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A computationally efficient method for online joint state inference and dynamical model learning is presented. The dynamical model combines an a priori known, physically derived, state-space model with a radial basis function expansion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-12 Anton Kullberg , Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby

Dynamical models estimate and predict the temporal evolution of physical systems. State Space Models (SSMs) in particular represent the system dynamics with many desirable properties, such as being able to model uncertainty in both the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Changhao Chen , Chris Xiaoxuan Lu , Bing Wang , Niki Trigoni , Andrew Markham

The input-parameter-state estimation capabilities of a novel unscented Kalman filter is examined herein on both linear and nonlinear systems. The unknown input is estimated in two stages within each time step. Firstly, the predicted dynamic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-05 Marios Impraimakis , Andrew W. Smyth

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations is a ubiquitous problem in a large number of applications, such as probabilistic weather forecasting and prediction of epidemics. Particle filters are a widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 E. Calvello , J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , P. Monmarché , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

We present a new strategy for filtering high-dimensional multiscale systems characterized by high-order non-Gaussian statistics using observations from leading-order moments. A closed stochastic-statistical modeling framework suitable for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-07-09 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

In this paper, we address a partition-based distributed state estimation problem for large-scale general nonlinear processes by proposing a Kalman-based approach. First, we formulate a linear full-information estimation design within a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-11 Xiaojie Li , Adrian Wing-Keung Law , Xunyuan Yin

We consider a robust state space filtering problem in the case that the transition probability density is unknown and possibly degenerate. The resulting robust filter has a Kalman-like structure and solves a minimax game: the nature selects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Shenglun Yi , Mattia Zorzi

The real-world applications in signal processing generally involve estimating the system state or parameters in nonlinear, non-Gaussian dynamic systems. The estimation problem may get even more challenging when there are physical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-15 Nesrine Amor , Ghulam Rasool , Nidhal C. Bouaynaya

This paper studies sequence modeling for prediction tasks with long range dependencies. We propose a new formulation for state space models (SSMs) based on learning linear dynamical systems with the spectral filtering algorithm (Hazan et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Naman Agarwal , Daniel Suo , Xinyi Chen , Elad Hazan

We introduce a novel nonlinear Kalman filter that utilizes reparametrization gradients. The widely used parametric approximation is based on a jointly Gaussian assumption of the state-space model, which is in turn equivalent to minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-09 San Gultekin , Brendan Kitts , Aaron Flores , John Paisley

We propose a new robust filtering paradigm considering the situation in which model uncertainty, described through an ambiguity set, is present only in the observations. We derive the corresponding robust estimator, referred to as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Shenglun Yi , Mattia Zorzi

This work introduces an on-the-fly (i.e., online) linear unmixing method which is able to sequentially analyze spectral data acquired on a spectrum-by-spectrum basis. After deriving a sequential counterpart of the conventional linear mixing…

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

The unscented Kalman filter is a nonlinear estimation algorithm commonly used in navigation applications. The prediction of the mean and covariance matrix is crucial to the stable behavior of the filter. This prediction is done by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Amit Levy , Itzik Klein

Kalman filtering is a classic state estimation technique used in application areas such as signal processing and autonomous control of vehicles. It is now being used to solve problems in computer systems such as controlling the voltage and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-01 Yan Pei , Swarnendu Biswas , Donald S. Fussell , Keshav Pingali

Gaussian processes provide a flexible framework for forecasting, removing noise, and interpreting long temporal datasets. State space modelling (Kalman filtering) enables these non-parametric models to be deployed on long datasets by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Arno Solin , James Hensman , Richard E. Turner

Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-19 Oliver Grothe

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

Kalman filtering can provide an optimal estimation of the system state from noisy observation data. This algorithm's performance depends on the accuracy of system modeling and noise statistical characteristics, which are usually challenging…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-18 Xun Xiao , Junbo Tie , Jinyue Zhao , Ziqi Wang , Yuan Li , Qiang Dou , Lei Wang

We study the problem of distributed Kalman filtering for sensor networks in the presence of model uncertainty. More precisely, we assume that the actual state-space model belongs to a ball, in the Kullback-Leibler topology, about the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Mattia Zorzi