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This work is devoted to a vast extension of Sanov's theorem, in Laplace principle form, based on alternatives to the classical convex dual pair of relative entropy and cumulant generating functional. The abstract results give rise to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Daniel Lacker

We present an alternative proof of Sanov's theorem for Polish spaces in the weak topology that follows via discretization arguments. We combine the simpler version of Sanov's Theorem for discrete finite spaces and well chosen finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Rangel Baldasso , Roberto I. Oliveira , Alan Pereira , Guilherme Reis

Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

We show sharp bounds for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent random variables satisfying Bernstein's condition. One such bound is very close to the tail of the standard Gaussian law in certain case; other bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

In this work we present concentration inequalities for the sum $S_n$ of independent integer-valued not necessary indentically distributed random variables, where each variable has tail function that can be bounded by some power function…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Oleksii Omelchenko , Andrei A. Bulatov

We prove anti-concentration results for polynomials of independent random variables with arbitrary degree. Our results extend the classical Littlewood-Offord result for linear polynomials, and improve several earlier estimates. We discuss…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Raghu Meka , Oanh Nguyen , Van Vu

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables, and put $S_n=X_1+...+X_n$. Under some conditions on the positive sequence $\tau_n$ and the positive increasing sequence $a_n$, we give necessary…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander R. Pruss

In various disordered systems or non-equilibrium dynamical models, the large deviations of some observables have been found to display different scalings for rare values bigger or smaller than the typical value. In the present paper, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

We prove extensions of classical concentration inequalities for random variables which have $\alpha$-subexponential tail decay for any $\alpha \in (0,2]$. This includes Hanson--Wright type and convex concentration inequalities. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-09 Holger Sambale

This note describes non-asymptotic variance and tail bounds for order statistics of samples of independent identically distributed random variables. Those bounds are checked to be asymptotically tight when the sampling distribution belongs…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Stephane Boucheron , Maud Thomas

We consider dynamical systems on a finite measure space fulfilling a spectral gap property and Birkhoff sums of a non-negative, non-integrable observable. For such systems we generalize strong laws of large numbers for intermediately…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Marc Kesseböhmer , Tanja Schindler

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

We describe five types of results concerning information and concentration of discrete random variables, and relationships between them, motivated by their counterparts in the continuous case. The results we consider are information…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Oliver Johnson

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao