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We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

For probability measures on countable spaces we derive distributional limits for empirical entropic optimal transport quantities. More precisely, we show that the empirical optimal transport plan weakly converges to a centered Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Shayan Hundrieser , Marcel Klatt , Axel Munk

Social sampling is a novel randomized message passing protocol inspired by social communication for opinion formation in social networks. In a typical social sampling algorithm, each agent holds a sample from the empirical distribution of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Qian Liu , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang

Recent literature on policy learning has primarily focused on regret bounds of the learned policy. We provide a new perspective by developing a unified semiparametric efficiency framework for policy learning, allowing for general treatments…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-10 Yue Fang , Geert Ridder , Haitian Xie

This article develops a continuous-time asymptotic framework for analyzing adaptive experiments -- settings in which data collection and treatment assignment evolve dynamically in response to incoming information. A key challenge in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-26 Karun Adusumilli

In this paper we address the class of Sequential Decision Making (SDM) problems that are characterized by time-varying parameters. These parameter dynamics are either pre-specified or manipulable. At any given time instant the decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Amber Srivastava , S. M. Salapaka

Stochastic optimal control problems have a long tradition in applied probability, with the questions addressed being of high relevance in a multitude of fields. Even though theoretical solutions are well understood in many scenarios, their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Sören Christensen , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

In this paper, we consider an infinite horizon, continuous-review, stochastic inventory system in which cumulative customers' demand is price-dependent and is modeled as a Brownian motion. Excess demand is backlogged. The revenue is earned…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Dacheng Yao

This paper presents a general asymptotic theory of sequential Bayesian estimation giving results for the strongest, almost sure convergence. We show that under certain smoothness conditions on the probability model, the greedy information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-11 Janne V. Kujala

Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Masaaki Fukasawa

Logistic regression is a well-known statistical model which is commonly used in the situation where the output is a binary random variable. It has a wide range of applications including machine learning, public health, social sciences,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Bernard Bercu , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Bruno Portier

Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Holger Dette , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsén

The paper studies the problem of distributed parameter estimation in multi-agent networks with exponential family observation statistics. A certainty-equivalence type distributed estimator of the consensus + innovations form is proposed in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Soummya Kar , Jose Moura

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

The predict-then-optimize (PTO) framework is a standard approach in data-driven decision-making, where a decision-maker first estimates an unknown parameter from historical data and then uses this estimate to solve an optimization problem.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Michael Albert , Max Biggs , Ningyuan Chen , Guan Wang

In observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, the g-formula can be used to estimate a treatment effect in the presence of confounding factors. However, the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding stochastic process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich

Dynamic treatment regimes or policies are a sequence of decision functions over multiple stages that are tailored to individual features. One important class of treatment policies in practice, namely multi-stage stationary treatment…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-09 Daiqi Gao , Yufeng Liu , Donglin Zeng

We consider a stochastic lost-sales inventory control system with a lead time $L$ over a planning horizon $T$. Supply is uncertain, and is a function of the order quantity (due to random yield/capacity, etc). We aim to minimize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Boxiao Chen , Jiashuo Jiang , Jiawei Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhou

We study sequential multiple testing with independent data streams, where the goal is to identify an unknown subset of signals while controlling commonly used error metrics, including generalized familywise rates and false discovery and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jingyu Liu , Yanglei Song