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It is often the case that risk assessment and prognostics are viewed as related but separate tasks. This chapter describes a risk-based approach to prognostics that seeks to provide a tighter coupling between risk assessment and fault…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-18 John W. Sheppard

We propose some machine-learning-based algorithms to solve hedging problems in incomplete markets. Sources of incompleteness cover illiquidity, untradable risk factors, discrete hedging dates and transaction costs. The proposed algorithms…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-13 Simon Fécamp , Joseph Mikael , Xavier Warin

Deep Learning is becoming an increasingly important way to produce accurate hydrological predictions across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. Uncertainty estimations are critical for actionable hydrological forecasting, and while…

An iterated multistep forecasting scheme based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) is proposed for the time series generated by causal chains with infinite memory. This forecasting strategy contains, as a particular case, the iterative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , James Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Reservoir characterization involves the estimation petrophysical properties from well-log data and seismic data. Estimating such properties is a challenging task due to the non-linearity and heterogeneity of the subsurface. Various attempts…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-02-05 Motaz Alfarraj , Ghassan AlRegib

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis

The insurance industry, with its large datasets, is a natural place to use big data solutions. However it must be stressed, that significant number of applications for machine learning in insurance industry, like fraud detection or claim…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-14 Sebastian Baran , Przemysław Rola

Tiering is an essential technique for building large-scale information retrieval systems. While the selection of documents for high priority tiers critically impacts the efficiency of tiering, past work focuses on optimizing it with respect…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Hyokun Yun , Michael Froh , Roshan Makhijani , Brian Luc , Alex Smola , Trishul Chilimbi

We propose a first-order stochastic optimization algorithm incorporating adaptive regularization applicable to machine learning problems in deep learning framework. The adaptive regularization is imposed by stochastic process in determining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Kensuke Nakamura , Stefano Soatto , Byung-Woo Hong

Portfolio optimization has been a central problem in finance, often approached with two steps: calibrating the parameters and then solving an optimization problem. Yet, the two-step procedure sometimes encounter the "error maximization"…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-13 Ayse Sinem Uysal , Xiaoyue Li , John M. Mulvey

Portfolio construction traditionally relies on separately estimating expected returns and covariance matrices using historical statistics, often leading to suboptimal allocation under time-varying market conditions. This paper proposes a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Keonvin Park

Long-term reservoir management often uses bounds on the reservoir level, between which the operator can work. However, these bounds are not always kept up-to-date with the latest knowledge about the reservoir drainage area, and thus become…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Thibaut Cuvelier , Pierre Archambeau , Benjamin Dewals , Quentin Louveaux

Predictive maintenance is an effective tool for reducing maintenance costs. Its effectiveness relies heavily on the ability to predict the future state of health of the system, and for this survival models have shown to be very useful. Due…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-02 Olov Holmer , Erik Frisk , Mattias Krysander

This note presents an approach for estimating the spatial distribution of static properties in reservoir modeling using a nearest-neighbor neural network. The method leverages the strengths of neural networks in approximating complex,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Yuhe Wang

This field case study aims to address the challenge of accurately predicting petrophysical properties in heterogeneous reservoir formations, which can significantly impact reservoir performance predictions. The study employed three machine…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-15 Fethi Ali Cheddad

Mixture models are probabilistic models aimed at uncovering and representing latent subgroups within a population. In the realm of network data analysis, the latent subgroups of nodes are typically identified by their connectivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-27 Giacomo De Nicola , Benjamin Sischka , Göran Kauermann

While matrix variate regression models have been studied in many existing works, classical statistical and computational methods for the analysis of the regression coefficient estimation are highly affected by high dimensional and noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Feng Yu , Xing Fan , Teng Zhang

Recurrent stochastic configuration networks (RSCNs) have shown promise in modelling nonlinear dynamic systems with order uncertainty due to their advantages of easy implementation, less human intervention, and strong approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Gang Dang , Dainhui Wang

Stochastic optimisation algorithms are the de facto standard for machine learning with large amounts of data. Handling only a subset of available data in each optimisation step dramatically reduces the per-iteration computational costs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Zeljko Kereta , Jingwei Liang , Junqi Tang

The field of algorithms with predictions incorporates machine learning advice in the design of online algorithms to improve real-world performance. A central consideration is the extent to which predictions can be trusted -- while existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-26 Judy Hanwen Shen , Ellen Vitercik , Anders Wikum