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In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We consider the application of machine learning models for short-term intra-day trading in equities. We envisage a scenario wherein machine learning models are submitted by independent data scientists to predict discretised ten-candle…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Aniruddha Mukherjee , Rekha Singhal , Gautam Shroff

Financial markets exhibit alternating periods of rising and falling prices. Stock traders seeking to make profitable investment decisions have to account for those trends, where the goal is to accurately predict switches from bullish…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-30 Lennart Oelschläger , Timo Adam

Technical and fundamental analysis are traditional tools used to analyze individual stocks; however, the finance literature has shown that the price movement of each individual stock correlates heavily with other stocks, especially those…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Ran Zhao , Yuntian Deng , Mark Dredze , Arun Verma , David Rosenberg , Amanda Stent

Unsupervised estimation of latent variable models is a fundamental problem central to numerous applications of machine learning and statistics. This work presents a principled approach for estimating broad classes of such models, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-27 Animashree Anandkumar , Daniel Hsu , Adel Javanmard , Sham M. Kakade

Financial markets are highly complex and volatile; thus, learning about such markets for the sake of making predictions is vital to make early alerts about crashes and subsequent recoveries. People have been using learning tools from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Kelum Gajamannage , Yonggi Park

With the development of artificial intelligence technology, quantitative trading systems represented by reinforcement learning have emerged in the stock trading market. The authors combined the deep Q network in reinforcement learning with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-01 Yizhuo Li , Peng Zhou , Fangyi Li , Xiao Yang

The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-18 Evan Hurwitz , Tshilidzi Marwala

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time of frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

The performance of autonomous systems heavily relies on their ability to generate a robust representation of the environment. Deep neural networks have greatly improved vision-based perception systems but still fail in challenging…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Jörg Wagner , Volker Fischer , Michael Herman , Sven Behnke

The design of methods for inference from time sequences has traditionally relied on statistical models that describe the relation between a latent desired sequence and the observed one. A broad family of model-based algorithms have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Nir Shlezinger , Nariman Farsad , Yonina C. Eldar , Andrea J. Goldsmith

Learning representation from unlabeled time series data is a challenging problem. Most existing self-supervised and unsupervised approaches in the time-series domain do not capture low and high-frequency features at the same time. Further,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Vandan Gorade , Azad Singh , Deepak Mishra

Unsupervised neural network learning extracts hidden features from unlabeled training data. This is used as a pretraining step for further supervised learning in deep networks. Hence, understanding unsupervised learning is of fundamental…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-12-23 Haiping Huang , Taro Toyoizumi

Extracting previously unknown patterns and information in time series is central to many real-world applications. In this study, we introduce a novel approach to modeling financial time series using a deep learning model. We use a Long…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-15 Jungsik Hwang

Data and knowledge representation are fundamental concepts in machine learning. The quality of the representation impacts the performance of the learning model directly. Feature learning transforms or enhances raw data to structures that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Filipe Alves Neto Verri , Renato Tinós , Liang Zhao

Regression problems with time-series predictors are common in banking and many other areas of application. In this paper, we use multi-head attention networks to develop interpretable features and use them to achieve good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Tianjie Wang , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

Asynchronous trading in high-frequency financial markets introduces significant biases into econometric analysis, distorting risk estimates and leading to suboptimal portfolio decisions. Existing synchronization methods, such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-17 Xinbing Kong , Cheng Liu , Bin Wu

Network momentum provides a novel type of risk premium, which exploits the interconnections among assets in a financial network to predict future returns. However, the current process of constructing financial networks relies heavily on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-25 Xingyue Pu , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts , Xiaowen Dong

Learned image reconstruction techniques using deep neural networks have recently gained popularity, and have delivered promising empirical results. However, most approaches focus on one single recovery for each observation, and thus neglect…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Chen Zhang , Riccardo Barbano , Bangti Jin

Purpose: This study introduces a novel framework for identifying and exploiting predictive lead-lag relationships in financial markets. We propose an integrated approach that combines advanced statistical methodologies with machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Ivan Letteri