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Related papers: Testing Critical Slowing Down as a Bifurcation Ind…

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The behavior of a dynamical system can exhibit abrupt changes when it crosses a tipping point. To prevent catastrophic events, it is useful to analyze indicators of the incoming bifurcation, as the divergence of the relaxation time of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-28 Mathias Marconi , Karin Alfaro-Bittner , Lucas Sarrazin , Massimo Giudici , Jorge R. Tredicce

We present a phenomenological description of the critical slowing down associated with period-doubling bifurcations in discrete dynamical systems. Starting from a local Taylor expansion around the fixed point and the bifurcation parameter,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-05 Edson D. Leonel , João P. C. Ferreira , Diego F. M. Oliveira

Fast-slow dynamical systems have subsystems that evolve on vastly different timescales, and bifurcations in such systems can arise due to changes in any or all subsystems. We classify bifurcations of the critical set (the equilibria of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Karl Nyman , Peter Ashwin , Peter Ditlevsen

A dynamical system that undergoes a supercritical Hopf's bifurcation is perturbed by a multiplicative Brownian motion that scales with a small parameter $\epsilon$. The random fluctuations of the system at the critical point are studied…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Michele Aleandri , Paolo Dai Pra

We consider stochastic electro-mechanical dynamics of an overdamped power system in the vicinity of the saddle-node bifurcation associated with the loss of global stability such as voltage collapse or phase angle instability. Fluctuations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-18 Dmitry Podolsky , Konstantin Turitsyn

We study a discrete non-autonomous system whose autonomous counterpart (with the frozen bifurcation parameter) admits a saddle-node bifurcation, and in which the bifurcation parameter slowly changes in time and is characterized by a sweep…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Jay Chu , Jun-Jie Lin , Je-Chiang Tsai

Nonlinear dynamical systems may be exposed to tipping points, critical thresholds at which small changes in the external inputs or in the systems parameters abruptly shift the system to an alternative state with a contrasting dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-10-07 Everton S. Medeiros , Iberê L. Caldas , Murilo S. Baptista , Ulrike Feudel

Complex systems exhibiting critical transitions when one of their governing parameters varies are ubiquitous in nature and in engineering applications. Despite a vast literature focusing on this topic, there are few studies dealing with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-08 Giacomo Bonciolini , Dominik Ebi , Edouard Boujo , Nicolas Noiray

Varying one of the governing parameters of a dynamical system may lead to a critical transition, where the new stable state is undesirable. In some cases, there is only a limited range of the bifurcation parameter that corresponds to that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-11-27 Giacomo Bonciolini , Nicolas Noiray

In a Nature article, Scheffer et al. presented a novel data-driven framework to predict critical transitions in complex systems. These transitions, which may stem from failures, degradation, or adversarial actions, have been attributed to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Mohammad Pirani , Saber Jafarpour

The use of critical slowing down as an early warning indicator for regime switching in observations from stochastic environments and noisy dynamical models has been widely studied and implemented in recent years. Some systems, however, have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Mathew Titus , Zach Gelbaum , James Watson

We review some properties of dynamical systems with slowly varying parameters, when a parameter is moved through a bifurcation point of the static system. Bifurcations with a single zero eigenvalue may create hysteresis cycles, whose area…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 N. Berglund

We investigate the slow passage through a pitchfork bifurcation in a spatially extended system, when the onset of instability is slowly varying in space. We focus here on the critical parameter scaling, when the instability locus propagates…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Ryan Goh , Tasso J. Kaper , Arnd Scheel

There is growing interest in anticipating critical transitions in natural systems, often pursued through statistical detection of early warning signals associated with dynamical bifurcations. In stochastic dynamical systems, such signals…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Florian Suerhoff , Andreas Morr , Sebastian Bathiany , Niklas Boers , Christian Kuehn

Decay to asymptotic steady state in one-dimensional logistic-like mappings is characterized by considering a phenomenological description supported by numerical simulations and confirmed by a theoretical description. As the control…

An autonomous system of ordinary differential equations in the plane with a centre-saddle bifurcation is considered. The influence of time damped perturbations with power-law asymptotics is investigated. The particular solutions tending at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Oskar Sultanov

Slow parameter drift is common in many systems (e.g., the amount of greenhouse gases in the terrestrial atmosphere is increasing). In such situations, the attractor on which the system trajectory lies can be destroyed, and the trajectory…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-14 Takashi Nishikawa , Edward Ott

We analyze rate-dependent tipping in a fast/slow system with an equilibrium near the fold of a critical manifiold. We find a Hopf bifurcation as the rate parameter increases in the reduced co-moving system. This implies the growth of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Jonathan Hahn

Sudden transitions in the state of a system are often undesirable in natural and human-made systems. Such transitions under fast variation of system parameters are called rate-induced tipping. We experimentally demonstrate rate-induced…

Applied Physics · Physics 2022-09-15 Induja Pavithran , P. R. Midhun , R. I. Sujith

The paper gives a systematic analysis of singularities of transition processes in dynamical systems. General dynamical systems with dependence on parameter are studied. A system of relaxation times is constructed. Each relaxation time…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-01-28 A. N. Gorban
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