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Competing risks data refer to situations where the occurrence of one event pre- cludes the possibility of other events happening, resulting in multiple mutually exclusive events. This data type is commonly encountered in medical research…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Fatemeh Mahmoudi , Chenxi Li , Kaida Cai , Xuewen Lu

Binary classification rules based on covariates typically depend on simple loss functions such as zero-one misclassification. Some cases may require more complex loss functions. For example, individual-level monitoring of HIV-infected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yizhen Xu , Tao Liu , Michael J. Daniels , Rami Kantor , Ann Mwangi , Joseph W. Hogan

Deep generative models provide a powerful set of tools to understand real-world data. But as these models improve, they increase in size and complexity, so their computational cost in memory and execution time grows. Using binary weights in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Thomas Bird , Friso H. Kingma , David Barber

The selection of essential variables in logistic regression is vital because of its extensive use in medical studies, finance, economics and related fields. In this paper, we explore four main typologies (test-based, penalty-based,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Souvik Bag , Kapil Gupta , Soudeep Deb

Penalized regression methods such as ridge regression heavily rely on the choice of a tuning or penalty parameter, which is often computed via cross-validation. Discrepancies in the value of the penalty parameter may lead to substantial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-26 Kristoffer H. Hellton , Camilla Lingjærde , Riccardo De Bin

Despite the growing popularity of machine-learning techniques in decision-making, the added value of causal-oriented strategies with respect to pure machine-learning approaches has rarely been quantified in the literature. These strategies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Théo Verhelst , Robin Petit , Wouter Verbeke , Gianluca Bontempi

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

In federated learning, differences in the data or objectives between the participating nodes motivate approaches to train a personalized machine learning model for each node. One such approach is weighted averaging between a locally trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Felix Grimberg , Mary-Anne Hartley , Sai P. Karimireddy , Martin Jaggi

This paper presents a method for incorporating risk aversion into existing decision tree models used in economic evaluations. The method involves applying a probability weighting function based on rank dependent utility theory to reduced…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-24 Jacob Smith

High-cardinality categorical variables are variables for which the number of different levels is large relative to the sample size of a data set, or in other words, there are few data points per level. Machine learning methods can have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Fabio Sigrist

Balancing a rare and serious possibility against a more common and less serious one is a familiar problem in many situations, such as the prediction of rare diseases. The relative costs of forecasting errors can be used for any prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-04 Paul T Seed

We analyze different types of simulations that applied researchers can use to assess whether their inference methods reliably control false-positive rates. We show that different assessments involve trade-offs, varying in the types of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-03 Bruno Ferman

The efficacy of robust optimization spans a variety of settings with uncertainties bounded in predetermined sets. In many applications, uncertainties are affected by decisions and cannot be modeled with current frameworks. This paper takes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

Several real-world classification problems are example-dependent cost-sensitive in nature, where the costs due to misclassification vary between examples and not only within classes. However, standard classification methods do not take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Alejandro Correa Bahnsen , Djamila Aouada , Bjorn Ottersten

This paper describes an approach to simultaneously identify clusters and estimate cluster-specific regression parameters from the given data. Such an approach can be useful in learning the relationship between input and output when the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-02 Udai Nagpal , Krishan Nagpal

The learning curve expresses the error rate of a predictive modeling procedure as a function of the sample size of the training dataset. It typically is a decreasing, convex function with a positive limiting value. An estimate of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-14 Eric B. Laber , Kerby Shedden , Yang Yang

Machine learning predictions are typically interpreted as the sum of contributions of predictors. Yet, each out-of-sample prediction can also be expressed as a linear combination of in-sample values of the predicted variable, with weights…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-18 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Maximilian Goebel , Karin Klieber

Causal inference on multiple non-independent outcomes raises serious challenges, because multivariate techniques that properly account for the outcome's dependence structure need to be considered. We focus on the case of binary outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-11 Monia Lupparelli , Alessandra Mattei

Clinical prediction models are developed widely across medical disciplines. When predictors in such models are highly collinear, unexpected or spurious predictor-outcome associations may occur, thereby potentially reducing face-validity and…

Following the wide-spread adoption of machine learning models in real-world applications, the phenomenon of performativity, i.e. model-dependent shifts in the test distribution, becomes increasingly prevalent. Unfortunately, since models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Ivan Kirev , Lyuben Baltadzhiev , Nikola Konstantinov