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Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

The mean field approximation to the Ising model is a canonical variational tool that is used for analysis and inference in Ising models. We provide a simple and optimal bound for the KL error of the mean field approximation for Ising models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-22 Vishesh Jain , Frederic Koehler , Elchanan Mossel

In nonlinear deterministic parameter estimation, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is unable to attain the Cramer-Rao lower bound at low and medium signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) due the threshold and ambiguity phenomena. In order to…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Achraf Mallat , Sinan Gezici , Davide Dardari , Christophe Craeye , Luc Vandendorpe

Recent advances in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) extend the scope of Bayesian inference to models for which the likelihood function is intractable. Although these developments allow us to estimate model parameters, other basic problems…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-12 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Marcel Scharth , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Scott D. Brown , Guy E. Hawkins

The accessibility of vast volumes of unlabeled data has sparked growing interest in semi-supervised learning (SSL) and covariate shift transfer learning (CSTL). In this paper, we present an inference framework for estimating regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Ye Tian , Peng Wu , Zhiqiang Tan

The ability to quantify information transmission is crucial for the analysis and design of natural and engineered systems. The information transmission rate is the fundamental measure for systems with time-varying signals, yet computing it…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-09-26 Manuel Reinhardt , Gašper Tkačik , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

We develop here a novel transfer learning methodology called Profiled Transfer Learning (PTL). The method is based on the \textit{approximate-linear} assumption between the source and target parameters. Compared with the commonly assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Ziqian Lin , Junlong Zhao , Fang Wang , Hansheng Wang

In order to perform machine learning among multiple parties while protecting the privacy of raw data, privacy-preserving machine learning based on secure multi-party computation (MPL for short) has been a hot spot in recent. The…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Lushan Song , Jiaxuan Wang , Zhexuan Wang , Xinyu Tu , Guopeng Lin , Wenqiang Ruan , Haoqi Wu , Weili Han

We study the problem of testing, using only a single sample, between mean field distributions (like Curie-Weiss, Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) and structured Gibbs distributions (like Ising model on sparse graphs and Exponential Random Graphs). Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Guy Bresler , Dheeraj Nagaraj

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

Subsampling techniques can reduce the computational costs of processing big data. Practical subsampling plans typically involve initial uniform sampling and refined sampling. With a subsample, big data inferences are generally built on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Yan Fan , Yang Liu , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin

In order to learn the complex features of large spatio-temporal data, models with large parameter sets are often required. However, estimating a large number of parameters is often infeasible due to the computational and memory costs of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-02 Matthew Edwards , Stefano Castruccio , Dorit Hammerling

Maximum pseudolikelihood method has been among the most important methods for learning parameters of statistical physics models, such as Ising models. In this paper, we study how pseudolikelihood can be derived for learning parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Onur Dikmen

We study the consistency and optimality of the maximum marginal likelihood estimate (MMLE) in the hyperparameter inference for large-degree-of-freedom models. We perform main analyses within the exponential family, where the natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Dye SK Sato , Yukitoshi Fukahata

We investigate the problem of statistical inference for logistic regression with high-dimensional covariates in settings where dependence among individuals is induced by an underlying Markov random field. Going beyond the pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Josh Miles , Sohom Bhattacharya

In this paper, we consider an infinite dimensional exponential family, $\mathcal{P}$ of probability densities, which are parametrized by functions in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, $H$ and show it to be quite rich in the sense that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Bharath Sriperumbudur , Kenji Fukumizu , Arthur Gretton , Aapo Hyvärinen , Revant Kumar

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation using Newton's method in nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging problem due to the analytical intractability of the log-likelihood and its gradient and Hessian. We estimate the gradient and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-11 Manon Kok , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön , Adrian Wills

Given a sequence of observations from a discrete-time, finite-state hidden Markov model, we would like to estimate the sampling distribution of a statistic. The bootstrap method is employed to approximate the confidence regions of a…

Computation · Statistics 2009-09-29 Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

Applying standard statistical methods after model selection may yield inefficient estimators and hypothesis tests that fail to achieve nominal type-I error rates. The main issue is the fact that the post-selection distribution of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-23 Amit Meir , Mathias Drton

Recently, many machine learning and statistical models such as non-linear regressions, the Single Index, Multi-index, Varying Coefficient Index Models and Two-layer Neural Networks can be reduced to or be seen as a special case of a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Di Wang , Xiangyu Guo , Chaowen Guan , Shi Li , Jinhui Xu
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