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In this paper we discuss how to evaluate the differences between fitted logistic regression models across sub-populations. Our motivating example is in studying computerized diagnosis for learning disabilities, where sub-populations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-24 Guy Ashiri-Prossner , Yuval Benjamini

When solving NLP tasks with limited labelled data, researchers typically either use a general large language model without further update, or use a small number of labelled samples to tune a specialised smaller model. In this work, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Branislav Pecher , Ivan Srba , Maria Bielikova

The study of adaptive data analysis examines how many statistical queries can be answered accurately using a fixed dataset while avoiding false discoveries (statistically inaccurate answers). In this paper, we tackle a question that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Roi Livni

Estimation of causal effects using machine learning methods has become an active research field in econometrics. In this paper, we study the finite sample performance of meta-learners for estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-01 Gabriel Okasa

Mixed outcome endpoints that combine multiple continuous and discrete components to form co-primary, multiple primary or composite endpoints are often employed as primary outcome measures in clinical trials. There are many advantages to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-12 Martina McMenamin , Jessica K. Barrett , Anna Berglind , James M. S. Wason

This paper is concerned with detecting the presence of out of sample predictability in linear predictive regressions with a potentially large set of candidate predictors. We propose a procedure based on out of sample MSE comparisons that is…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-17 Jesus Gonzalo , Jean-Yves Pitarakis

Based on a comprehensive study of 20 established data sets, we recommend training set sizes for any classification data set. We obtain our recommendations by systematically withholding training data and developing models through five…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Phillip Koshute , Jared Zook , Ian McCulloh

Recent work has shown that models trained to the same objective, and which achieve similar measures of accuracy on consistent test data, may nonetheless behave very differently on individual predictions. This inconsistency is undesirable in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Emily Black , Klas Leino , Matt Fredrikson

This paper addresses the challenges of efficiently fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) by exploring data efficiency and hyperparameter optimization. We investigate the minimum data required for effective fine-tuning and propose a novel…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Michael Oliver , Guan Wang

Test data measured by medical instruments often carry imprecise ranges that include the true values. The latter are not obtainable in virtually all cases. Most learning algorithms, however, carry out arithmetical calculations that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Mei Wang , Jianwen Su , Haiqin Lu

Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Annamaria Guolo , Cristiano Varin

The impact of machine learning models on healthcare will depend on the degree of trust that healthcare professionals place in the predictions made by these models. In this paper, we present a method to provide people with clinical expertise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Aniruddh Raghu , John Guttag , Katherine Young , Eugene Pomerantsev , Adrian V. Dalca , Collin M. Stultz

While conformal predictors reap the benefits of rigorous statistical guarantees on their error frequency, the size of their corresponding prediction sets is critical to their practical utility. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Guneet S. Dhillon , George Deligiannidis , Tom Rainforth

We consider the problem of estimating the number of distinct elements in a large data set (or, equivalently, the support size of the distribution induced by the data set) from a random sample of its elements. The problem occurs in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Talya Eden , Piotr Indyk , Shyam Narayanan , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal , Tal Wagner

Accurate sample classification using transcriptomics data is crucial for advancing personalized medicine. Achieving this goal necessitates determining a suitable sample size that ensures adequate statistical power without undue resource…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-11 Yunhui Qi , Xinyi Wang , Li-Xuan Qin

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

This paper targets the question of predicting machine learning classification model performance, when taking into account the number of training examples per class and not just the overall number of training examples. This leads to the a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Thomas Mühlenstädt , Jelena Frtunikj

The training of large language models (LLMs) is expensive. In this paper, we study data-efficient approaches for pre-training LLMs, i.e., techniques that aim to optimize the Pareto frontier of model quality and training resource/data…

Measurement error is a pervasive challenge across many disciplines, yet its impact on sample size determination and the accuracy and precision of estimators regarding the association between an exposure and an outcome remains understudied…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Honghyok Kim

Prediction for very large data sets is typically carried out in two stages, variable selection and pattern recognition. Ordinarily variable selection involves seeing how well individual explanatory variables are correlated with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-12 Herman Chernoff , Shaw-Hwa Lo , Tian Zheng , Adeline Lo