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Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) can model complex marginal densities as well as complex mappings. Non-Gaussian marginals are essential for modelling real-world data, and can be generated from the DGP by incorporating uncorrelated variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Vincent Dutordoir , James Hensman , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Differential graphical models are designed to represent the difference between the conditional dependence structures of two groups, thus are of particular interest for scientific investigation. Motivated by modern applications, this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Sen Na , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Variational inference provides a powerful tool for approximate probabilistic in- ference on complex, structured models. Typical variational inference methods, however, require to use inference networks with computationally tractable proba-…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Qiang Liu , Yihao Feng

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have proven to be highly effective in a variety of tasks, making them the go-to method for problems requiring high-level predictive power. Despite this success, the inner workings of DNNs are often not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-04 Anton Thielmann , René-Marcel Kruse , Thomas Kneib , Benjamin Säfken

$\textbf{Formal version available at}$ https://cell.com/patterns/fulltext/S2666-3899(23)00200-3 Networks of spiking neurons underpin the extraordinary information-processing capabilities of the brain and have become pillar models in…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Gehua Ma , Rui Yan , Huajin Tang

Unsupervised structure learning in high-dimensional time series data has attracted a lot of research interests. For example, segmenting and labelling high dimensional time series can be helpful in behavior understanding and medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Hao Liu , Haoli Bai , Lirong He , Zenglin Xu

We apply recent methods in stochastic data analysis for discovering a set of few stochastic variables that represent the relevant information on a multivariate stochastic system, used as input for artificial neural networks models for air…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Ana Russo , Frank Raischel , Pedro G. Lind

We show that the gradient estimates used in training Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) with importance-weighted variational inference are susceptible to signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) issues. Specifically, we show both theoretically and via an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Tim G. J. Rudner , Oscar Key , Yarin Gal , Tom Rainforth

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

The reliable and accurate numerical approximation of the $p$-Laplacian is particularly challenging in the extreme regimes $p \to 1^{+}$ and $p \gg 1$, where the operator becomes either highly singular or strongly degenerate, often causing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Tianhao Hu , Guanglian Li , Fengru Wang , Yifeng Xu , Zhi Zhou

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

The Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) has been recently used to perform uncertainty estimation on the predictions of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs). However, its widespread application is hindered by significant computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Luis A. Ortega , Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

We explore training Binary Neural Networks (BNNs) as a discrete variable inference problem over a factor graph. We study the behaviour of this conversion in an under-parameterized BNN setting and propose stochastic versions of Belief…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Amir Khoshaman , Giuseppe Castiglione , Christopher Srinivasa

This study introduces PV-RNN, a novel variational RNN inspired by the predictive-coding ideas. The model learns to extract the probabilistic structures hidden in fluctuating temporal patterns by dynamically changing the stochasticity of its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Ahmadreza Ahmadi , Jun Tani

Spatio-temporal data are ubiquitous in the agricultural, ecological, and environmental sciences, and their study is important for understanding and predicting a wide variety of processes. One of the difficulties with modeling spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-25 Christopher K. Wikle

Deep neural networks(NNs) have achieved impressive performance, often exceed human performance on many computer vision tasks. However, one of the most challenging issues that still remains is that NNs are overconfident in their predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Chanwoo Park , Jae Myung Kim , Seok Hyeon Ha , Jungwoo Lee

Due to the special gating schemes of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), LSTMs have shown greater potential to process complex sequential information than the traditional Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). The conventional LSTM, however, fails to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Naifan Zhuang , The Duc Kieu , Guo-Jun Qi , Kien A. Hua

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…

We present dPASP, a novel declarative probabilistic logic programming framework for differentiable neuro-symbolic reasoning. The framework allows for the specification of discrete probabilistic models with neural predicates, logic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Renato Lui Geh , Jonas Gonçalves , Igor Cataneo Silveira , Denis Deratani Mauá , Fabio Gagliardi Cozman