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This work introduces a novel approach for generating conditional probabilistic rainfall forecasts with temporal and spatial dependence. A two-step procedure is employed. Firstly, marginal location-specific distributions are jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 David Huk , Rilwan A. Adewoyin , Ritabrata Dutta

Normative modeling has recently been proposed as an alternative for the case-control approach in modeling heterogeneity within clinical cohorts. Normative modeling is based on single-output Gaussian process regression that provides coherent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Seyed Mostafa Kia , Andre Marquand

Statistical learning theory provides the foundation to applied machine learning, and its various successful applications in computer vision, natural language processing and other scientific domains. The theory, however, does not take into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-18 Júlio Hoffimann , Maciel Zortea , Breno de Carvalho , Bianca Zadrozny

We provide a new approach to approximate emulation of large computer experiments. By focusing expressly on desirable properties of the predictive equations, we derive a family of local sequential design schemes that dynamically define the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Daniel W. Apley

We propose a new estimation methodology to address the presence of covariate measurement error by exploiting the availability of spatial data. The approach uses neighboring observations as repeated measurements, after suitably controlling…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-06 Susanne M. Schennach , Vincent Starck

Prior specifications for hyperparameters of random fields in Bayesian spatial point process modelling can have a major impact on the statistical inference and the conclusions made. We consider fitting of log-Gaussian Cox processes to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-21 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Janine B. Illian , Daniel P. Simpson , David Burslem

Profile likelihoods are rarely used in geostatistical models due to the computational burden imposed by repeated decompositions of large variance matrices. Accounting for uncertainty in covariance parameters can be highly consequential in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 Ruoyong Xu , Patrick Brown

Due to the ease of modern data collection, applied statisticians often have access to a large set of covariates that they wish to relate to some observed outcome. Generalized linear models (GLMs) offer a particularly interpretable framework…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-21 Brian L. Trippe , Jonathan H. Huggins , Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick

In this paper, we first propose a Bayesian neighborhood selection method to estimate Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs). We show the graph selection consistency of this method in the sense that the posterior probability of the true model…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-08 Zhixiang Lin , Tao Wang , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

We consider the computational challenges associated with uncertainty quantification involved in parameter estimation such as seismic slowness and hydraulic transmissivity fields. The reconstruction of these parameters can be mathematically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Arvind K. Saibaba , Peter K. Kitanidis

We introduce statistical techniques required to handle complex computer models with potential applications to astronomy. Computer experiments play a critical role in almost all fields of scientific research and engineering. These computer…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-01 Joshua Lukemire , Qian Xiao , Abhyuday Mandal , Weng Kee Wong

Geostatistics represents one of the most challenging classes of scientific applications due to the desire to incorporate an ever increasing number of geospatial locations to accurately model and predict environmental phenomena. For example,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Sameh Abdulah , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes

Accurately modeling the correlation structure of errors is critical for reliable uncertainty quantification in probabilistic time series forecasting. While recent deep learning models for multivariate time series have developed efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Holographic multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems represent a spatially constrained MIMO architecture with a massive number of antennas with small antenna spacing as a close approximation of a spatially continuous electromagnetic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-19 Nikolaos Kolomvakis , Emil Björnson

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

We propose a probabilistic model for refining coarse-grained spatial data by utilizing auxiliary spatial data sets. Existing methods require that the spatial granularities of the auxiliary data sets are the same as the desired granularity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-19 Yusuke Tanaka , Tomoharu Iwata , Toshiyuki Tanaka , Takeshi Kurashima , Maya Okawa , Hiroyuki Toda

Surrogate models are often used to replace costly-to-evaluate complex coastal codes to achieve substantial computational savings. In many of those models, the hydrometeorological forcing conditions (inputs) or flood events (outputs) are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 A. F. López-Lopera , D. Idier , J. Rohmer , F. Bachoc

This work develops a block aggregation approach to spatial estimation and prediction when the response is observed at a coarse spatial scale, for example as counts of events in administrative areas, or blocks, while covariates are available…

Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs) are frequently used as computationally efficient models in spatial statistics. Unfortunately, it has traditionally been difficult to link GMRFs with the more traditional Gaussian random field models as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-01 Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Standard multivariate analysis methods aim to identify and summarize the main structures in large data sets containing the description of a number of observations by several variables. In many cases, spatial information is also available…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-01 Stéphane Dray , Thibaut Jombart