between portfolios of independent and identically distributed (iid) extremely heavy-tailed (i.e., infinite-mean) Pareto random variables. With the notion of majorization order, we show that a more diversified…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-11 Yuyu Chen , Taizhong Hu , Ruodu Wang , Zhenfeng Zou

We study tail probabilities via some Gaussian approximations. Our results make refinements to large deviation theory. The proof builds on classical results by Bahadur and Rao. Binomial distributions and their tail probabilities are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Laszlo Gyorfi , Peter Harremoes , Gabor Tusnady

In probability theory, the Chernoff bound gives exponentially decreasing bounds on tail distributions for sums of independent random variables and such bound is applied at different fields in science and engineering. In this work, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Shih Yu Chang

We prove a converse Lyapunov theorem for boundedness of reachability sets for a general class of control systems whose flow is Lipschitz continuous on compact intervals with respect to trajectory-dominated inputs. We show that this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Patrick Bachmann , Andrii Mironchenko

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li