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We discuss the so-called "simplifying assumption" of conditional copulas in a general framework. We introduce several tests of the latter assumption for non- and semiparametric copula models. Some related test procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

The empirical copula process plays a central role for statistical inference on copulas. Recently, Segers (2011) investigated the asymptotic behavior of this process under non-restrictive smoothness assumptions for the case of i.i.d. random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-14 Axel Bücher , Stanislav Volgushev

Weak convergence of the empirical copula process is shown to hold under the assumption that the first-order partial derivatives of the copula exist and are continuous on certain subsets of the unit hypercube. The assumption is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Johan Segers

We consider multivariate copula-based stationary time-series under Gaussian subordination. Observed time series are subordinated to long-range dependent Gaussian processes and characterized by arbitrary marginal copula distributions. First…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-16 Yusufu Simayi

This paper introduces the \textit{weighted partial copula} function for testing conditional independence. The proposed test procedure results from these two ingredients: (i) the test statistic is an explicit Cramer-von Mises transformation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Pascal Bianchi , Kevin Elgui , François Portier

When the copula of the conditional distribution of two random variables given a covariate does not depend on the value of the covariate, two conflicting intuitions arise about the best possible rate of convergence attainable by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-17 François Portier , Johan Segers

The empirical copula has proved to be useful in the construction and understanding of many statistical procedures related to dependence within random vectors. The empirical beta copula is a smoothed version of the empirical copula that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Betina Berghaus , Johan Segers

The partial correlation coefficient is a commonly used measure to assess the conditional dependence between two random variables. We provide a thorough explanation of the partial copula, which is a natural generalization of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Fabian Spanhel , Malte S. Kurz

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

The empirical copula process plays a central role in the asymptotic analysis of many statistical procedures which are based on copulas or ranks. Among other applications, results regarding its weak convergence can be used to develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Axel Bücher , Betina Berghaus , Stanislav Volgushev

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , James Robert Lloyd , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

A dependence measure for arbitrary type pairs of random variables is proposed and analyzed, which in the particular case where both random variables are continuous turns out to be a concordance measure. Also, a sample version of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Arturo Erdely

Weak convergence of the empirical copula process indexed by a class of functions is established. Two scenarios are considered in which either some smoothness of these functions or smoothness of the underlying copula function is required. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Dragan Radulovic , Marten Wegkamp , Yue Zhao

The empirical beta copula is a simple but effective smoother of the empirical copula. Because it is a genuine copula, from which, moreover, it is particularly easy to sample, it is reasonable to expect that resampling procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-18 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Hideatsu Tsukahara

In conditional copula models, the copula parameter is deterministically linked to a covariate via the calibration function. The latter is of central interest for inference and is usually estimated nonparametrically. However, when a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Elif F. Acar , Radu V. Craiu , Fang Yao

A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Ivan Kojadinovic , Kristina Stemikovskaya

Conditions are given under which the empirical copula process associated with a random sample from a bivariate continuous distribution has a smaller asymptotic covariance function than the standard empirical process based on observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-17 Christian Genest , Johan Segers

In this paper, we revisit the notion of partial copula, originally introduced to test conditional independence, highlighting its capability to represent the dependence between two random variables after removing their dependence with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Vinícius Litvinoff Justus , Felipe Fontana Vieira

Several procedures have been recently proposed to test the simplifying assumption for conditional copulas. Instead of considering pointwise conditioning events, we study the constancy of the conditional dependence structure when some…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian , Aleksey Min
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