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Theoretical arguments and empirical evidence for the emergence of macroscopic epidemic type behavior, in the form of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) or Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) processes in urban traffic congestion from…

In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Marta Milewska , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

The paper considers continuous-time networked susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) diseases spreading over a population. Each agent represents a sub-population and has its own healing rate and infection rate; the state of the agent at a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-11 Yuan Wang , Sebin Gracy , César A. Uribe , Hideaki Ishii , Karl Henrik Johansson

It is a longstanding debate on the absence of threshold for susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on networks with finite second order moment of degree distribution. The eigenvector localization of the adjacency matrix for a network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-20 Zong-Wen Wei , Bing-Hong Wang

We investigate the effects of cooperativity between contagion processes that spread and persist in a host population. We propose and analyze a dynamical model in which individuals that are affected by one transmissible agent $A$ exhibit a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-22 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Dirk Brockmann

The susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) epidemic process on complex networks can show metastability, resembling an endemic equilibrium. In a general setting, the metastable state may involve a large portion of the network, or it can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-03 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Aram Vajdi , Caterina Scoglio

We investigate the avalanche temporal statistics of the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model when the dynamics is critical and takes place on finite random networks. By considering numerical simulations on annealed topologies we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-23 Daniele Notarmuzi , Alessandro Flammini , Claudio Castellano , Filippo Radicchi

In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on the complete graph with $n$ vertices. This model has two parameters, which are the infection rate and the recovery rate. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Huazheng Bu , Xiaofeng Xue

In this paper, we focus on the node-based epidemic modeling for networks, introduce the propagation medium and propose a node-based Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model with infective media. Theoretical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-03 Leyi Zheng , Longkun Tang

Heterogeneity is an important property of any population experiencing a disease. Here we apply general methods of the theory of heterogeneous populations to the simplest mathematical models in epidemiology. In particular, an SIR…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-28 Artem S Novozhilov

We consider a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model in which a large group of individuals decide whether to adopt partially effective protection without being aware of their individual infection status. Each individual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Philip E. Paré

We study a dynamic infection spread model, inspired by the discrete time SIR model, where infections are spread via non-isolated infected individuals. While infection keeps spreading over time, a limited capacity testing is performed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Batuhan Arasli , Sennur Ulukus

We study seasonal epidemic spreading in a susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible (SIRS) model on smallworld graphs. We derive a mean-field description that accurately captures the salient features of the model, most notably a phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-26 Daniel Malz , Andrea Pizzi , Andreas Nunnenkamp , Johannes Knolle

Theoretical modeling of computer virus/worm epidemic dynamics is an important problem that has attracted many studies. However, most existing models are adapted from biological epidemic ones. Although biological epidemic models can…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Shouhuai Xu , Wenlian Lu , Li Xu , Zhenxin Zhan

We study the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on directed complex networks within the quenched mean-field approximation. Combining results from random matrix theory with an analytic approach to the distribution of fixed-point…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-12 Vinícius B. Müller , Fernando L. Metz

We study an individual-based stochastic SIR epidemic model with infection-age dependent infectivity on a large random graph, capturing individual heterogeneity and non-homogeneous connectivity. Each individual is associated with particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Aurélien Velleret

In this paper, we analyze dynamic switching networks, wherein the networks switch arbitrarily among a set of topologies. For this class of dynamic networks, we derive an epidemic threshold, considering the SIS epidemic model. First, an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-03 Mohammad Reza Sanatkar , Warren N. White , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Caterina Scoglio , Karren A. Garrett

We develop an analytical approach to the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model that allows us to unravel the true origin of the absence of an epidemic threshold in heterogeneous networks. We find that a delicate balance…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-13 Marian Boguna , Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The study of social networks, and in particular the spread of disease on networks, has attracted considerable recent attention in the physics community. In this paper, we show that a large class of standard epidemiological models, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. E. J. Newman