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Predicting the response at an unobserved location is a fundamental problem in spatial statistics. Given the difficulty in modeling spatial dependence, especially in non-stationary cases, model-based prediction intervals are at risk of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Huiying Mao , Ryan Martin , Brian Reich

Spatial interference (SI) occurs when the treatment at one location affects the outcomes at other locations. Accounting for spatial interference in spatiotemporal settings poses further challenges as interference violates the stable unit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Sahara Ali , Omar Faruque , Jianwu Wang

The spatial scan statistic is widely used in epidemiology and medical studies as a tool to identify hotspots of diseases. The classical spatial scan statistic assumes the number of disease cases in different locations have independent…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 Ji Meng Loh , Zhengyuan Zhu

Provided a random realization of the cosmological model, observations of our cosmic neighborhood now allow us to build simulations of the latter down to the non-linear threshold. The resulting local Universe models are thus accurate up to a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-10 Jenny G. Sorce

We propose a spatial-constraint approach for modeling spatial-based interactions and enabling interactive visualizations, which involves the manipulation of visualizations through selection, filtering, navigation, arrangement, and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Can Liu , Yu Zhang , Cong Wu , Chen Li , Xiaoru Yuan

Linear mixed models are a versatile statistical tool to study data by accounting for fixed effects and random effects from multiple sources of variability. In many situations, a large number of candidate fixed effects is available and it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Emanuele Degani , Luca Maestrini , Dorota Toczydłowska , Matt P. Wand

As the field of deep learning steadily transitions from the realm of academic research to practical application, the significance of self-supervised pretraining methods has become increasingly prominent. These methods, particularly in the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Toni Albert , Bjoern Eskofier , Dario Zanca

Precision mapping of landslide inventory is crucial for hazard mitigation. Most landslides generally co-exist with other confusing geological features, and the presence of such areas can only be inferred unambiguously at a large scale. In…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-21 Qing Zhu , Lin Chen , Han Hu , Binzhi Xu , Yeting Zhang , Haifeng Li

We develop a convex framework for spatially varying coefficient quantile regression that, for each predictor, separates a location-invariant \emph{global} effect from a \emph{spatial deviation}. An adaptive group penalty selects whether a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Hou Jian , Meng Tan , Tian Maozai

Estimating associations between spatial covariates and responses - rather than merely predicting responses - is central to environmental science, epidemiology, and economics. For instance, public health officials might be interested in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Stephen Bates , Tamara Broderick

Unobserved confounding is a fundamental challenge for estimating causal effects. To address unobserved confounding, recent literature has turned to two different approaches -- proxy variables and the use of multiple treatments. The first…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Aytijhya Saha , Stephen Bates , Devavrat Shah

We study the synchronization of two spatially extended dynamical systems where the models have imperfections. We show that the synchronization error across space can be visualized as a rough surface governed by the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-11-03 Diego Pazó , Juan M. López , Rafael Gallego , Miguel A. Rodríguez

In this paper, we present an empirical study of typical spatial augmentation techniques used in self-supervised representation learning methods (both contrastive and non-contrastive), namely random crop and cutout. Our contributions are:…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Abhishek Jha , Tinne Tuytelaars

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

Observational studies of causal effects require adjustment for confounding factors. In the tabular setting, where these factors are well-defined, separate random variables, the effect of confounding is well understood. However, in public…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Connor T. Jerzak , Fredrik Johansson , Adel Daoud

When outcome data are expensive or onerous to collect, scientists increasingly substitute predictions from machine learning and AI models for unlabeled cases, a process which has consequences for downstream statistical inference. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Stephen Salerno , Zhenke Wu , Tyler McCormick

We present a brief overview of the methods for making statistical inference (testing statistical hypotheses, construction of confidence and/or prediction intervals and regions) about linear functions of the fixed effects and/or about the…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-07 Viktor Witkovský

We present a general theory of stochastic model reduction which is based on a normal form coordinate transform method of A.J. Roberts. This nonlinear, stochastic projection allows for the deterministic and stochastic dynamics to interact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Eric Forgoston , Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz

Incorporating spatial information, particularly those influenced by climate, weather, and demographic factors, is crucial for improving underwriting precision and enhancing risk management in insurance. However, spatial data are often…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Freek Holvoet , Christopher Blier-Wong , Katrien Antonio

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner
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