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According to the advent of cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, many investments and businesses are now conducted online through cryptocurrencies. Among them, Bitcoin uses blockchain technology to make transactions secure, transparent, traceable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Milad Asadpour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati

Conformal prediction has become increasingly popular for quantifying the uncertainty associated with machine learning models. Recent work in graph uncertainty quantification has built upon this approach for conformal graph prediction. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Pranav Maneriker , Aditya T. Vadlamani , Anutam Srinivasan , Yuntian He , Ali Payani , Srinivasan Parthasarathy

Bitcoin has attracted attention from different market participants due to unpredictable price patterns. Sometimes, the price has exhibited big jumps. Bitcoin prices have also had extreme, unexpected crashes. We test the predictive power of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-15 Andrés García-Medina , Toan Luu Duc Huynh3

The problem of anomaly detection has been studied for a long time. In short, anomalies are abnormal or unlikely things. In financial networks, thieves and illegal activities are often anomalous in nature. Members of a network want to detect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Thai Pham , Steven Lee

Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

The Bitcoin Lightning Network is a layer 2 protocol designed to facilitate fast and inexpensive Bitcoin transactions. It operates by establishing channels between users, where Bitcoin is locked and transactions are conducted off-chain until…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Rainer Feichtinger , Florian Grötschla , Lioba Heimbach , Roger Wattenhofer

Prediction of stock prices has been a crucial and challenging task, especially in the case of highly volatile digital currencies such as Bitcoin. This research examineS the potential of using neural network models, namely LSTMs and GRUs, to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-15 Ali Mohammadjafari

Blockchain transaction networks are complex, with evolving temporal patterns and inter-node relationships. To detect illicit activities, we propose a hybrid GCN-GRU model that captures both structural and sequential features. Using real…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Gyuyeon Na , Minjung Park , Hyeonjeong Cha , Soyoun Kim , Sunyoung Moon , Sua Lee , Jaeyoung Choi , Hyemin Lee , Sangmi Chai

In shaping the Internet of Money, the application of blockchain and distributed ledger technologies (DLTs) to the financial sector triggered regulatory concerns. Notably, while the user anonymity enabled in this field may safeguard privacy…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Nadia Pocher , Mirko Zichichi , Fabio Merizzi , Muhammad Zohaib Shafiq , Stefano Ferretti

Few assets in financial history have been as notoriously volatile as cryptocurrencies. While the long term outlook for this asset class remains unclear, we are successful in making short term price predictions for several major crypto…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 David Zhao , Alessandro Rinaldo , Christopher Brookins

With the popularity of blockchain technology, the financial security issues of blockchain transaction networks have become increasingly serious. Phishing scam detection methods will protect possible victims and build a healthier blockchain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Dunjie Zhang , Jinyin Chen

Predicting cryptocurrency price trends remains a major challenge due to the volatility and complexity of digital asset markets. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to address this problem. This study proposes a…

The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Shubham Singh , Mayur Bhat

In modern times, the cryptocurrency market is one of the world's most rapidly rising financial markets. The cryptocurrency market is regarded to be more volatile and illiquid than traditional markets such as equities, foreign exchange, and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-03 Anika Tahsin Meem

Blockchain-based cryptocurrencies prioritize transactions based on their fees, creating a unique kind of fee market. Empirically, this market has failed to yield stable equilibria with predictable prices for desired levels of service. We…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Soumya Basu , David Easley , Maureen O'Hara , Emin Gün Sirer

The anonymity of blockchain has accelerated the growth of illegal activities and criminal behaviors on cryptocurrency platforms. Although decentralization is one of the typical characteristics of blockchain, we urgently call for effective…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Jie Shen , Jiajun Zhou , Yunyi Xie , Shanqing Yu , Qi Xuan

This paper presents a deep learning framework based on Long Short-term Memory Network(LSTM) that predicts price movement of cryptocurrencies from trade-by-trade data. The main focus of this study is on predicting short-term price changes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-16 Qi Zhao

Bitcoin is a digital currency and electronic payment system operating over a peer-to-peer network on the Internet. One of its most important properties is the high level of anonymity it provides for its users. The users are identified by…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-12 Péter L. Juhász , József Stéger , Dániel Kondor , Gábor Vattay

Bitcoin is a decentralized, pseudonymous cryptocurrency that is one of the most used digital assets to date. Its unregulated nature and inherent anonymity of users have led to a dramatic increase in its use for illicit activities. This…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Francesco Zola , Maria Eguimendia , Jan Lukas Bruse , Raul Orduna Urrutia

Financial prediction is a complex and challenging task of time series analysis and signal processing, expected to model both short-term fluctuations and long-term temporal dependencies. Transformers have remarkable success mostly in natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Nguyen Kim Hai Bui , Nguyen Duy Chien , Péter Kovács , Gergő Bognár
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