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Conditional language models are predominantly trained with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), giving probability mass to sparsely observed target sequences. While MLE trained models assign high probability to plausible sequences given the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Yao Zhao , Misha Khalman , Rishabh Joshi , Shashi Narayan , Mohammad Saleh , Peter J. Liu

Interval-valued linear regression has been investigated for some time. One of the critical issues is optimizing the balance between model flexibility and interpretability. This paper proposes a linear model for interval-valued data based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-12 Yan Sun , Dan Ralescu

Many recent theoretical works on \emph{meta-learning} aim to achieve guarantees in leveraging similar representational structures from related tasks towards simplifying a target task. The main aim of theoretical guarantees on the subject is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Dimitri Meunier , Zhu Li , Arthur Gretton , Samory Kpotufe

In this paper we study some basic properties, like boundedness and closedness of range, of multiplication conditional expectation(MCE) operators between different Orlicz spaces.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-10 Y. Estaremi

The ultimate goal of regression analysis is to obtain information about the conditional distribution of a response given a set of explanatory variables. This goal is, however, seldom achieved because most established regression models only…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-13 Torsten Hothorn , Thomas Kneib , Peter Bühlmann

Predicting simple function classes has been widely used as a testbed for developing theory and understanding of the trained Transformer's in-context learning (ICL) ability. In this paper, we revisit the training of Transformers on linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Shang Liu , Zhongze Cai , Guanting Chen , Xiaocheng Li

This study proposes median consensus embedding (MCE) to address variability in low-dimensional embeddings caused by random initialization in nonlinear dimensionality reduction techniques such as $t$-distributed stochastic neighbor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-10 Yui Tomo , Daisuke Yoneoka

Recent advances in machine learning have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various applications. However, ensuring the calibration of probabilistic predictions remains a significant challenge. Despite efforts to enhance model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Yan Sun , Pratik Chaudhari , Ian J. Barnett , Edgar Dobriban

Panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity in the form of interactive effects standardly assume that the time effects -- or ``common factors'' -- enter linearly. This assumption is restrictive because it concerns an unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Christina Maschmann , Joakim Westerlund

A non-Euclidean generalization of conditional expectation is introduced and characterized as the minimizer of expected intrinsic squared-distance from a manifold-valued target. The computational tractable formulation expresses the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-07 Anastasis Kratsios , Cody B. Hyndman

In spatial statistics and machine learning, the kernel matrix plays a pivotal role in prediction, classification, and maximum likelihood estimation. A thorough examination reveals that for large sample sizes, the kernel matrix becomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-07 Hao Zhang

Plausible identification of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) may rely on controlling for a large number of variables to account for confounding factors. In these high-dimensional settings, estimation of the CATE requires…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-18 Adam Baybutt , Manu Navjeevan

Regularity estimates for an integral operator with a symmetric continuous kernel on a convex bounded domain are derived. The covariance of a mean-square continuous random field on the domain is an example of such an operator. The estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Mihály Kovács , Annika Lang , Andreas Petersson

Bayesian deep learning approaches assume model parameters to be latent random variables and infer posterior distributions to quantify uncertainty, increase safety and trust, and prevent overconfident and unpredictable behavior. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Joe Watson , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

We propose selective debiasing -- an inference-time safety mechanism designed to enhance the overall model quality in terms of prediction performance and fairness, especially in scenarios where retraining the model is impractical. The…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Gleb Kuzmin , Neemesh Yadav , Ivan Smirnov , Timothy Baldwin , Artem Shelmanov

Fr\'echet regression, or conditional Barycenters, is a flexible framework for modeling relationships between covariates (usually Euclidean) and response variables on general metric spaces, e.g., probability distributions or positive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Duc Toan Nguyen , César A. Uribe

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has developed rapidly from its infancy to a useful tool for practitioners. However, models with more than a handful of parameters still generally remain a challenge for the…

This study investigates the estimation and the statistical inference about Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATEs), which have garnered attention as a metric representing individualized causal effects. In our data-generating process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-07 Masahiro Kato

Conditional expectations given past observations in stationary time series are usually estimated directly by kernel estimators, or by plugging in kernel estimators for transition densities. We show that, for linear and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

We consider the linear regression problem under semi-supervised settings wherein the available data typically consists of: (i) a small or moderate sized 'labeled' data, and (ii) a much larger sized 'unlabeled' data. Such data arises…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-02 Abhishek Chakrabortty , Tianxi Cai
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