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Forecasting click volume is a key task in digital advertising, influencing both revenue and campaign strategy. Traditional time series models rely solely on numerical data, often overlooking rich contextual information embedded in textual…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Briti Gangopadhyay , Zhao Wang , Shingo Takamatsu

Click-through rates prediction is critical in modern advertising systems, where ranking relevance and user engagement directly impact platform efficiency and business value. In this project, we explore how to model CTR more effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Hongyu Yang , Chunxi Wen , Jiyin Zhang , Nanfei Shen , Shijiao Zhang , Xiyan Han

Automated bidding, an emerging intelligent decision making paradigm powered by machine learning, has become popular in online advertising. Advertisers in automated bidding evaluate the cumulative utilities and have private financial…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Yidan Xing , Zhilin Zhang , Zhenzhe Zheng , Chuan Yu , Jian Xu , Fan Wu , Guihai Chen

Real-time bidding (RTB) has become one of the largest online advertising markets in the world. Today the bid price per ad impression is typically decided by the expected value of how it can lead to a desired action event (e.g., registering…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-16 Jian Xu , Xuhui Shao , Jianjie Ma , Kuang-chih Lee , Hang Qi , Quan Lu

Over the past decade, programmatic advertising has received a great deal of attention in the online advertising industry. A real-time bidding (RTB) system is rapidly becoming the most popular method to buy and sell online advertising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Ido Zehori , Nevo Itzhak , Yuval Shahar , Mia Dor Schiller

We propose a new Markov Decision Process (MDP) model for ad auctions to capture the user response to the quality of ads, with the objective of maximizing the long-term discounted revenue. By incorporating user response, our model takes into…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Yang Cai , Zhe Feng , Christopher Liaw , Aranyak Mehta , Grigoris Velegkas

The ad-trading desks of media-buying agencies are increasingly relying on complex algorithms for purchasing advertising inventory. In particular, Real-Time Bidding (RTB) algorithms respond to many auctions -- usually Vickrey auctions --…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Joaquin Fernandez-Tapia , Olivier Guéant , Jean-Michel Lasry

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction has been one of the most central problems in computational advertising. Lately, embedding techniques that produce low-dimensional representations of ad IDs drastically improve CTR prediction accuracies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Feiyang Pan , Shuokai Li , Xiang Ao , Pingzhong Tang , Qing He

With the emergence of new online channels and information technology, digital advertising tends to substitute more and more to traditional advertising by offering the opportunity to companies to target the consumers/users that are really…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Médéric Motte , Huyên Pham

Conversion and conversion rate (CVR) prediction play a critical role in efficient advertising decision-making. In past decades, although researchers have developed plenty of models for CVR prediction, the methodological evolution and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Tao Xue , Yanwu Yang , Panyu Zhai

Efficient allocation of impressions to advertisers in display advertising has a significant impact on advertisers' utility and the browsing experience of users. The problem becomes particularly challenging in the presence of advertisers…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-23 Davood Shamsi , Marius Holtan , Robert Luenberger , Yinyu Ye

This paper explores the integration of strategic optimization methods in search advertising, focusing on ad ranking and bidding mechanisms within E-commerce platforms. By employing a combination of reinforcement learning and evolutionary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Chang Zhou , Yang Zhao , Jin Cao , Yi Shen , Xiaoling Cui , Chiyu Cheng

Real-time advertising allows advertisers to bid for each impression for a visiting user. To optimize specific goals such as maximizing revenue and return on investment (ROI) led by ad placements, advertisers not only need to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Junqi Jin , Chengru Song , Han Li , Kun Gai , Jun Wang , Weinan Zhang

Real-Time Bidding (RTB) enables advertisers to place competitive bids on impression opportunities instantaneously, striving for cost-effectiveness in a highly competitive landscape. Although RTB has widely benefited from the utilization of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Leng Cai , Junxuan He , Yikai Li , Junjie Liang , Yuanping Lin , Ziming Quan , Yawen Zeng , Jin Xu

In this work, we investigate the online learning problem of revenue maximization in ad auctions, where the seller needs to learn the click-through rates (CTRs) of each ad candidate and charge the price of the winner through a pay-per-click…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Zhe Feng , Christopher Liaw , Zixin Zhou

We present a Multi-Task Learning (MTL) approach for improving predictions for rare (e.g., <1%) conversion events in online advertising. The conversions are classified into "rare" or "frequent" types based on historical statistics. The model…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Yuval Dishi , Ophir Friedler , Yonatan Karni , Natalia Silberstein , Yulia Stolin

Sponsored search represents a major source of revenue for web search engines. This popular advertising model brings a unique possibility for advertisers to target users' immediate intent communicated through a search query, usually by…

This paper presents models for predicted click-through rates in position auctions that take into account two possibilities that are not normally considered---that the identities of ads shown in other positions may affect the probability…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-09-17 Patrick Hummel , R. Preston McAfee

Real-time bidding is the new paradigm of programmatic advertising. An advertiser wants to make the intelligent choice of utilizing a \textbf{Demand-Side Platform} to improve the performance of their ad campaigns. Existing approaches are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Yining Lu , Changjie Lu , Naina Bandyopadhyay , Manoj Kumar , Gaurav Gupta

Most e-commerce product feeds provide blended results of advertised products and recommended products to consumers. The underlying advertising and recommendation platforms share similar if not exactly the same set of candidate products.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-20 Dagui Chen , Junqi Jin , Weinan Zhang , Fei Pan , Lvyin Niu , Chuan Yu , Jun Wang , Han Li , Jian Xu , Kun Gai