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This article is devoted to methods of construction and study of stochastic models based on Monte Carlo method. A model of Brownian motion, the construction and processing which brings to a world of random numbers and mathematical…

Physics Education · Physics 2018-09-18 Illia O. Teplytskyi , Serhiy O. Semerikov

We introduce the bivariate unit-log-symmetric model based on the bivariate log-symmetric distribution (BLS) defined in [Vila et al., 2022, Bivariate Log-symmetric Models: Theoretical Properties and Parameter Estimation. Avaliable at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-19 Roberto Vila , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Helton Saulo , Peter Zörnig

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic mortality modelling by using the Conway--Maxwell--Poisson (CMP) distribution to model death counts. Unlike standard Poisson or negative binomial distributions, the CMP is a more adaptable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Jackie Siaw Tze Wong , Emiliano A. Valdez

Gaussian comparison inequalities provide a way of bounding probabilities relating to multivariate Gaussian random vectors in terms of probabilities of random variables with simpler correlation structures. In this paper, we establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Amanda Turner , John Whitehead

A flexible representation of uncertainty that remains within the standard framework of probabilistic measure theory is presented along with a study of its properties. This representation relies on a specific type of outer measure that is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-10 Jeremie Houssineau , Daniel E. Clark

Multistable distributions, which have been introduced recently by Falconer, L\'evy V\'ehel and their co-authors, are natural generalizations of symmetric "alpha" stable distributions; roughly speaking, they are obtained by replacing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Antoine Ayache

Conventional statistics begins with a model, and assigns a likelihood of obtaining any particular set of data. The opposite approach, beginning with the data and assigning a likelihood to any particular model, is explored here for the case…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-30 Timothy E. Holy

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-19 Elisabeth Waldmann , Fabian Sobotka , Thomas Kneib

We introduce a new broad and exible class of multivariate elliptically symmetric distributions in- cluding the elliptically symmetric logistic and multivariate normal. Various probabilistic properties of the new distribution are studied,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-26 Chuancun Yin , Xiuyan Sha

The complete calculation of the CMB polarization observables (i.e. E- and B-modes) is reported within the conventional $\Lambda$CDM paradigm supplemented by a stochastic magnetic field. Intriguing perspectives for present and forthcoming…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-04-15 Massimo Giovannini , Kerstin E. Kunze

The double Pareto distribution is a heavy-tailed distribution with a power-law tail, that is generated via geometric Brownian motion with an exponentially distributed observation time. In this study, we examine a modified model wherein the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-30 Ken Yamamoto , Takashi Bando , Hirokazu Yanagawa , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

In this paper we consider a variety of procedures for numerical statistical inference in the family of univariate and multivariate stable distributions. In connection with univariate distributions (i) we provide approximations by finite…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-04 Efthymios G. Tsionas

We determine the asymptotic distribution of the sum of correlated variables described by a matrix product ansatz with finite matrices, considering variables with finite variances. In cases when the correlation length is finite, the law of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-08 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

As the unification of various models of ordered quantities, generalized order statistics act as a simplistic approach introduced in \cite{kamps1995concept}. In this present study, results pertaining to the expressions of marginal and joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Neetu Gupta , S. K. Neogy , Qazi J. Azhad , Bhagwati Devi

A new two-parameter discrete distribution, namely the PoiG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes both the Poisson and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

We generalize Taylor's theorem by introducing a stochastic formulation based on an underlying Poisson point process model. We utilize this approach to propose a novel non-linear regression framework and perform statistical inference of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Weichao Wu , Athanasios C. Micheas

Multivariate categorical data occur in many applications of machine learning. One of the main difficulties with these vectors of categorical variables is sparsity. The number of possible observations grows exponentially with vector length,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yarin Gal , Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda
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