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The aim of this paper is to discuss a recent result which shows that probabilistic inference in the presence of (unknown) causal mechanisms can be tractable for models that have traditionally been viewed as intractable. This result was…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Adnan Darwiche

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are a class of tractable probabilistic models, which admit efficient inference routines depending on their structural properties. In this paper, we introduce md-vtrees, a novel structural formulation of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Benjie Wang , Marta Kwiatkowska

Computing expected predictions of discriminative models is a fundamental task in machine learning that appears in many interesting applications such as fairness, handling missing values, and data analysis. Unfortunately, computing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-04 Pasha Khosravi , YooJung Choi , Yitao Liang , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck

Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Oliver E. Richardson , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher De Sa

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) represent a probability distribution as a computational graph. Enforcing structural properties on these graphs guarantees that several inference scenarios become tractable. Among these properties, structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Meihua Dang , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck

Probabilistic sentential decision diagrams are a class of structured-decomposable probabilistic circuits especially designed to embed logical constraints. To adapt the classical LearnSPN scheme to learn the structure of these models, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Alessandro Antonucci , Alessandro Facchini , Lilith Mattei

In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in studying causality-related properties in machine learning models generally, and in generative models in particular. While that is well motivated, it inherits the fundamental…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-30 Ioannis Papantonis , Vaishak Belle

A structural causal model is made of endogenous (manifest) and exogenous (latent) variables. We show that endogenous observations induce linear constraints on the probabilities of the exogenous variables. This allows to exactly map a causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

Circuits based on sum-product structure have become a ubiquitous representation to compactly encode knowledge, from Boolean functions to probability distributions. By imposing constraints on the structure of such circuits, certain inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Benjie Wang , Denis Deratani Mauá , Guy Van den Broeck , YooJung Choi

Probabilistic circuits compute multilinear polynomials that represent multivariate probability distributions. They are tractable models that support efficient marginal inference. However, various polynomial semantics have been considered in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Oliver Broadrick , Honghua Zhang , Guy Van den Broeck

We present new algorithms for inference in credal networks --- directed acyclic graphs associated with sets of probabilities. Credal networks are here interpreted as encoding strong independence relations among variables. We first present a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Jose Carlos Ferreira da Rocha , Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

Scaling probabilistic models to large realistic problems and datasets is a key challenge in machine learning. Central to this effort is the development of tractable probabilistic models (TPMs): models whose structure guarantees efficient…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Honghua Zhang , Steven Holtzen , Guy Van den Broeck

Credal sets are sets of probability distributions that are considered as candidates for an imprecisely known ground-truth distribution. In machine learning, they have recently attracted attention as an appealing formalism for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-19 Alireza Javanmardi , David Stutz , Eyke Hüllermeier

We describe a representation and a set of inference methods that combine logic programming techniques with probabilistic network representations for uncertainty (influence diagrams). The techniques emphasize the dynamic construction and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 John S. Breese , Edison Tse

Bayesian structure learning allows one to capture uncertainty over the causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) responsible for generating given data. In this work, we present Tractable Uncertainty for STructure learning (TRUST), a framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Benjie Wang , Matthew Wicker , Marta Kwiatkowska

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are probability models over subsets of a ground set that favor diverse selections while suppressing redundancy. That is, they tend to assign higher likelihood to collections whose elements complement one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Mohamad H. Kazma , Ahmad F. Taha

Circuit representations are becoming the lingua franca to express and reason about tractable generative and discriminative models. In this paper, we show how complex inference scenarios for these models that commonly arise in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Antonio Vergari , YooJung Choi , Anji Liu , Stefano Teso , Guy Van den Broeck

Deep generative models (DGMs) have recently demonstrated remarkable success in capturing complex probability distributions over graphs. Although their excellent performance is attributed to powerful and scalable deep neural networks, it is,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Milan Papež , Martin Rektoris , Václav Šmídl , Tomáš Pevný

A reliable representation of uncertainty is essential for the application of modern machine learning methods in safety-critical settings. In this regard, the use of credal sets (i.e., convex sets of probability distributions) has recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Maximilian Muschalik , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Contemporary undertakings provide limitless opportunities for widespread application of machine reasoning and artificial intelligence in situations characterised by uncertainty, hostility and sheer volume of data. The paper develops a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Branko Ristic , Alessio Benavoli , Sanjeev Arulampalam
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