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In today's forex market traders increasingly turn to algorithmic trading, leveraging computers to seek more profits. Deep learning techniques as cutting-edge advancements in machine learning, capable of identifying patterns in financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-31 Davoud Sarani , Parviz Rashidi-Khazaee

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

We investigated the use of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) combined with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM), feature engineering and machine learning algorithms to optimize trading decisions. We used five, two, and one year samples of hourly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Gabriel R. Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

In this paper we address the problem of predicting a time series using the ARMA (autoregressive moving average) model, under minimal assumptions on the noise terms. Using regret minimization techniques, we develop effective online learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Oren Anava , Elad Hazan , Shie Mannor , Ohad Shamir

The amplitude information of target returns has been incorporated into many tracking algorithms for performance improvements. One of the limitations of employing amplitude feature is that the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of the target, i.e.,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-20 Weizhen Ma , Zhongliang Jing , Peng Dong , Henry Leung

Financial anomalies arise from heterogeneous mechanisms -- price shocks, liquidity freezes, contagion cascades, and momentum reversals -- yet existing detectors produce uniform scores without revealing which mechanism is failing. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Zan Li , Rui Fan

This study focuses on building an algorithmic investment strategy employing a hybrid approach that combines LSTM and ARIMA models referred to as LSTM-ARIMA. This unique algorithm uses LSTM to produce final predictions but boosts the results…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-27 Kamil Kashif , Robert Ślepaczuk

Financial markets are difficult to predict due to its complex systems dynamics. Although there have been some recent studies that use machine learning techniques for financial markets prediction, they do not offer satisfactory performance…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Jia Wang , Tong Sun , Benyuan Liu , Yu Cao , Degang Wang

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

An accurate valuation of American call options is critical in most financial decision making environments. However, traditional models like the Barone-Adesi Whaley (B-AW) and Binomial Option Pricing (BOP) methods fall short in handling the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-01 Ananya Unnikrishnan

Technical and fundamental analysis are traditional tools used to analyze individual stocks; however, the finance literature has shown that the price movement of each individual stock correlates heavily with other stocks, especially those…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Ran Zhao , Yuntian Deng , Mark Dredze , Arun Verma , David Rosenberg , Amanda Stent

Our research presents a new approach for forecasting the synchronization of stock prices using machine learning and non-linear time-series analysis. To capture the complex non-linear relationships between stock prices, we utilize recurrence…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-12 Sanjay Sathish , Charu C Sharma

The stock market is a fundamental component of financial systems, reflecting economic health, providing investment opportunities, and influencing global dynamics. Accurate stock market predictions can lead to significant gains and promote…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Gonzalo Lopez Gil , Paul Duhamel-Sebline , Andrew McCarren

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- Trading Graph Neural Network (TGNN) that can structurally estimate the impact of asset features, dealer features and relationship features on asset prices in trading networks. It combines the strength…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-11 Xian Wu

Prediction of stock price movements presents a formidable challenge in financial analytics due to the inherent volatility, non-stationarity, and nonlinear characteristics of market data. This paper introduces SPH-Net (Stock Price Prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Yiyang Wu , Hanyu Ma , Muxin Ge , Xiaoli Ma , Yadi Liu , Ye Aung Moe , Zeyu Han , Weizheng Xie

In the context of globalization and the rapid expansion of the digital economy, anti-money laundering (AML) has become a crucial aspect of financial oversight, particularly in cross-border transactions. The rising complexity and scale of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Qian Yu , Zhen Xu , Zong Ke

Traffic flow forecasting is hot spot research of intelligent traffic system construction. The existing traffic flow prediction methods have problems such as poor stability, high data requirements, or poor adaptability. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Boyi Liu , Xiangyan Tang , Jieren Cheng , Pengchao Shi

We have presented a new and alternative algorithm for noise reduction using the methods of discrete wavelet transform and numerical differentiation of the data. In our method the threshold for reducing noise comes out automatically. The…

The study proposes a quote-driven predictive automated market maker (AMM) platform with on-chain custody and settlement functions, alongside off-chain predictive reinforcement learning capabilities to improve liquidity provision of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-27 Tristan Lim