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Related papers: Spectral Processing of COVID-19 Time-Series Data

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The discovery of SARS-CoV-2, the responsible virus for the Covid-19 epidemic, has sparked a global health concern with many countries affected. Developing models that can interpret the epidemic and give common trend parameters are useful…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-21 Milad Radiom , Jean-Franccois Berret

The estimation of the covariance function of a stochastic process, or signal, is of integral importance for a multitude of signal processing applications. In this work, we derive closed-form expressions for the variance of covariance…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Filip Elvander , Johan Karlsson

The relative case fatality rates (CFRs) between groups and countries are key measures of relative risk that guide policy decisions regarding scarce medical resource allocation during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. In the middle of an active…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-08 Anastasios Nikolas Angelopoulos , Reese Pathak , Rohit Varma , Michael I. Jordan

The paper presents a new method of trend extraction in the framework of the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) approach. This method is easy to use, does not need specification of models of time series and trend, allows to extract trend in…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-06 Theodore Alexandrov

The COVID-19 pandemic has had and continues to have major impacts on planned and ongoing clinical trials. Its effects on trial data create multiple potential statistical issues. The scale of impact is unprecedented, but when viewed…

Several cardiovascular diseases are caused from localised abnormal blood flow such as in the case of stenosis or aneurysms. Prevailing theories propose that the development is caused by abnormal wall-shear stress in focused areas.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-12 S. W. Funke , M. Nordaas , Øyvind Evju , M. S. Alnæs , K. -A. Mardal

Modeling the spread of COVID-19 is crucial for informing public health policy. All models for COVID-19 epidemiology rely on parameters describing the dynamics of the infection process. The meanings of epidemiological parameters like R_0,…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-13 Yinon M. Bar-On , Ron Sender , Avi I. Flamholz , Rob Phillips , Ron Milo

An algorithm is presented which generates pairs of oscillatory random time series which have identical periodograms but differ in the number of oscillations. This result indicate the intrinsic limitations of spectral methods when it comes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. G. Rossberg

We investigate the variation in the mode parameters obtained from time series of length 9, 36, 72 and 108 days to understand the changes occurring on different time-scales. The regression analysis between frequency shifts and activity…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-03-13 S. C. Tripathy , F. Hill , K. Jain , J. W. Leibacher

Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) as a nonparametric tool for decomposition of an observed time series into sum of interpretable components such as trend, oscillations and noise is considered. The separability of these series components by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-25 Nina Golyandina , Alex Shlemov

By equipping a previously reported dynamic causal model of COVID-19 with an isolation state, we modelled the effects of self-isolation consequent on tracking and tracing. Specifically, we included a quarantine or isolation state occupied by…

A new model for time series with a specific oscillation pattern is proposed. The model consists of a hidden phase process controlling the speed of polling and a nonparametric curve characterizing the pattern, leading together to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Thierry Dumont , Sylvain Le Corff , Jan C. Neddermeyer

The time-varying kernel density estimation relies on two free parameters: the bandwidth and the discount factor. We propose to select these parameters so as to minimize a criterion consistent with the traditional requirements of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-21 Matthieu Garcin , Jules Klein , Sana Laaribi

Previous research has demonstrated that various properties of infectious diseases can be inferred from online search behaviour. In this work we use time series of online search query frequencies to gain insights about the prevalence of…

Spectral networks derived from multivariate time series data arise in many domains, from brain science to Earth science. Often, it is of interest to study how these networks change under different conditions. For instance, to better…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Michael Hellstern , Byol Kim , Zaid Harchaoui , Ali Shojaie

Based on the SIRD-model a new model including time-delay is proposed for a description of the outbreak of the novel coronavirus Sars-CoV-2 pandemic. All data were analysed by representing all quantities as a function of the susceptible…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-16 Olivier Merlo

Using the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered epidemiological model, an analytical formula is derived for the number of beds occupied by Covid-19 patients. The analytical curve is fitted to data in Belgium, France, New York City and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-22 Gregory Kozyreff

This paper aims to provide reliable estimates for the COVID-19 contact rate of a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model. From observable data on confirmed, recovered, and deceased cases, a noisy measurement for the contact rate can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-22 Tobias Hartl

The abundance of functional observations in scientific endeavors has led to a significant development in tools for functional data analysis (FDA). This kind of data comes with several challenges: infinite-dimensionality of function spaces,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-11 J. S. Marron , James O. Ramsay , Laura M. Sangalli , Anuj Srivastava

The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is one of the measures of disease impact that can be of importance for policy making. Here we show that many of the studies on which these estimates are based are scientifically flawed for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-24 Chen Shen , Derrick Van Gennep , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Yaneer Bar-Yam