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Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

In this work, we propose a new Bayesian spatial homogeneity pursuit method for survival data under the proportional hazards model to detect spatially clustered patterns in baseline hazard and regression coefficients. Specially, regression…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-24 Lijiang Geng , Guanyu Hu

The paper introduces an approach to identify a set of spatially constrained homogeneous areas maximally homogeneous in terms of epidemic trends. The proposed hierarchical algorithm is based on the Dynamic TimeWarping distances between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-08 Roberto Benedetti , Federica Piersimoni , Giacomo Pignataro , Francesco Vidoli

Revealing spatiotemporal evolution regularity in the spatial diffusion of epidemics is helpful for preventing and controlling the spread of epidemics. Based on the real-time COVID-19 datasets by prefecture-level cities, this paper is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 Yuqing Long , Yanguang Chen , Yajing Li

In this paper, we apply statistical methods for functional data to explain the heterogeneity in the evolution of number of deaths of Covid-19 over different regions. We treat the cumulative daily number of deaths in a specific region as a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Julian A. A. Collazos , Ronaldo Dias , Marcelo C. Medeiros

As countries look towards re-opening of economic activities amidst the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, ensuring public health has been challenging. While contact tracing only aims to track past activities of infected users, one path to safe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Sirisha Rambhatla , Sepanta Zeighami , Kameron Shahabi , Cyrus Shahabi , Yan Liu

Conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are commonly used to capture spatial correlation in areal unit data, and are typically specified as a prior distribution for a set of random effects, as part of a hierarchical Bayesian model. The…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-17 Duncan Lee , Richard Mitchell

In this work, we examine a novel forecasting approach for COVID-19 case prediction that uses Graph Neural Networks and mobility data. In contrast to existing time series forecasting models, the proposed approach learns from a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Amol Kapoor , Xue Ben , Luyang Liu , Bryan Perozzi , Matt Barnes , Martin Blais , Shawn O'Banion

The declaration of COVID-19 as a pandemic has largely amplified the spread of related information on social media, such as Twitter, Facebook, and WeChat.Unlike the previous studies which focused on how to detect the misinformation or fake…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-09 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Kaiyue Zhang , Lun Ge , Junming Huang , Zinan Zhang , Lu Wei , Gui-Quan Sun , Chuang Liu , Zi-Ke Zhang

We present an interpretable high-resolution spatio-temporal model to estimate COVID-19 deaths together with confirmed cases one-week ahead of the current time, at the county-level and weekly aggregated, in the United States. A notable…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Shixiang Zhu , Alexander Bukharin , Liyan Xie , Mauricio Santillana , Shihao Yang , Yao Xie

The COVID-19 pandemic has emerged as a global public health crisis. To make decisions about mitigation strategies and to understand the disease dynamics, policy makers and epidemiologists must know how the disease is spreading in their…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman

The COVID-19 pandemic so far has caused huge negative impacts on different areas all over the world, and the United States (US) is one of the most affected countries. In this paper, we use methods from the functional data analysis to look…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-22 Chen Tang , Tiandong Wang , Panpan Zhang

Human mobility estimation is crucial during the COVID-19 pandemic due to its significant guidance for policymakers to make non-pharmaceutical interventions. While deep learning approaches outperform conventional estimation techniques on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Han Bao , Xun Zhou , Yiqun Xie , Yanhua Li , Xiaowei Jia

Modeling and simulations of pandemic dynamics play an essential role in understanding and addressing the spreading of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. In this work, we propose a novel deep learning architecture named…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Viet Bach Nguyen , Truong Son Hy , Long Tran-Thanh , Nhung Nghiem

Parking demand forecasting and behaviour analysis have received increasing attention in recent years because of their critical role in mitigating traffic congestion and understanding travel behaviours. However, previous studies usually only…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-18 Shuhui Gong , Xiaopeng Mo , Rui Cao , Yu Liu , Wei Tu , Ruibin Bai

With the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, various studies have focused on predicting the trajectory and risk factors of the virus and its variants. Building on previous work that addressed this problem using genetic and epidemiological…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Catherine Li , Daniel Lazarev

What is the impact of COVID-19 on South Africa? This paper envisages assisting researchers and decision-makers in battling the COVID-19 pandemic focusing on South Africa. This paper focuses on the spread of the disease by applying heatmap…

This paper explores the homogeneity of coefficients in high-dimensional regression, which extends the sparsity concept and is more general and suitable for many applications. Homogeneity arises when one expects regression coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-01 Tracy Ke , Jianqing Fan , Yichao Wu

Although there is substantial literature on identifying structural changes for continuous spatio-temporal processes, the same is not true for categorical spatio-temporal data. This work bridges that gap and proposes a novel spatio-temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Siddharth Rawat , Abe Durrant , Adam Simpson , Grant Nielson , Candace Berrett , Soudeep Deb

A spatial curve dynamical model framework is adopted for functional prediction of counts in a spatiotemporal log-Gaussian Cox process model. Our spatial functional estimation approach handles both wavelet-based heterogeneity analysis in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-09 Torres-Signes , M. P. Frías , J. Mateu , M. D. Ruiz-Medina
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