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Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

It is often of interest to perform clustering on longitudinal data, yet it is difficult to formulate an intuitive model for which estimation is computationally feasible. We propose a model-based clustering method for clustering objects that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Daniel K. Sewell , Yuguo Chen , William Bernhard , Tracy Sulkin

Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan

To mitigate the risk posed by extreme rainfall events, we require statistical models that reliably capture extremes in continuous space with dependence. However, assuming a stationary dependence structure in such models is often erroneous,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-15 K. R. Saunders , A. G. Stephenson , D. J. Karoly

In this paper, we consider feature screening for ultrahigh dimensional clustering analyses. Based on the observation that the marginal distribution of any given feature is a mixture of its conditional distributions in different clusters, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Changhu Wang , Zihao Chen , Ruibin Xi

A network evolution with predicted tail and extremal indices of PageRank and the Max-Linear Model used as node influence indices in random graphs is considered. The tail index shows a heaviness of the distribution tail. The extremal index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Natalia Markovich

We study a multi-factor block model for variable clustering and connect it to regularized subspace clustering through a distributionally robust version of nodewise regression. To solve the latter problem, we derive a convex relaxation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Kaizheng Wang , Xiao Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

Accurate modelling of the joint extremal dependence structure within a stationary time series is a challenging problem that is important in many applications.\ Several previous approaches to this problem are only applicable to certain types…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

The control and risk assessment in complex information systems require to take into account extremes arising from nodes with large node degrees. Various sampling techniques like a Page Rank random walk, a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Natalia Markovich

This paper introduces a new methodology for extreme spatial dependence structure selection. It is based on deep learning techniques, specifically Convolutional Neural Networks -CNNs. Two schemes are considered: in the first scheme, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-23 Manaf Ahmed , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

From environmental sciences to finance, there is a growing demand for methods that can assess the risks of extreme events beyond those observed in available data. Extrapolating extreme events beyond the range of the data is not obvious.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan

Usual formulations of the clustering coefficient can be shown to be insufficient in the task of describing the local topology of very simple networks. Motivated by this, we review some alternatives in order to present an extension, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexandre H. Abdo , A. P. S. de Moura

Motivated by examples from extreme value theory we introduce the general notion of a cluster process as a limiting point process of returns of a certain event in a time series. We explore general invariance properties of cluster processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

Through Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) studies, a number of time-series data is collected across multiple individuals, continuously monitoring various items of emotional behavior. Such complex data is commonly analyzed in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Mandani Ntekouli , Gerasimos Spanakis , Lourens Waldorp , Anne Roefs

We present a new approach to study measures on ensembles of contours, polymers or other objects interacting by some sort of exclusion condition. For concreteness we develop it here for the case of Peierls contours. Unlike existing methods,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Roberto Fernández , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nancy L. Garcia

This paper introduces a new clustering technique, called {\em dimensional clustering}, which clusters each data point by its latent {\em pointwise dimension}, which is a measure of the dimensionality of the data set local to that point.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Shohei Hidaka , Neeraj Kashyap

We introduce a density-based clustering method called skeleton clustering that can detect clusters in multivariate and even high-dimensional data with irregular shapes. To bypass the curse of dimensionality, we propose surrogate density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-09 Zeyu Wei , Yen-Chi Chen

Several environmental phenomena can be described by different correlated variables that must be considered jointly in order to be more representative of the nature of these phenomena. For such events, identification of extremes is…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-15 Raúl Torres , Carlo De Michele , Henry Laniado , Rosa E. Lillo

Convex clustering has recently garnered increasing interest due to its attractive theoretical and computational properties, but its merits become limited in the face of high-dimensional data. In such settings, pairwise affinity terms that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Jason Xu
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