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Machine learning-aided clinical decision support has the potential to significantly improve patient care. However, existing efforts in this domain for principled quantification of uncertainty have largely been limited to applications of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 L. Julian Lechuga Lopez , Tim G. J. Rudner , Farah E. Shamout

Deep learning is envisioned to play a key role in the design of future wireless receivers. A popular approach to design learning-aided receivers combines deep neural networks (DNNs) with traditional model-based receiver algorithms,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Tomer Raviv , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Nir Shlezinger

For many types of machine learning algorithms, one can compute the statistically `optimal' way to select training data. In this paper, we review how optimal data selection techniques have been used with feedforward neural networks. We then…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 D. A. Cohn , Z. Ghahramani , M. I. Jordan

The prediction of financial markets is a challenging yet important task. In modern electronically-driven markets, traditional time-series econometric methods often appear incapable of capturing the true complexity of the multi-level…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Martin Magris , Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

Neural-network-based machine learning interatomic potentials have emerged as powerful tools for predicting atomic energies and forces, enabling accurate and efficient simulations in atomistic modeling. A key limitation of traditional deep…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-09-24 Riccardo Farris , Emanuele Telari , Nongnuch Artrith , Konstantin Neyman , Albert Bruix

Compared to point estimates calculated by standard neural networks, Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide probability distributions over the output predictions and model parameters, i.e., the weights. Training the weight distribution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Philipp Wagner , Xinyang Wu , Marco F. Huber

This study proposes a deep learning model based on the combination of convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM) for discriminant analysis of financial systemic risk. The model first uses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Yu Cheng , Zhen Xu , Yuan Chen , Yuhan Wang , Zhenghao Lin , Jinsong Liu

We propose the use of Bayesian networks, which provide both a mean value and an uncertainty estimate as output, to enhance the safety of learned control policies under circumstances in which a test-time input differs significantly from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Keuntaek Lee , Kamil Saigol , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Estimating dependence relationships between variables is a crucial issue in many applied domains, such as medicine, social sciences and psychology. When several variables are entertained, these can be organized into a network which encodes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-01 Federico Castelletti

Clustering algorithms have wide applications and play an important role in data analysis fields including time series data analysis. However, in time series analysis, most of the algorithms used signal shape features or the initial value of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-30 Daisuke Kaji , Kazuho Watanabe , Masahiro Kobayashi

We describe algorithms for learning Bayesian networks from a combination of user knowledge and statistical data. The algorithms have two components: a scoring metric and a search procedure. The scoring metric takes a network structure,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Dan Geiger , David Heckerman

We study active structure learning of Bayesian networks in an observational setting, in which there are external limitations on the number of variable values that can be observed from the same sample. Random samples are drawn from the joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Noa Ben-David , Sivan Sabato

Learning the structure of Bayesian networks from data is known to be a computationally challenging, NP-hard problem. The literature has long investigated how to perform structure learning from data containing large numbers of variables,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-25 Marco Scutari , Claudia Vitolo , Allan Tucker

Advanced metering infrastructure systems record a high volume of residential load data, opening up an opportunity for utilities to understand consumer energy consumption behaviors. Existing studies have focused on load profiling and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-15 Wen-Jun Tang , Xian-Long Lee , Hao Wang , Hong-Tzer Yang

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

In cognitive radio (CR) technology, the trend of sensing is no longer to only detect the presence of active primary users. A large number of applications demand for more comprehensive knowledge on primary user behaviors in spatial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-10 Weijia Han , Huiyan Sang , Min Sheng , Jiandong Li , Shuguang Cui

Deep Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are a powerful tool, though computationally demanding, to perform parameter estimation while jointly estimating uncertainty around predictions. BNNs are typically implemented using arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Daniele Silvestro , Tobias Andermann

We propose a new class of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) that can be trained using noisy data of variable fidelity, and we apply them to learn function approximations as well as to solve inverse problems based on partial differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Xuhui Meng , Hessam Babaee , George Em Karniadakis

Deep learning is rapidly becoming a go-to tool for many artificial intelligence problems due to its ability to outperform other approaches and even humans at many problems. Despite its popularity we are still unable to accurately predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Daniel Justus , John Brennan , Stephen Bonner , Andrew Stephen McGough