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The Foreign Exchange market is a significant market for speculators, characterized by substantial transaction volumes and high volatility. Accurately predicting the directional movement of currency pairs is essential for formulating a sound…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Kevin Cedric Guyard , Michel Deriaz

In this paper, the optimal mean-reverting portfolio (MRP) design problem is considered, which plays an important role for the statistical arbitrage (a.k.a. pairs trading) strategy in financial markets. The target of the optimal MRP design…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-09 Ziping Zhao , Rui Zhou , Zhongju Wang , Daniel P. Palomar

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a framework to jointly identify similar assets through factors, identify mispricing and form a trading policy that maximizes risk-adjusted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Elliot L. Epstein , Rose Wang , Jaewon Choi , Markus Pelger

We present a detailed study of the performance of a trading rule that uses moving average of past returns to predict future returns on stock indexes. Our main goal is to link performance and the stochastic process of the traded asset. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Fernando F. Ferreira , A. Christian Silva , Ju-Yi Yen

The intricate behavior patterns of financial markets are influenced by fundamental, technical, and psychological factors. During times of high volatility and regime shifts causes many traditional strategies like trend-following or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Varun Narayan Kannan Pillai , Akshay Ajith , Sumesh K J

The Sharpe ratio is an important and widely-used risk-adjusted return in financial engineering. In modern portfolio management, one may require an m-sparse (no more than m active assets) portfolio to save managerial and financial costs.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Yizun Lin , Zhao-Rong Lai , Cheng Li

The Symbolic Regression (SR) problem, where the goal is to find a regression function that does not have a pre-specified form but is any function that can be composed of a list of operators, is a hard problem in machine learning, both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Vernon Austel , Cristina Cornelio , Sanjeeb Dash , Joao Goncalves , Lior Horesh , Tyler Josephson , Nimrod Megiddo

We address the problem of maximizing Gain from Trade (GFT) in repeated buyer-seller exchanges subject to global budget balance constraints. While this problem is well-understood in purely adversarial and stochastic settings, these…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Anna Lunghi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi

Given the return series for a set of instruments, a \emph{trading strategy} is a switching function that transfers wealth from one instrument to another at specified times. We present efficient algorithms for constructing (ex-post) trading…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-09-24 Victor Boyarshinov , Malik Magdon-Ismail

This paper proposes Genetic Algorithm with Border Trades (GAB), a novel modification of the standard genetic algorithm that enhances exploration by incorporating new chromosome patterns in the breeding process. This approach significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Qingchuan Lyu

We propose a genetic algorithm (GA) based method for modifying n-best lists produced by a machine translation (MT) system. Our method offers an innovative approach to improving MT quality and identifying weaknesses in evaluation metrics.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Josef Jon , Ondřej Bojar

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

Forex trading is the largest market in terms of qutantitative trading. Traditionally, traders refer to technical analysis based on the historical data to make decisions and trade. With the development of artificial intelligent, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Yunze Li , Yanan Xie , Chen Yu , Fangxing Yu , Bo Jiang , Matloob Khushi

The foreign exchange market has taken an important role in the global financial market. While foreign exchange trading brings high-yield opportunities to investors, it also brings certain risks. Since the establishment of the foreign…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Mimansa Rana , Nanxiang Mao , Ming Ao , Xiaohui Wu , Poning Liang , Matloob Khushi

This article explores the optimisation of trading strategies in Constant Function Market Makers (CFMMs) and centralised exchanges. We develop a model that accounts for the interaction between these two markets, estimating the conditional…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-06 Sebastian Jaimungal , Yuri F. Saporito , Max O. Souza , Yuri Thamsten

Regardless of the selected asset class and the level of model complexity (Transformer versus LSTM versus Perceptron/RNN), the GMADL loss function produces superior results than standard MSE-type loss functions and has better numerical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-25 Jakub Michańków , Paweł Sakowski , Robert Ślepaczuk

In the context of global trade, cross-border commodity pricing largely determines the competitiveness and market share of businesses. However, existing methodologies often prove inadequate, as they lack the agility and precision required to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Lijuan Wang , Yijia Hu , Yan Zhou

Mathematical formulas are the crystallization of human wisdom in exploring the laws of nature for thousands of years. Describing the complex laws of nature with a concise mathematical formula is a constant pursuit of scientists and a great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Yanjie Li , Jingyi Liu , Weijun Li , Lina Yu , Min Wu , Wenqiang Li , Meilan Hao , Su Wei , Yusong Deng

Algorithmic trading has gained attention due to its potential for generating superior returns. This paper investigates the effectiveness of deep reinforcement learning (DRL) methods in algorithmic commodities trading. It formulates the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Jonas Hanetho

Statistical arbitrage is a prevalent trading strategy which takes advantage of mean reverse property of spread of paired stocks. Studies on this strategy often rely heavily on model assumption. In this study, we introduce an innovative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-20 Boming Ning , Kiseop Lee