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After the first lockdown in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, many countries faced difficulties in balancing infection control with economics. Due to limited prior knowledge, economists began researching this issue using cost-benefit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-19 Tsuyoshi Hondou

This work introduces a novel epidemiological model that simultaneously considers multiple viral strains, reinfections due to waning immunity response over time and an optimal control formulation. This enables us to derive optimal mitigation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 Edilson F. Arruda , Dayse H. Pastore , Clauda M. Dias , Shyam S. Das

Waning immunity and reinfection are critical features of many infectious diseases, but epidemiological models often fail to capture the intricate interaction between an individual's history of immunity and their current infection status;…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-25 Raimund M. Kovacevic , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis , Vladimir M. Veliov

We deal with an infinite horizon, infinite dimensional stochastic optimal control problem arising in the study of economic growth in time-space. Such problem has been the object of various papers in deterministic cases when the possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Fausto Gozzi , Marta Leocata

In this paper, we study an age-structured model which has strong biological background about mosquito plasticity. Firstly, we prove the existence of solutions and the comparison principle for a generalized system. Then, we prove the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Lin Lin Li , Cláudia Pio Ferreira , Bedreddine Ainseba

The majority of research on epidemics relies on models which are formulated in continuous-time. However, real-world epidemic data is gathered and processed in a digital manner, which is more accurately described by discrete-time epidemic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Bastian Prasse , Piet Van Mieghem

After the COVID-19 pandemic, we saw an increase in demand for epidemiological mathematical models. The goal of this work is to study the optimal control for an age-structured model as a strategy of quarantine of infected people, which is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Nelson L. Santos Junior , João A. M. Gondim

In this paper, we consider an adaptive optimal control problem for an SIR/V epidemic model with human behavioral effects.We develop a model where effective management of infectious diseases are monitored by the means of non pharmaceutical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-09 Nuruzzaman Rahat , Abid Hossain , Muntasir Alam

Mathematical modeling of disease outbreaks can infer the future trajectory of an epidemic, which can inform policy decisions. Another task is inferring the origin of a disease, which is relatively difficult with current mathematical models.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-31 Mehrad Ansari , David Soriano-Paños , Gourab Ghoshal , Andrew D. White

We reformulate models in epidemiology and population dynamics in terms of probability distributions. This allows us to construct the Fisher information, which we interpret as the metric of a one-dimensional differentiable manifold. For…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-27 Baptiste Filoche , Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

We study a linear model of McKendrick-von Foerster-Keyfitz type for the temporal development of the age structure of a two-sex human population. For the underlying system of partial integro-differential equations, we exploit the semigroup…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-13 Michael Pokojovy , Yevhenii Skvarkovskyi

We present EPITIME (EPidemic Integral models TIMe profile Explorer), a computational framework for the simulation of two classes of integral epidemic models: an age of infection model and an information dependent behavioural model. The…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-04 Bruno Buonomo , Eleonora Messina , Claudia Panico , Mario Pezzella , Gaetano Zanghirati

This study develops and analyzes an extended Susceptible, Infected, Hospitalized and Recovered (SIHR) model incorporating time dependent control functions to capture preventive measures (e.g., distancing, mask use) and resource limited…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 Liban Ismail , Yahyeh Souleiman , Saraless Nadarajah , Abdisalam Hassan

In this paper, we propose a mathematical framework that governs the evolution of epidemic dynamics, encompassing both intra-population dynamics and inter-population mobility within a metapopulation network. By linearizing this dynamical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-05 Yazdan Babazadeh , Amin Safaeesirat , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

In this work, we investigate the optimal control problem for continuous-time Markov decision processes with the random impact of the environment. We provide conditions to show the existence of optimal controls under finite-horizon criteria.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Jinghai Shao , Kun Zhao

This paper deals with some control problems related to structured population dynamics with diffusion. Firstly, we investigate the regional control for an optimal harvesting problem (the control acts in a subregion $\omega$ of the whole…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Laura-Iulia Aniţa , Sebastian Aniţa , Vincenzo Capasso , Ana-Maria Moşneagu

We consider optimal control problems involving nonlinear ordinary differential equations with uncertain inputs. Using the sample average approximation, we obtain optimal control problems with ensembles of deterministic dynamical systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz

Simulating the spread of infectious diseases in human communities is critical for predicting the trajectory of an epidemic and verifying various policies to control the devastating impacts of the outbreak. Many existing simulators are based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-22 Arash Mehrjou , Ashkan Soleymani , Amin Abyaneh , Samir Bhatt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

In this manuscript, we study optimal control problems for stochastic delay differential equations using the dynamic programming approach in Hilbert spaces via viscosity solutions of the associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations. We show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Filippo de Feo , Andrzej Święch