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Time series forecasting is one of the most active research topics. Machine learning methods have been increasingly adopted to solve these predictive tasks. However, in a recent work, these were shown to systematically present a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Machine Learning (ML) is an application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) that uses big data to produce complex predictions and decision-making systems, which would be challenging to obtain otherwise. To ensure the success of ML-enabled…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Khan Mohammad Habibullah , Jennifer Horkoff

The machine learning (ML) techniques to predict unitarity (UNI) and bounded from below (BFB) constraints in multi-scalar models is employed. The effectiveness of this approach is demonstrated by applying it to the two and three Higgs…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-01-18 Darius Jurčiukonis

Machine Learning is a powerful tool to reveal and exploit correlations in a multi-dimensional parameter space. Making predictions from such correlations is a highly non-trivial task, in particular when the details of the underlying dynamics…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-01-30 Christoph Englert , Peter Galler , Philip Harris , Michael Spannowsky

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

This systematic review examines how machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) have transformed forecasting, decision-making, and financial modelling, promoting innovation and efficiency in financial systems. Following PRISMA 2020…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Soufiane El Amine El Alami , Abderazzak Mouiha , Abdelatif Hafid , Ahmed El Hilali Alaoui

We study the impacts of business cycles on machine learning (ML) predictions. Using the S&P 500 index, we find that ML models perform worse during most recessions, and the inclusion of recession history or the risk-free rate does not…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-21 Li Rong Wang , Hsuan Fu , Xiuyi Fan

This paper presents a comparative analysis evaluating the accuracy of Large Language Models (LLMs) against traditional macro time series forecasting approaches. In recent times, LLMs have surged in popularity for forecasting due to their…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-25 Andrea Carriero , Davide Pettenuzzo , Shubhranshu Shekhar

The digitalization of credit scoring has become essential for financial institutions and commercial banks, especially in the era of digital transformation. Machine learning techniques are commonly used to evaluate customers'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Huyen Giang Thi Thu , Thang Viet Doan , Ha-Bang Ban , Tai Le Quy

This paper presents a time series forecasting framework which combines standard forecasting methods and a machine learning model. The inputs to the machine learning model are not lagged values or regular time series features, but instead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Shi Zhao , Ying Feng

The numerous recent breakthroughs in machine learning (ML) make imperative to carefully ponder how the scientific community can benefit from a technology that, although not necessarily new, is today living its golden age. This Grand…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Enrico Camporeale

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Behavioral economics changed the way we think about market participants and revolutionized policy-making by introducing the concept of choice architecture. However, even though effective on the level of a population, interventions from…

General Economics · Economics 2019-07-05 Emir Hrnjic , Nikodem Tomczak

In the era of big data, machine learning (ML) has become a powerful tool in various fields, notably impacting structural dynamics. ML algorithms offer advantages by modeling physical phenomena based on data, even in the absence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Wang-Ji Yan , Lin-Feng Mei , Jiang Mo , Costas Papadimitriou , Ka-Veng Yuen , Michael Beer

Many machine learning (ML) approaches are widely used to generate bioclimatic models for prediction of geographic range of organism as a function of climate. Applications such as prediction of range shift in organism, range of invasive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-19 Maumita Bhattacharya

Artificial neural networks will always make a prediction, even when completely uncertain and regardless of the consequences. This obliviousness of uncertainty is a major obstacle towards their adoption in practice. Techniques exist,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

In the world of advice and financial planning, there is seldom one right answer. While traditional algorithms have been successful in solving linear problems, its success often depends on choosing the right features from a dataset, which…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-26 Shareefuddin Mohammed , Rusty Bealer , Jason Cohen

This paper surveys the machine learning literature and presents in an optimization framework several commonly used machine learning approaches. Particularly, mathematical optimization models are presented for regression, classification,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Claudio Gambella , Bissan Ghaddar , Joe Naoum-Sawaya

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

Climate change is accelerating the frequency and severity of unprecedented events, deviating from established patterns. Predicting these out-of-distribution (OOD) events is critical for assessing risks and guiding climate adaptation. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , María Pérez-Ortiz