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In this paper we address the problem of learning and backtesting inventory control policies in the presence of general arrival dynamics -- which we term as a quantity-over-time arrivals model (QOT). We also allow for order quantities to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Sohrab Andaz , Carson Eisenach , Dhruv Madeka , Kari Torkkola , Randy Jia , Dean Foster , Sham Kakade

In cyber-physical systems such as automobiles, measurement data from sensor nodes should be delivered to other consumer nodes such as actuators in a regular fashion. But, in practical systems over unreliable media such as wireless, it is a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-04-14 Xueying Guo , Rahul Singh , P. R. Kumar , Zhisheng Niu

In this study, we develop a stochastic optimal control approach with reinforcement learning structure to learn the unknown parameters appeared in the drift and diffusion terms of the stochastic differential equation. By choosing an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Shuzhen Yang

This study presents a comprehensive approach to optimizing inventory management under stochastic demand by leveraging Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) with grid search and Bayesian optimization. By using a business case of historical demand…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Sarit Maitra

This paper introduces a family of recursively defined estimators of the parameters of a diffusion process. We use ideas of stochastic algorithms for the construction of the estimators. Asymptotic consistency of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jaime A. Londoño

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has proven effective in solving many inventory control problems with demand learning. However, it often faces the pitfall of an infeasible target inventory level that is lower than the current inventory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Jiameng Lyu , Jinxing Xie , Shilin Yuan , Yuan Zhou

The note studies the problem of selecting a good enough subset out of a finite number of alternatives under a fixed simulation budget. Our work aims to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting a good subset. We formulate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Gongbo Zhang , Bin Chen , Qing-shan Jia , Yijie Peng

Linear dynamical systems that obey stochastic differential equations are canonical models. While optimal control of known systems has a rich literature, the problem is technically hard under model uncertainty and there are hardly any…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-09 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

We consider the \mnk{classical} problem of a controller activating (or sampling) sequentially from a finite number of $N \geq 2$ populations, specified by unknown distributions. Over some time horizon, at each time $n = 1, 2, \ldots$, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-18 Wesley Cowan , Michael N. Katehakis

Trajectory optimization is a fundamental stochastic optimal control problem. This paper deals with a trajectory optimization approach for dynamical systems subject to measurement noise that can be fitted into linear time-varying stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-24 Prakash Mallick , Zhiyong Chen

Firms are more likely to introduce products in markets where they anticipate stronger demand. They also possess information that is unobserved to researchers. This creates endogenous selection bias in the estimation of demand parameters.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-13 Victor Aguirregabiria , Alessandro Iaria , Senay Sokullu

We study inventory control policies for pharmaceutical supply chains, addressing challenges such as perishability, yield uncertainty, and non-stationary demand, combined with batching constraints, lead times, and lost sales. Collaborating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Francesco Stranieri , Chaaben Kouki , Willem van Jaarsveld , Fabio Stella

We study the problem of designing optimal learning and decision-making formulations when only historical data is available. Prior work typically commits to a particular class of data-driven formulation and subsequently tries to establish…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-13 Amine Bennouna , Bart P. G. Van Parys

We study asymptotic properties of expectation propagation (EP) -- a method for approximate inference originally developed in the field of machine learning. Applied to generalized linear models, EP iteratively computes a multivariate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper

We study asymptotic behaviour of stochastic approximation procedures with three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong

In this paper we study a continuous time stochastic inventory model for a commodity traded in the spot market and whose supply purchase is affected by price and demand uncertainty. A firm aims at meeting a random demand of the commodity at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Maria B. Chiarolla , Giorgio Ferrari , Gabriele Stabile

During the last decade, sampling-based path planning algorithms, such as Probabilistic RoadMaps (PRM) and Rapidly-exploring Random Trees (RRT), have been shown to work well in practice and possess theoretical guarantees such as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2011-05-09 Sertac Karaman , Emilio Frazzoli

We address the problem of learning a decision policy from observational data of past decisions in contexts with features and associated outcomes. The past policy maybe unknown and in safety-critical applications, such as medical decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Peter Stoica

In this paper, we consider a finite horizon non-stationary inventory system with setup costs. We detail an algorithm to find an approximate optimal policy and the basic idea is to use numerical procedure for computing integrals involved in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Jianyong Liu , Wei Geng , Xiaobo Zhao

This paper focuses on price-based residential demand response implemented through dynamic adjustments of electricity prices during DR events. It extends existing DR models to a stochastic framework in which customer response is represented…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Guido Cavraro , Andrey Bernstein , Emiliano Dall'Anese
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