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Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation. A notable limitation of traditional NWP is the need for extensive statistical post-processing. To address this challenge, neural network-based approaches were developed.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Yugong Zeng , Jiayuan Wang , Jonathan Wu

Temporal prediction is critical for making intelligent and robust decisions in complex dynamic environments. Motion prediction needs to model the inherently uncertain future which often contains multiple potential outcomes, due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Yichuan Charlie Tang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

We discuss an approach to probabilistic forecasting based on two chained machine-learning steps: a dimensional reduction step that learns a reduction map of predictor information to a low-dimensional space in a manner designed to preserve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-28 Nick Rittler , Carlo Graziani , Jiali Wang , Rao Kotamarthi

Weather station data is a valuable resource for climate prediction, however, its reliability can be limited in remote locations. To compound the issue, making local predictions often relies on sensor data that may not be accessible for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Iman Deznabi , Peeyush Kumar , Madalina Fiterau

The modeling of dynamical systems is essential in many fields, but applying machine learning techniques is often challenging due to incomplete or noisy data. This study introduces a variant of stochastic interpolation (SI) for probabilistic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-03-18 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stéphane Gaudreault

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

This paper reviews the most notable works applying machine learning techniques (ML) in the context of geophysics and corresponding subbranches. We showcase both the progress achieved to date as well as the important future directions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Miroslav Kosanic , Veljko Milutinovic

Ambitious decarbonisation targets are rapidly increasing the commission of new offshore wind farms. For these newly commissioned plants to run, accurate power forecasts are needed from the onset. These allow grid stability, good reserve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Dominic Weisser , Chloé Hashimoto-Cullen , Benjamin Guedj

We present a data-driven approach for forecasting global weather using graph neural networks. The system learns to step forward the current 3D atmospheric state by six hours, and multiple steps are chained together to produce skillful…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-16 Ryan Keisler

Poor air quality can have a significant impact on human health. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) air quality forecasting guidance is challenged by the increasing presence of extreme air quality events due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Sophia Hamer , Jennifer Sleeman , Ivanka Stajner

Machine learning techniques have been widely used in attempts to forecast several solar datasets. Most of these approaches employ supervised machine learning algorithms which are, in general, very data hungry. This hampers the attempts to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-07 Eurico Covas

Computers are widely utilized in today's weather forecasting as a powerful tool to leverage an enormous amount of data. Yet, despite the availability of such data, current techniques often fall short of producing reliable detailed storm…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-03-08 Yu Zhang , Stephen Wistar , Jia Li , Michael Steinberg , James Z. Wang

Weather forecasting is a long standing scientific challenge with direct social and economic impact. The task is suitable for deep neural networks due to vast amounts of continuously collected data and a rich spatial and temporal structure…

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to decision-making. A prominent example is probabilistic forecasting in numerical weather prediction. The dominant approach to representing uncertainty in weather forecasting is to generate an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Lizao Li , Rob Carver , Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Fei Sha , John Anderson

Weather forecasts from numerical weather prediction models play a central role in solar energy forecasting, where a cascade of physics-based models is used in a model chain approach to convert forecasts of solar irradiance to solar power…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-10 Nina Horat , Sina Klerings , Sebastian Lerch

Despite the progress within the last decades, weather forecasting is still a challenging and computationally expensive task. Current satellite-based approaches to predict thunderstorms are usually based on the analysis of the observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich , Richard Müller

Predictive skill of complex models is often not uniform in model-state space; in weather forecasting models, for example, the skill of the model can be greater in populated regions of interest than in "remote" regions of the globe. Given a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-23 Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

Modeling weather and climate is an essential endeavor to understand the near- and long-term impacts of climate change, as well as inform technology and policymaking for adaptation and mitigation efforts. In recent years, there has been a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Tung Nguyen , Jason Jewik , Hritik Bansal , Prakhar Sharma , Aditya Grover

Precipitation forecasts are less accurate compared to other meteorological fields because several key processes affecting precipitation distribution and intensity occur below the resolved scale of global weather prediction models. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-21 Rüdiger Brecht , Alex Bihlo

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta
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