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I consider a class of statistical decision problems in which the policymaker must decide between two policies to maximize social welfare (e.g., the population mean of an outcome) based on a finite sample. The framework introduced in this…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Kohei Yata

We study optimal procedures for estimating a linear functional based on observational data. In many problems of this kind, a widely used assumption is strict overlap, i.e., uniform boundedness of the importance ratio, which measures how…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

We develop a versatile framework for statistical learning in non-stationary environments. In each time period, our approach applies a stability principle to select a look-back window that maximizes the utilization of historical data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

We investigate the construction of early stopping rules in the nonparametric regression problem where iterative learning algorithms are used and the optimal iteration number is unknown. More precisely, we study the discrepancy principle, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Alain Celisse , Martin Wahl

Two-sample feature selection is the problem of finding features that describe a difference between two probability distributions, which is a ubiquitous problem in both scientific and engineering studies. However, existing methods have…

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

We introduce a new criterion, the Rank Selection Criterion (RSC), for selecting the optimal reduced rank estimator of the coefficient matrix in multivariate response regression models. The corresponding RSC estimator minimizes the Frobenius…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-18 Florentina Bunea , Yiyuan She , Marten H. Wegkamp

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Young Woong Park , Diego Klabjan

When constructing models of the world, we aim for optimal compressions: models that include as few details as possible while remaining as accurate as possible. But which details -- or features measured in data -- should we choose to include…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-06 David P. Carcamo , Nicholas J. Weaver , Purushottam D. Dixit , Christopher W. Lynn

We consider the problem of adaptive inference on a regression function at a point under a multivariate nonparametric regression setting. The regression function belongs to a H\"older class and is assumed to be monotone with respect to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Koohyun Kwon , Soonwoo Kwon

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

In statistical modeling area, the Akaike information criterion AIC, is a widely known and extensively used tool for model choice. The {\phi}-divergence test statistic is a recently developed tool for statistical model selection. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-10-28 Papa Ngom , Bertrand Ntep

Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is a measure of the quality of a statistical model for a given set of data. We can determine the best statistical model for a particular data set by the minimization of the AIC. Since we need to evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Keiji Kimura , Hayato Waki

The advent of large-scale inference has spurred reexamination of conventional statistical thinking. In a Gaussian model for $n$ many $z$-scores with at most $k < \frac{n}{2}$ nonnulls, Efron suggests estimating the location and scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Subhodh Kotekal , Chao Gao

In this paper, we establish minimax optimal rates of convergence for prediction in a semi-functional linear model that consists of a functional component and a less smooth nonparametric component. Our results reveal that the smoother…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Keli Guo , Jun Fan , Lixing Zhu

Model selection is central to statistics, and many learning problems can be formulated as model selection problems. In this paper, we treat the problem of selecting a maximum entropy model given various feature subsets and their moments, as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-28 Gaurav Pandey , Ambedkar Dukkipati

In this article we study the estimation of the location of jump points in the first derivative (referred to as kinks) of a regression function \mu in two random design models with different long-range dependent (LRD) structures. The method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Justin Wishart , Rafal Kulik

When, in terms of the number of data points, the size of a dataset exceeds available computing resources, or when labeling is expensive, an attractive solution consists of selecting only some of the data points (subdata) for further…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Min Yang , Wei Zheng , John Stufken , Ming-Chung Chang , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang