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A susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model of multiple contagions on multilayer networks is developed to incorporate different spreading channels and disease mutations. The basic reproduction number for this model is estimated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Petar Jovanovski , Igor Tomovski , Ljupco Kocarev

We develop a probabilistic control algorithm, $\texttt{GTLProCo}$, for swarms of agents with heterogeneous dynamics and objectives, subject to high-level task specifications. The resulting algorithm not only achieves decentralized control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-01 Franck Djeumou , Zhe Xu , Murat Cubuktepe , Ufuk Topcu

A time series forecasting model--which is typically built on a single time series--is known as a local time series model (tsLM). In contrast, a forecasting model trained on multiple time series is referred to as a global time series model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Junru Ren , Shaomin Wu

Databases in domains such as healthcare are routinely released to the public in aggregated form. Unfortunately, naive modeling with aggregated data may significantly diminish the accuracy of inferences at the individual level. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-17 Avradeep Bhowmik , Joydeep Ghosh , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Notable progress has been made in generalist medical large language models across various healthcare areas. However, large-scale modeling of in-hospital time series data - such as vital signs, lab results, and treatments in critical care -…

Bootstrap percolation is a process that is used to model the spread of an infection on a given graph. In the model considered here each vertex is equipped with an individual threshold. As soon as the number of infected neighbors exceeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou

In several real world applications, machine learning models are deployed to make predictions on data whose distribution changes gradually along time, leading to a drift between the train and test distributions. Such models are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Anshul Nasery , Soumyadeep Thakur , Vihari Piratla , Abir De , Sunita Sarawagi

Our understanding of the dynamics of complex networked systems has increased significantly in the last two decades. However, most of our knowledge is built upon assuming pairwise relations among the system's components. This is often an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-15 Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Giovanni Petri , Yamir Moreno

Growth curve models are popular tools for studying the development of a response variable within subjects over time. Heterogeneity between subjects is common in such models, and researchers are typically interested in explaining or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Marjolein Fokkema , Achim Zeileis

In the real world, the class of a time series is usually labeled at the final time, but many applications require to classify time series at every time point. e.g. the outcome of a critical patient is only determined at the end, but he…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Chenxi Sun , Moxian Song , Derun Can , Baofeng Zhang , Shenda Hong , Hongyan Li

We prove a Central Limit Theorem for the proportion of infected individuals for an epidemic model by dealing with a discrete time system of simple random walks on a complete graph with n vertices. Each random walk makes a role of a virus.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-17 F. Machado , H. Mashurian , H. Matzinger

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

Understanding how complex behaviors, opinions, and innovations spread in online social networks remains a central challenge in computational social science. Existing models of complex contagion typically rely on stylized threshold…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Saurabh Sharma , Ambuj Singh

Many network contagion processes are inherently multiplex in nature, yet are often reduced to processes on uniplex networks in analytic practice. We therefore examine how data modeling choices can affect the predictions of contagion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-24 Nicholas W. Landry , jimi adams

As Deep Learning (DL) models are increasingly applied in safety-critical domains, ensuring their quality has emerged as a pressing challenge in modern software engineering. Among emerging validation paradigms, coverage-guided testing (CGT)…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Hongjing Guo , Chuanqi Tao , Zhiqiu Huang , Weiqin Zou

Global transport and communication networks enable information, ideas and infectious diseases now to spread at speeds far beyond what has historically been possible. To effectively monitor, design, or intervene in such epidemic-like…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-13 Sam Moore , Tim Rogers

In this paper, we propose a novel learning scheme called epoch-evolving Gaussian Process Guided Learning (GPGL), which aims at characterizing the correlation information between the batch-level distribution and the global data distribution.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Jiabao Cui , Xuewei Li , Bin Li , Hanbin Zhao , Bourahla Omar , Xi Li

This paper considers the problem of tracking a large-scale number of group targets. Usually, multi-target in most tracking scenarios are assumed to have independent motion and are well-separated. However, for group target tracking (GTT),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Xuqi Zhang , Fanqin Meng , Haiqi Liu , Xiaojing Shen , Yunmin Zhu

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch

We present a modified diffusive epidemic process that has a finite threshold on scale-free graphs. The diffusive epidemic process describes the epidemic spreading in a non-sedentary population, and it is a reaction-diffusion process. In the…